Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/07/2025

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jun 06, 2025
Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Saturday, June 7, 2025
Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch:  MLBN Alt


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -110, Twins -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -110, Twins -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -110, Twins -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Toronto Blue Jays:  33-29 (3rd place, AL East)
Minnesota Twins:  34-28 (2nd place, AL Central)

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Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays:  8-2 last 10
Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10



Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Preview and Analysis


The Blue Jays are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 33-29 record overall and have a road record of 11-16. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .722 OPS. Rookie pitcher Paxton Schultz is their starting pitcher on Friday while Kevin Gausman is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-4 with a 3.82 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 8 hits through 4.2 IP against the Athletics.

The Twins are entering this series off a loss and won their 4-game series against the Athletics 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-28 record overall and have a home record of 18-8. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .695 OPS. Bailey Ober is their starting pitcher on Friday while Chris Paddack is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-5 with a 3.58 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 10 strikeouts on 4 hits through 8 innings played against the Seattle Mariners.


Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction

The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as a pick ‘em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins have looked good in their games this season with their 34-28 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL Central in a competitive division. They have also looked great in their own ballpark this year with their 18-8 home record. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have looked good in their games this season with their 33-29 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL East. They haven't been a good road team though with their 11-16 road record this season. The Blue Jays haven't looked as good on the road this season, but they have been rolling in their games lately as they are 8-2 in their last 10 and this is a pitching matchup that they can take advantage of. The Blue Jays are going with Gausman in this one and he has been a solid starter for them all year. He is 5-4 with a 3.82 ERA and he has looked great lately. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start, but he hasn't been giving up many runs in most of his starts lately and the team has still won 3 games in a row now with him starting. The Twins are going with Paddack in this one and he hasn't looked great this year. He hasn't been giving up a ton of runs in his starts and only gave up 1 earned run in his last start, but he is still 2-5 with a 3.58 ERA this season and the team has lost 3 games in a row with him starting. The Twins were rolling over the last few weeks, but now they have cooled off in their games lately and are running into a red hot Blue Jays team here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game. 

Blue Jays Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 7, 2025 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 5 Twins 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Toronto Blue Jays: 37-35 (-7.5 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 195-192 (-25.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 153-148 (-16.7 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 45-25 UNDER against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins: 111-76 (+12 units) on the moneyline vs. a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL). 68-57 (+4.2 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better. 98-59 (+15.8 units) on the moneyline vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season. 16-9 UNDER in home games.

Key Injuries


Toronto Blue Jays:  D. Varsho (CF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. A. Santander (RF) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. Y. Garcia (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. M. Scherzer (SP) Sixty Day IL - Thumb. R. Burr (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. N. Sandlin (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. A. Manoah (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Bastardo (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Minnesota Twins:  C. Correa (SS) Day To Day - Back. P. Lopez (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. D. Coulombe (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. L. Keaschall (2B) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. M. Tonkin (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“In games that we do really well, I think the bottom of the order probably does their part. They're on base for the guys at the top. It’s nice that it doesn’t have to be the same single person or two every single night.” - John Schneider after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Thursday.


“There’s a lot of reasons for it, but when your starters can go out there and pitch you into the sixth inning and beyond, it does a lot of things to help a team.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Athletics in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Toronto Blue Jays
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B
George Springer (R) RF
Alejandro Kirk (R) DH
Ernie Clement (R) 3B
Davis Schneider (R) 2B
Myles Straw (R) CF
Jonatan Clase (S) LF
Tyler Heineman (S) C

Minnesota Twins
Byron Buxton (R) CF
Trevor Larnach (L) DH
Ryan Jeffers (R) C
Matt Wallner (L) RF
Willi Castro (S) 3B
Ty France (R) 1B
Kody Clemens (L) 2B
Brooks Lee (S) SS
Harrison Bader (R) LF

Statistical Leaders


Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Tyler Heineman (.404)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (73)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (8)
RBI:  Bo Bichette (35)
Stolen Bases:  Andrés Giménez (9)
Wins:  Chris Bassitt (6)
Saves:  Jeff Hoffman (13)
ERA:  Brendon Little (1.29)

Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luke Keaschall (.368)
Hits:  Trevor Larnach (60)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (10)
RBI:  Byron Buxton (37)
Stolen Bases:  Byron Buxton (10)
Wins:  Joe Ryan (6)
Saves:  Jhoan Duran (9)
ERA:  Danny Coulombe (0.00)

Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (4th season)
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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