Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/27/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 27, 2024

Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Knights +142, Leafs -170; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Knights +142, Leafs -170; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Knights +142, Leafs -170; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Vegas Golden Knights:  32-19-7 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

Toronto Maple Leafs:  33-16-8 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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Vegas Golden Knights:  4-5-1 last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs:  8-2-0 last 10

The Golden Knights are entering this game with 71 points, a 32-19-7 record overall, and they are 13-10-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Ottawa Senators in their last game, losing that one on the road 4-3 in a shootout. Chandler Stephenson led the team in goals scored with 2 while Jonathan Marchessault scored 1 goal for them in that game. William Karlsson and Shea Theodore each led the team in assists with 2 while Sheldon Rempal led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Logan Thompson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 33 shots with 30 saves and a .909 save percentage. Their offense has scored 186 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 165 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 74 points, a 33-16-8 record overall, and they are 15-10-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Colorado Avalanche in their last game, winning that one on the road 4-3. Tyler Bertuzzi led the team in goals with 3 as he recorded the hat trick while Mitchell Marner scored 1 goal for them in that game. William Nylander led the team in assists with 3 while William Nylander led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 29 shots with 26 saves and a .896 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 214 goals this season averaging 3.8 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 179 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Leafs listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Leafs have looked really good in their games this season with their 33-16-8 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East right now. They haven't looked great on their home ice this season with their 15-10-2 home record, but they have been one of the hottest teams in the NHL lately and have a ton of momentum on their side coming into this one. Meanwhile, the Knights have also looked really good in their games this season with their 32-19-7 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the West right now. They have also been a much better home team this season though and it has reflected in their road games with their 13-10-5 road record. They have clearly struggled more in their road games all season and they also haven't been nearly as good as they were in the first 2 months of the season when they picked up a lot of these wins that have them in the top 3 of their division. They have not looked good in their games lately with their 4-5-1 record in their last 10 games and they are facing a red hot Leafs team that is 8-2-0 in their last 10 games, with a win in Vegas during that time too. These two teams have been headed in opposite directions lately and the Knights won't be the team to end this hot run the Leafs have been on. The best way to place a bet here is on the Leafs to win this game. 

Golden Knights Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, February 27, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Leafs 4 Knights 2.

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Vegas Golden Knights: 142-102 (+8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 59-28 (+29.6 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 26-12 (+14 units) on the moneyline after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals. 5-1 OVER after 3 or more consecutive overs. 9-3 OVER after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games. 5-1 OVER after playing 3 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 145-93 (-20.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 83-61 (-28 units) on the moneyline off a win or tie in their previous game. 34-26 (-13.8 units) on the moneyline after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game. 24-12 OVER after 3 or more consecutive overs. 32-14 OVER after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games. 20-11 OVER after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored.

Vegas Golden Knights:  B. Howden (C) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. M. Stone (RW) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. J. Eichel (C) Early March - Knee. P. Dorofeyev (LW) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. T. Bjornfot (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. W. Carrier (LW) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. R. Lehner (G) Out indefinitely - Hip.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  M. Giordano (D) Out indefinitely - Personal. C. Jarnkrok (C) Early March - Hand. C. Timmins (D) Out indefinitely - Illness. J. Woll (G) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.

“That’s been a problem for us all year. So, we changed up a bit of our structure on it and found the open guy and got it to the net. Part of our problem with that is we haven’t been executing that play to get it to the net down low, so that was good. Obviously, helps us get a point but at the end of the day I felt we played well enough to get two.” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s loss against the Senators in their game on Saturday.

“The last couple of weeks he’s really been playing some great hockey." - Mitch Marner on Tyler Bertuzzi after their win against the Avalanche in their game on Saturday.

LW Brisson, Brendan

C Roy, Nicolas

RW Marchessault, Jonathan

LD Martinez, Alec

RD Pietrangelo, Alex

G Thompson, Logan

LW Knies, Matthew

C Matthews, Auston

RW Marner, Mitchell

LD Brodie, TJ

RD Liljegren, Timothy

G Samsonov, Ilya

Points: M. Stone (53)

Goals: J. Marchessault (30)

Assists: M. Stone (37)

GAA: A. Hill (2.27)

Points: W. Nylander (78)

Goals: A. Matthews (52)

Assists: M. Marner (49)

GAA: M. Jones (2.71)

Coaches:

Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (2nd season)

Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)