Tom's UFC Best Bet

Handicapper

WryCape Sports

League

FIGHTING

Competition

Serhiy Sidey vs Cameron Smotherman

Release Date

05/02/2025 10:37 PM

Event Date

05/03/2025 10:52 PM

Bet Type

Moneyline

Pick

Serhiy Sidey -135 (BetMGM)

Outcome

Win

Analysis

This fight is likely to be a striking battle, with both fighters preferring to stand and trade. Smotherman’s higher volume and athleticism could allow him to outpoint Sidey in a technical striking match, especially if he avoids brawling and keeps the fight at boxing range. However, Sidey’s reach advantage, knockout power, and ability to mix in clinch work and kicks give him more paths to victory, particularly if he lands a clean shot or capitalizes on Smotherman’s questionable chin. Given Sidey’s slight edge in versatility and finishing ability, I lean toward Serhiy Sidey winning by decision. His technical striking and aggression should help him edge out rounds, especially if he uses his reach and clinch to disrupt Smotherman’s rhythm.