by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jun 10, 2025
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, June 11, 2025
Venue: Citi Field, Flushing, NY
Where to Watch: SNY
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Nationals +202, Mets -253; Over/Under: 8 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Nationals +200, Mets -255; Over/Under: 8 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Nationals +200, Mets -255; Over/Under: 8 runs
Season Record
Washington Nationals: 30-35 (3rd place, NL East)
New York Mets: 42-24 (1st place, NL East)
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Recent Form
Washington Nationals: 5-5 last 10
New York Mets: 8-2 last 10
Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis
The Nationals are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-35 record overall and have a road record of 15-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .692 OPS. MacKenzie Gore is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Jake Irvin is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-2 with a 4.02 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 8 hits through 5 IP against the Chicago Cubs.
The Mets are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-24 record overall and have a home record of 24-7. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Nationals on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .756 OPS. Griffin Canning is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while David Peterson is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-2 with a 2.80 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 7 hits through 7 innings played against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Nationals vs Mets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets have looked great in their games this season with their 42-24 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their own ballpark this year with their 24-7 home record. Meanwhile, the Nationals haven't looked great in their games this season with their 30-35 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL East. They haven't been a great road team though with their 15-17 road record this season. The Nationals have looked a lot better lately as they have been playing better, but the Mets are one of the best teams in the MLB right now and they have been rolling lately as they are 8-2 in their last 10 games. They also have the better pitching matchup in this one with Peterson on the mound for them. He is 4-2 with a 2.80 ERA this year and he hasn't been giving up many runs in any of his starts. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start, but he has pitched a lot better than that for most of the season so he will bounce back with a better performance here. The team has still won 2 of the last 3 games he started in too. The Nationals are going with Irvin in this one and he hasn't looked bad this year, but he hasn't been great either. He is 5-2 with a 4.02 ERA and he is coming off a start in which he gave up 3 earned runs. His team has been having success with him lately, but he has been giving up runs in his starts all season and he is going to get himself into some trouble against a lineup like this. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.
Nationals Mets Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 11, 2025 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 8 Nationals 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Washington Nationals: 171-217 (+28.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 84-109 (+24.1 units) on the moneyline in road games. 141-190 (+31.9 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 25-16 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better.
New York Mets: 50-35 (-11.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more. 97-75 (-6 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a losing record. 67-51 (-9.1 units) on the moneyline vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season. 20-10 UNDER as a home favorite of -175 to -250.
Key Injuries
Washington Nationals: D. Crews (RF) Ten Day IL - Back. P. DeJong (3B) Ten Day IL - Face. O. Ribalta (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Bicep. D. Law (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. D. Herz (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. M. Thompson (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Gray (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
New York Mets: M. Vientos (3B) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. J. Winker (LF) Ten Day IL - Side. D. Young (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Minter (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. F. Montas Jr. (SP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. B. Raley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. S. Manaea (SP) Sixty Day IL - Oblique. J. Siri (CF) Ten Day IL - Shin. C. Scott (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. N. Madrigal (3B) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. D. Smith (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“He's not trying to do a whole lot. He pulled a couple balls in. I think that this team tried to pitch him in, but he stayed on the ball. He did everything he needed to do to just get on base for us.” - Dave Martinez on Alex Call after his team’s loss against the Rangers in their game on Sunday.
“It’s really cool. I just want to help the team win every single chance I get. My game is driving the ball, doing what I can to score guys and get guys in. For me, it just boils down to doing my part, trying to win every day.” - Pete Alonso after their win against the Rockies in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Washington Nationals
Alex Call (R) RF
James Wood (L) LF
Amed Rosario (R) 3B
Nathaniel Lowe (L) 1B
Josh Bell (S) DH
Riley Adams (R) C
Luis García Jr. (L) 2B
Jacob Young (R) CF
Nasim Nuñez (S) SS
New York Mets
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Brandon Nimmo (L) LF
Juan Soto (L) RF
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Ronny Mauricio (S) DH
Tyrone Taylor (R) CF
Brett Baty (L) 3B
Francisco Alvarez (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Washington Nationals
Batting Average: Trey Lipscomb (.500)
Hits: James Wood (66)
Home Runs: James Wood (16)
RBI: James Wood (45)
Stolen Bases: Dylan Crews (11)
Wins: Jorge López (6)
Saves: Kyle Finnegan (18)
ERA: Cole Henry (2.31)
New York Mets
Batting Average: Pete Alonso (.301)
Hits: Pete Alonso (75)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (17)
RBI: Pete Alonso (61)
Stolen Bases: Francisco Lindor (13)
Wins: Clay Holmes (7)
Saves: Edwin Díaz (14)
ERA: José Castillo (0.00)
Managers:
Washington Nationals: Dave Martinez (8th season)
New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
