AMEDEUS' CHAMPIONS LEAGUE PERFECT PITCH!

Handicapper

Amedeus Mastrangelo

League

SOCCER

Competition

Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal

Release Date

04/29/2025 11:22 AM

Event Date

04/29/2025 03:00 PM

Bet Type

Moneyline

Pick

Arsenal +117 (BetOnline)

Outcome

Loss

Analysis

Arsenal is coming into this match playing in very good form in their recent matches. They have won 2 of their last 3 as well as 3 of their last 5 matches with no losses in that span. Their attack has been great in these matches as well, scoring at least 2 goals in each of their last 3 as well as 4 of their last 5 matches. When playing at home, they have won 3 of their last 5 matches there with no losses in that span, and their attack has been very good in those as they have scored at least 2 goals in 3 of their last 4 matches there. They are going up against a PSG side that has not been in great form in their recent matches. They have lost 2 of their last 4 matches and they only have 1 win in that span. Their defense has not been good recently either as they have allowed a goal in their last 5 straight matches and have allowed at least 3 goals in 2 of their last 4 as well. PSG does have a very potent attack, but even their attack has been weaker recently with just 1 goal scored in each of their last 3 matches. When playing away from home, they do not have a win in their last 2 matches and they have allowed 4 goals in that span as well. PSG is a very ball dominant side that likes to play with possession in their matches, but that actually works in Arsenal's favor here. PSG only has 1 win in their last 4 matches and all 4 of those were matches which they dominated the possession in but still dropped points, their only win coming against a much weaker Le Havre side who is one of the worst teams in Ligue 1 this season. Arsenal has been in a very similar situation as the last 3 straight as well as 10 of the last 11 matches they have not won have all been matches that they dominated the possession in. They have won many matches without dominating possession though and this is a match where PSG will try to control it with possession so Arsenal is going to have no problem playing on the counter and will get plenty of opportunities to score on this bad PSG defense that has been conceding a lot of goals while dominating possession in matches. Arsenal will win this match at home and take a lead into the 2nd leg. UEFA Champions League: Arsenal ML, Rot. 224202