Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, May 10, 2023
Venue: Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline: Golden Knights +155, Oilers -180; Over/Under: 7 goals
Bet365: Moneyline: Golden Knights +165, Oilers -185; Over/Under: 7 goals
BetMGM: Moneyline: Golden Knights +150, Oilers -185; Over/Under: 7 goals
Season Record
Vegas Golden Knights: 51-22-9 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Edmonton Oilers: 50-23-9 (2nd place, Pacific Division)
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Recent Form
Vegas Golden Knights: 8-2-0 last 10
Edmonton Oilers: 6-2-2 last 10
Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers Preview and Analysis
The Golden Knights are entering this game finishing the regular season with 111 points, a 51-22-9 record overall, and they were 26-7-8 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Edmonton Oilers in their last game, winning that one on the road 5-1. Jonathan Marchessault scored 2 goals while Jack Eichel, Chandler Stephenson, and Zach Whitecloud each scored 1 goal in that game. Jack Eichel led the team in assists with 2 while Jonathan Marchessault led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Laurent Brossoit was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 4 shots with 3 saves and a .750 sv percentage before leaving the game injured and getting replaced by Adin Hill who allowed 0 goals on 24 shots with 24 saves and a 1.000 save percentage. Their offense has scored 272 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 229 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.
The Oilers are entering this game finishing the regular season with 109 points, a 50-23-9 record overall, and they were 23-12-6 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last game, losing that one at home 5-1. Warren Foegele scored the only goal for them in that game. Ryan McLeod and Derek Ryan each led the team in assists with 1 while Leon Draisaitl, Mattias Ekholm, Zach Hyman, and Connor McDavid each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 23 shots with 19 saves and a .826 save percentage before getting replaced by Jack Campbell who allowed 1 goal on 10 shots with 9 saves and a .900 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 325 goals this season averaging 4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 260 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.
Golden Knights vs Oilers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Oilers listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7-game series between the Oilers and the Golden Knights for the 2nd round of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. The Golden Knights are entering this game with a 2-1 series lead after stealing back a road game in game 3 of this series. This series has been back and forth as the Golden Knights responded to their 5-1 loss at home in game 2 with a 5-1 win on the road in game 3, but the Oilers are definitely going to have another response in this game now that they are down in the series. Their offense was very quiet in game 3 but this is an offense that has been really hot in the playoffs and over the last few weeks coming into the playoffs so they are going to bounce back with a much better performance on home ice and score some goals in this game. The Golden Knights are also dealing with another injury to one of their goalies leaving them even thinner at the position than they already were and the Oilers will be able to take advantage of that with an offensive explosion that will carry them to a win in game 4. The Oilers were already in this position down 2-1 against the Kings in the 1st round so they will dig in deep here and throw everything they have at the Golden Knights to even up this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Oilers to win this game and on the puckline as they will even up the series 2-2 here.
Golden Knights Oilers Prediction: Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, May 10, 2023 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Oilers 7 Golden Knights 2.
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NHL Betting Trends
Vegas Golden Knights: 57-33 (+15.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 30-13 (+16.3 units) on the moneyline after playing a road game. 19-8 UNDER after a division game. 24-11 UNDER off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival.
Edmonton Oilers: 25-20 (-10.9 units) on the moneyline in a home game where the total is 6 or more. 24-20 (-6.7 units) on the moneyline after playing a home game. 7-2 UNDER off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival. 26-19 UNDER after allowing 5 goals or more.
Key Injuries
Vegas Golden Knights: L. Brossoit (G) day-to-day - Undisclosed. L. Thompson (G) Mid May - Lower Body. N. Patrick (C) out for season - Upper Body. R. Lehner (G) out for season - Hip.
Edmonton Oilers: M. Janmark (C) Ques Wed - Upper Body. R. Murray (D) Mid May - Back.
Notable Quotes
“We’ve used a lot of different guys at this position. They’ve all played well. That’s the good part for us. We know the guy going in there is going to make some timely saves. We don’t rely on him to win games for us. It might have to happen here or there, but in general we have tried to play well in front of our goaltender no matter who is in there.” - Bruce Cassidy on his team’s goaltending situation after his team’s win against the Oilers in their game on Monday, game 3 of this series.
“I just didn’t think we were sharp. I don’t think we skated well. I don’t think our battle level was where it needed to be. ... Our team wasn’t good in any area tonight.” - Jay Woodcroft after his team’s loss against the Golden Knights in their game on Monday, game 3 of this series.
Starting Lineups
Vegas Golden Knights
LW Barbashev, Ivan
C Eichel, Jack
RW Marchessault, Jonathan
LD Martinez, Alec
RD Pietrangelo, Alex
G Brossoit, Laurent
Edmonton Oilers
LW Draisaitl, Leon
C McDavid, Connor
RW Kane, Evander
LD Nurse, Darnell
RD Ceci, Cody
G Skinner, Stuart
Statistical Leaders
Vegas Golden Knights
Points: J. Eichel (66)
Goals: J. Marchessault (28)
Assists: C. Stephenson (49)
GAA: L. Brossoit (2.17)
Edmonton Oilers
Points: C. McDavid (153)
Goals: C. McDavid (64)
Assists: C. McDavid (89)
GAA: S. Skinner (2.75)
Coaches:
Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (1st season)
Edmonton Oilers: Jay Woodcroft (2nd season)