Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/10/2025

by Rod Pearson

Friday, May 09, 2025
Game Time: 6:00 pm ET, Saturday, May 10, 2025
Venue:  Lenovo Center, Raleigh, NC
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Capitals +170, Hurricanes -205; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Capitals +170, Hurricanes -205; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Capitals +155, Hurricanes -190; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Season Record

Washington Capitals:  51-22-9 (1st place, Metropolitan Division)
Carolina Hurricanes:  47-30-5 (2nd place, Metropolitan Division)

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Recent Form
Washington Capitals:  6-3-1 last 10
Carolina Hurricanes:  5-4-1 last 10



Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes Preview and Analysis


The Capitals are entering the playoffs with 111 points, a 51-22-9 record overall, and they were 25-13-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Carolina Hurricanes in their last game, winning that one at home 3-1. Tom Wilson, John Carlson, and Connor McMichael each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Tom Wilson, Aliaksei Protas, and Dylan Strome each led the team in assists with 1 while Tom Wilson and Alexander Ovechkin each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Logan Thompson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 28 shots with 27 saves and a .964 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 288 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 232 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.


The Hurricanes are entering the playoffs with 99 points, a 47-30-5 record overall, and they were 31-9-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Washington Capitals in their last game, losing that one on the road 3-1. Shayne Gostisbehere scored 1 goal for them in that one. Sebastian Aho and Seth Jarvis each led the team in assists with 1 while Shayne Gostisbehere led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Frederik Andersen was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 20 shots with 18 saves and a .900 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 266 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 233 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.


Capitals vs Hurricanes Prediction

The current betting odds have the Hurricanes listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Capitals and the 2nd seeded Hurricanes from the Metropolitan Division for the 2nd round of the NHL Eastern Conference playoffs. This series is all tied up 1-1 after the Capitals won game 2 at home. The Capitals made it a 1-1 series with a 3-1 win over the Hurricanes in the 2nd game of this series and they really needed that bounce back win. They lost the 1st game 2-1 in overtime and as close as that game was, the Hurricanes were by far the better team in that game. The last thing the Capitals wanted was to go to Carolina down 2-0 in the series and they were able to avoid that with the 3-1 win, but it wasn't easy for them to win that game as it was another tight game they had to grind out. The Hurricanes lost that game, but they still outshot the Capitals in that one too and they have completely outplayed the Capitals in the first 2 games of this series. The Hurricanes definitely haven't been their best in road games this season either as they have a losing road record, but they have still looked like the better team in both games. Now the Hurricanes are going back home where they have been great all season with one of the best home records in the entire NHL, going 31-9-1 on home ice this year, and they will bring their best effort to take a 2-1 series lead at home now that they have flipped the home advantage in their favor. The best way to place a bet here is on the Hurricanes to win this game and on the puckline. 

Capitals Hurricanes Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, May 10, 2025 (6:00 pm ET start time) is Hurricanes 4 Capitals 1.
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NHL Betting Trends


Washington Capitals: 33-36 (-7.1 units) on the moneyline off a home win. 64-66 (-8.5 units) on the moneyline off a win in their previous game. 92-109 (-25.8 units) on the moneyline against excellent power play teams- scoring on over 17.5% of their chances. 22-15 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive unders.

Carolina Hurricanes: 96-41 (+16.1 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite. 27-5 (+18.2 units) on the moneyline off a loss against a division rival. 44-19 (+10.1 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite. 24-16 UNDER after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game.

Key Injuries


Washington Capitals:  C. Lindgren (G) Day To Day - Personal. M. Fehervary (D) Out For Season - Meniscus. S. Milano (LW) Out - Upper-body. N. Backstrom (C) Out For Season - Hip. T. Oshie (RW) Out For Season - Back.

Carolina Hurricanes:  M. Jankowski (C) Day To Day - Undisclosed. J. Fast (RW) Out For Season - Neck.


Notable Quotes


“It was much better. There's no doubt about that. I still think we have another level to get to. We're going to need to get to that level, especially going down into their building. I do think that. I think the way that we played, some adjustments we made, I feel like we're getting there. Guys can feel it. We're getting a little more confident.” - Spencer Carbery after his team’s win against the Hurricanes in game 2 of this series on Thursday.


“We weren't certainly great, that's for sure. And you've got to give Washington credit. They played a much better game. We have to be better, that's for sure. We knew it was going to be hard. Having said that, we were still right in the game.” - Rod Brind’Amour after his team’s loss against the Capitals in game 2 of this series on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Washington Capitals
LW Alex Ovechkin
C Dylan Strome
RW Anthony Beauvillier
LD Jakob Chychrun
RD John Carlson
G Logan Thompson

Carolina Hurricanes
LW Andrei Svechnikov
C Sebastian Aho
RW Jackson Blake
LD Jaccob Slavin
RD Brent Burns
G Frederik Andersen

Statistical Leaders


Washington Capitals
Points: D. Strome (82)
Goals: A. Ovechkin (44)
Assists: D. Strome (53)
GAA: L. Thompson (2.49)

Carolina Hurricanes
Points: S. Aho (74)
Goals: S. Jarvis (32)
Assists: S. Aho (45)
GAA: F. Andersen (2.50)

Coaches:
Washington Capitals: Spencer Carbery (2nd season)
Carolina Hurricanes: Rod Brind'Amour (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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