Xavier Musketeers vs UConn Huskies Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/28/2024

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Sunday, January 28, 2024

Venue:  XL Center, Hartford, CT

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Xavier +11, UConn -11; Over/Under:  150 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Xavier +11, UConn -11; Over/Under:  150 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Xavier +11, UConn -11; Over/Under:  150 points

Xavier Musketeers:  10-9 (4-4) (8th place, Big East)

UConn Huskies:  17-2 (7-1) (1st place, Big East)

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Xavier Musketeers:  3-2  last 5

UConn Huskies:  5-0  last 5

Xavier is entering this game with a 10-9 record overall, a 4-4 record in conference games, and they are 1-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Creighton Bluejays in their last game. Dayvion McKnight and Desmond Claude each led the team in points per game in that game with 20 while Quincy Olivari was next on the team with 15. Quincy Olivari led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Quincy Olivari led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 40.8% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 92.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.7 PPG against them. Xavier has an ATS record of 12-7 this season and their O/U record is 10-9.

UConn is entering this game with a 17-2 record overall, a 7-1 conference record, and they are 10-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Villanova Wildcats in their last game. Tristen Newton led the team in points in that game with 25 while Cam Spencer was next on the team with 14. Tristen Newton, Cam Spencer, and Hassan Diarra each led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Donovan Clingan led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 40.8% from the field, 29.6% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 64.6 PPG against them. UConn has an ATS record of 11-8 this season and their O/U record is 9-9-1.

The current betting odds have UConn listed as an 11 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UConn has looked really good in their games this season with their 17-2 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have looked great in their home games all year with their 10-0 home record and they are also 7-1 in their conference games which has them right at the top of the Big East. Meanwhile, Xavier hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 10-9 record overall and their 4-4 conference record which has them in the middle of the Big East. They have also looked terrible in their road games this year with their 1-4 road record. Xavier has done nothing but struggle since getting into conference play and they don't have the talent that UConn has on their side. UConn is one of the best teams in the country right now and they have been rolling in their conference games. They will have no problem blowing out a lesser opponent in Xavier on their home court. The best way to place a bet here is on UConn to cover the spread in this game. 

Xavier UConn Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Sunday, January 28, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is UConn 92 Xavier 68.

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Xavier Musketeers: 1-6 ATS after scoring 75 points or more 5 straight games. 9-18 ATS after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. 2-6 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 6-3 OVER after a game with 9 or less assists. 18-9 OVER after playing a game as an underdog. 28-18 OVER after a game where they covered the spread.

UConn Huskies: 38-20 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less. 22-11 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games. 27-15 OVER as a home favorite or pick. 11-5 OVER after 2 or more consecutive unders. 21-12 OVER after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games. 

Xavier Musketeers:  J. Hunter (F) out for season - Heart. Z. Freemantle (F) out for season - Foot.

UConn Huskies:  None.

“We knew Creighton had been in a triple-overtime game and been in the East for back-to-back road games. You hope in some ways you can take advantage of players like they have that played so many minutes a few days ago. I tip my hat to Creighton. They did a great job of rising up in the second half and making plays and playing all the way to the final buzzer.” - Sean Miller after his team’s loss against Creighton in their last game on Wednesday.

“This is a manhood test every time you step on the court in the Big East. It's UFC-type (games). It's steel cage. You could throw elbows, it's jiu-jitsu, it's Muay Thai, it's everything.” - Dan Hurley after his team’s win against Villanova in their last game on Saturday.

D. Claude 

D. McKnight 

G. Nemeikša 

Q. Olivari 

A. Ousmane

S. Ball 

D. Clingan 

A. Karaban 

T. Newton 

C. Spencer

PPG: Q. Olivari (17.9)

APG: D. McKnight (4.8)

Reb/G: A. Ousmane (6.8)

PPG: T. Newton (15.4)

APG: T. Newton (5.9)

Reb/G: T. Newton (6.5)

Coaches:

Xavier Musketeers: Sean Miller (2nd season)

UConn Huskies: Dan Hurley (6th season)