Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/11/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Venue:  PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Knights -175, Penguins +145; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Knights -175, Penguins +145; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Knights -175, Penguins +145; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Vegas Golden Knights:  38-19-6 (1st place, Pacific Division)

Pittsburgh Penguins:  25-31-10 (8th place, Metropolitan Division)

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Vegas Golden Knights:  7-3-0 last 10

Pittsburgh Penguins:  2-7-1 last 10

The Golden Knights are entering this game with 82 points, a 38-19-6 record overall, and they are 14-12-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Los Angeles Kings in their last game, losing that one at home 6-5. Tomáš Hertl led the team in goals scored with 3 as he recorded the hattrick while Nicolas Roy and Brandon Saad each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Jack Eichel and Mark Stone each led the team in assists with 2 while Brandon Saad led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 6 goals on 35 shots with 29 saves and a .829 save percentage. Their offense has scored 213 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 174 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.

The Penguins are entering this game with 60 points, a 25-31-10 record overall, and they are 14-13-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Minnesota Wild in their last game, winning that one on the road 3-1. Sidney Crosby led the team in goals scored with 2 while Evgeni Malkin scored 1 goal for them in that one. Matt Grzelcyk, Tristan Jarry, Erik Karlsson, Kris Letang, and Rickard Rakell each led the team in assists with 1 while Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Tristan Jarry was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 30 shots with 29 saves and a .967 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 187 goals this season averaging 2.8 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 242 goals against them allowing 3.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Golden Knights listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Golden Knights have looked really good in their games this season with their 38-19-6 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the West and in a playoff spot. They haven't been a great road team though with their 14-12-3 road record. Meanwhile, the Penguins have looked terrible in their games this season with their 25-31-10 record overall which has them right at the bottom of their division in the East and out of a playoff spot. They haven't looked good on home ice either with their 14-13-5 home record. They are coming off a win over the Wild in their last one, but that is only 1 win and they have still looked terrible lately as they are 2-7-1 in their last 10 games. The Golden Knights have been the much hotter team lately as they are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games. They are coming off a loss to the Kings in their last one, but they will be looking to bounce back in this game. As bad as the Golden Knights have been in road games this season, they have still won 14 games on the road and this is a game that they can take advantage of a really bad Penguins team feeling good off a win. Look for the Golden Knights to bounce back in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Golden Knights to win this game. 

Golden Knights Penguins Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, March 11, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Knights 4 Penguins 1.

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Vegas Golden Knights: 153-103 (+18.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-9 (+10.6 units) on the moneyline off a loss against a division rival. 97-57 (+15.6 units) on the moneyline against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal. 8-4 UNDER off a home loss against a division rival.

Pittsburgh Penguins: 103-127 (-48.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 51-71 (-25.9 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 53-81 (-33.3 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 36-18 UNDER against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp.

Vegas Golden Knights:  R. Lavoie (C) Out - Upper Body. W. Karlsson (C) Out - Lower Body. S. Theodore (D) Out - Arm. L. Cormier (D) Out - Undisclosed.

Pittsburgh Penguins:  T. Novak (C) Day To Day - Lower Body. P. Joseph (D) Out - Upper Body.

“Tonight, I just think for whatever reason, we were not attentive to detail when the puck wasn't there. So, that's something that I believe will be better Tuesday, Thursday, Saturday, just because we're better than that. Hopefully, we take it to heart. It can be a humbling game. Didn't see this one coming. But it's not who we are.” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s loss against the LA Kings in their game on Sunday.

“I thought the guys were committed. They competed hard, they did the little things: we won draws, we got clears, we made the entries tough. When you do those three things, as we always say, you limit zone time. When Minnesota established zone time, I thought we did a good job of protecting the good ice.” - Mike Sullivan after his team’s win against the Wild in their game on Sunday.

LW Tanner Pearson

C Jack Eichel

RW Mark Stone

LD Nicolas Hague

RD Alex Pietrangelo

G Adin Hill

LW Rickard Rakell

C Sidney Crosby

RW Bryan Rust

LD Ryan Shea

RD Kris Letang

G Tristan Jarry

Points: J. Eichel (77)

Goals: T. Hertl (27)

Assists: J. Eichel (57)

GAA: A. Hill (2.60)

Points: S. Crosby (68)

Goals: R. Rakell (29)

Assists: S. Crosby (47)

GAA: A. Nedeljkovic (3.17)

Coaches:

Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (3rd season)

Pittsburgh Penguins: Mike Sullivan (10th season)