Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/10/2025

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Saturday, May 10, 2025

Venue:  Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Knights +114, Oilers -135; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Knights +110, Oilers -130; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Knights +100, Oilers -120; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Vegas Golden Knights:  50-22-10 (1st place, Pacific Division)

Edmonton Oilers:  48-29-5 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

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Vegas Golden Knights:  5-3-2 last 10

Edmonton Oilers:  7-3-0 last 10

The Golden Knights are entering the playoffs with 110 points, a 50-22-10 record overall, and they were 21-13-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Edmonton Oilers in their last game, losing that one at home 5-4 in overtime. Victor Olofsson led the team in goals scored with 2 while Alex Pietrangelo and William Karlsson each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Jack Eichel led the team in assists with 3 while Victor Olofsson, Noah Hanifin, Ivan Barbashev, and Tanner Pearson each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 37 shots with 32 saves and a .865 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 275 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 219 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The Oilers are entering the playoffs with 101 points, a 48-29-5 record overall, and they were 25-13-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last game, winning that one on the road 5-4 in OT. Vasily Podkolzin, Leon Draisaitl, Evander Kane, Darnell Nurse, and Jake Walman each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Viktor Arvidsson and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins each led the team in assists with 2 while Darnell Nurse led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Calvin Pickard was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 32 shots with 28 saves and a .875 save percentage. Their offense has scored 259 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 236 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Oilers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Golden Knights and the 3rd seeded Oilers from the Pacific Division for the 2nd round of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. The Oilers are leading this series 2-0 after winning game 2 on the road. The Oilers took a 2-0 series lead with a 5-4 win over the Golden Knights in the 2nd game of this series and they have looked like the better team in this series so far. The Oilers came into this series with a lot of momentum from their last series, winning 4-2 after falling behind 2-0 in that series, and now they are going home for the next 2 games in this series with 6 wins in a row now. They have been rolling in these games with an offense that has been scoring a lot of goals, and they continue to find ways to win games, even when they fall behind. That was another comeback win for them as they started the game down 1-0 and eventually took a 4-2 lead before blowing that lead late in the 3rd period, but they still recovered in overtime and went on to win the game as they are shaping up to be a really tough team to beat. The Golden Knights had their 2 chances to win a game at home in this series but they blew leads in both of those games and with the way they have played in this series and their last one, it is starting to look like this series won't be going back to Vegas for another game. The Golden Knights are going to be in a desperate situation here, but they haven't been able to stop this Oilers offense and the Oilers haven't lost a home game in these playoffs yet. The best way to place a bet here is on the Oilers to win this game. 

Golden Knights Oilers Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, May 10, 2025 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Oilers 5 Knights 2.

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Vegas Golden Knights: 74-41 (+24 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent. 84-62 (+18 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 97-76 (+11 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 33-18 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).

Edmonton Oilers: 48-37 (-9.6 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -200 or less. 39-36 (-7.6 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 48-44 (-6 units) on the moneyline versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game. 36-28 UNDER after a 3 game winning streak.

Vegas Golden Knights:  P. Dorofeyev (LW) Day To Day - Undisclosed. B. McNabb (D) Day To Day - Upper Body.

Edmonton Oilers:  M. Ekholm (D) Out - Undisclosed. A. Regula (D) Out - Knee.

“He shot the puck when it came over to the elbow. That's what he does well. There was a power play in the second period where he turned down shots. We said: ‘Victor, you're there. You and [forward Pavel Dorofeyev] have good releases, good shots on left sticks. They're one-timers, so shoot it. The puck shows up, be selfish in those situations.’” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s loss against the Oilers in game 2 of this series on Thursday.

“When you have elite talent, those game breakers, they just need a moment or an opportunity to make that play. You saw it tonight. Not too often they're quiet for an entire game and don't show up on the score sheet. Tonight, when we needed them most, they made a heck of a play there.” - Kris Knoblauch after his team’s win against the Golden Knights in game 2 of this series on Thursday.

LW Ivan Barbashev

C Jack Eichel

RW Mark Stone

LD Brayden McNabb

RD Shea Theodore

G Adin Hill

LW Leon Draisaitl

C Connor McDavid

RW Corey Perry

LD Darnell Nurse

RD Evan Bouchard

G Calvin Pickard

Points: J. Eichel (94)

Goals: P. Dorofeyev (35)

Assists: J. Eichel (66)

GAA: A. Schmid (1.26)

Points: L. Draisaitl (106)

Goals: L. Draisaitl (52)

Assists: C. McDavid (74)

GAA: C. Pickard (2.71)

Coaches:

Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (3rd season)

Edmonton Oilers: Kris Knoblauch (2nd season)