Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/14/2025

Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, June 14, 2025

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  NBCS-P

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +144, Phillies -176; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +145, Phillies -175; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +145, Phillies -175; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Toronto Blue Jays:  38-30 (2nd place, AL East)

Philadelphia Phillies:  39-29 (2nd place, NL East)

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Toronto Blue Jays:  8-2 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  3-7 last 10

The Blue Jays are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-30 record overall and have a road record of 16-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .728 OPS. Kevin Gausman is their starting pitcher on Friday while Bowden Francis is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-8 with a 6.12 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 2 HR, and 5 BB with 2 SO on 5 hits through 3.1 IP against the Minnesota Twins.

The Phillies are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-29 record overall and have a home record of 21-13. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .727 OPS. Ranger Suárez is their starting pitcher on Friday while Cristopher Sánchez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-2 with a 3.10 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 walks with 9 strikeouts on 6 hits through 7 innings pitched against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays have looked good in their games this season with their 38-30 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They haven't been a good road team though with their 16-17 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Phillies have looked good in their games this season with their 39-29 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have looked good in their own ballpark too with their 21-13 home record this year. The Blue Jays have been red hot lately as they are 8-2 in their last 10 games while the Phillies are only 3-7 in their last 10, but the Phillies just won their last series as they are starting to play better and they have the much better pitching matchup to take advantage of in this one. The Phillies are going with Sanchez in this one and he has looked good in his starts this season. He is 5-2 with a 3.10 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start too and the team has won 4 of the last 5 games that he started in. Francis is on the mound for the Blue Jays and he has looked terrible in his starts lately. He is 2-8 with a 6.12 ERA this season and has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts. He is coming off another bad start in which he gave up 4 earned runs, and his team has lost 3 games in a row now with him starting too. The Blue Jays have been hot lately, but Francis has been their weak link in the starting rotation and the Phillies will take advantage of that at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game. 

Blue Jays Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 14, 2025 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 8 Blue Jays 2.

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Toronto Blue Jays: 200-193 (-20.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 106-104 (-15.7 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 43-44 (-7.2 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 25-18 OVER vs. an NL team with a slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season.

Philadelphia Phillies: 187-113 (+13.1 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 131-74 (+19.3 units) on the moneyline in home games. 158-114 (+9.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 6-2 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse.

Toronto Blue Jays:  N. Lukes (RF) Seven Day IL - Neck. D. Varsho (CF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. A. Santander (RF) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. Y. Garcia (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. M. Scherzer (SP) Sixty Day IL - Thumb. R. Burr (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. N. Sandlin (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. A. Manoah (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Bastardo (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Philadelphia Phillies:  B. Marsh (CF) Day To Day - Hand. B. Harper (1B) Ten Day IL - Wrist. A. Nola (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Ankle.

“I’ve screwed up plenty of them so I feel like I have a better feel as to when to push a guy or when to go get a guy. It’s made our discussions and our pregame process better, I can tell you that, through failures and successes. It’s awkward at first, because it’s not the traditional [starter] throwing 80 or 100 pitches, but I’m kind of learning to enjoy it.” - John Schneider after his team’s win against the Cardinals in their game on Wednesday.

“He really executed today. Pounded the strike zone, changeup [and] slider were both really good, lots of weak contact, a lot of swing-and-miss. He was fantastic.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Cubs in their game on Wednesday.

Bo Bichette (R) SS

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B

Alejandro Kirk (R) DH

George Springer (R) RF

Ernie Clement (R) 3B

Davis Schneider (R) 2B

Myles Straw (R) CF

Jonatan Clase (S) LF

Tyler Heineman (S) C

Trea Turner (R) SS

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Max Kepler (L) LF

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Otto Kemp (R) 1B

Johan Rojas (R) CF

Batting Average:  Tyler Heineman (.407)

Hits:  Bo Bichette (79)

Home Runs:  George Springer (10)

RBI:  Bo Bichette (40)

Stolen Bases:  Andrés Giménez (9)

Wins:  Chris Bassitt (7)

Saves:  Jeff Hoffman (17)

ERA:  Spencer Turnbull (0.00)

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.303)

Hits:  Trea Turner (82)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (21)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (47)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (19)

Wins:  Zack Wheeler (6)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)

ERA:  Michael Mercado (0.00)

Managers:

Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (4th season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)