Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/14/2024

Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Sunday, July 14, 2024

Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  BSWI

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Nationals +124, Brewers -148; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Nationals +125, Brewers -150; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Nationals +125, Brewers -150; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Washington Nationals:  43-52 (4th place, NL East)

Milwaukee Brewers:  54-41 (1st place, NL Central)

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Washington Nationals:  4-6 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers:  4-6 last 10

The Nationals are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the New York Mets 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-52 record overall and have a road record of 23-28. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Nationals won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .676 OPS. Rookie pitcher Mitchell Parker is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Jake Irvin is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-7 with a 3.13 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 2 HR, and 2 BB with 2 Ks on 9 hits through 6 IP against the New York Mets.

The Brewers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-41 record overall and have a home record of 28-16. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Nationals on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Brewers lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .729 OPS. Dallas Keuchel is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Colin Rea is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 8-3 with a 3.81 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 7 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 3 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5 innings played against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked really good in their games this season with their 54-41 record overall which leads the NL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 28-16 home record. Meanwhile, the Nationals haven't looked great in their games this season with their 43-52 record overall which has them near the bottom of their division and well out of the playoff race. They haven't looked great in their road games either, going 23-28 in those this season. Both of these teams have been struggling lately with 4-6 records in each of their last 10 games. The Nationals took the 1st game in this series on Friday, but the Brewers will be looking to bounce back with a series win going into the break after losing their last series to the Pirates. They are going to have a solid starter on the mound too with Rea going in this one. He is 8-3 with a 3.81 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs this season. He did get blown up for 7 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't been the case in a lot of his starts this year. He will be looking to bounce back at home with a better performance since he has been solid all year, and the team has still won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Nationals will have Irvin on the mound here and he is 7-7 with a 3.13 ERA. He hasn't looked bad in a lot of his starts this season, but he has still chalked up a lot of losses with 7. He also gave up 6 earned runs in his last start and the Brewers have a much stronger offense that will be looking to put some runs up after a few bad performances. Look for the Brewers to finish off strong going into the All Star break. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game. 

Nationals Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 14, 2024 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 5 Nationals 3.

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Washington Nationals: 12-19 (-9.45 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 31 away games. 16-9 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 25 away games. 13-9 to the over in their last 22 games.

Milwaukee Brewers: 23-10 (+8.35 units) on the moneyline in their last 33 home games. 20-13 (+10.45 units) on the runline in their last 33 home games. 21-12 to the over with their team total in their last 32 home games.

Washington Nationals:  J. Gray (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Hassell III (CF) End of June - Undisclosed. J. Gallo (1B) Late June - Hamstring. T. Williams (SP) Mid June - Elbow. M. Thompson (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Cavalli (SP) Mid June - Elbow. J. Ferrer (SP) Late May - Shoulder.

Milwaukee Brewers:  G. Sanchez (C) Mid July - Calf. E. Paredes (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Koenig (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. O. Dunn (2B) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Ross (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. R. Gasser (SP) out for season - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) out for season - Shoulder. D. Williams (RP) Mid July - Back. W. Miley (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Bukauskas (RP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. D. Hall (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“It was outstanding. He did a good job. His fastball was electric today. He pitched really, really well.” - Dave Martinez on Robert Garcia after his team’s win against the Brewers in their game on Friday.

“Freddy made a few mistakes but generally, I thought he threw the ball good.” - Pat Murphy after his team’s loss against the Nationals in their game on Friday.

C Abrams (L) SS

J Wood (L) LF

L Thomas (R) RF

J Winker (L) DH

J Yepez (R) 1B

L García Jr. (L) 2B

K Ruiz (S) C

T Lipscomb (R) 3B

J Young (R) CF

B Turang (L) 2B

W Contreras (R) C

C Yelich (L) DH

W Adames (R) SS

S Frelick (L) RF

R Hoskins (R) 1B

G Mitchell (L) CF

J Ortiz (R) 3B

J Chourio (R) LF

Batting Average:  Juan Yepez (.333)

Hits:  CJ Abrams (93)

Home Runs:  CJ Abrams (14)

RBI:  CJ Abrams (46)

Stolen Bases:  Lane Thomas (22)

Wins:  Jake Irvin (7)

Saves:  Kyle Finnegan (24)

ERA:  Dylan Floro (2.20)

Batting Average:  Eric Haase (.357)

Hits:  William Contreras (107)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (14)

RBI:  Willy Adames (63)

Stolen Bases:  Brice Turang (29)

Wins:  Colin Rea (8)

Saves:  Trevor Megill (18)

ERA:  James Meeker (0.00)

Managers:

Washington Nationals: Dave Martinez (7th season)

Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (1st season)