Toledo Rockets vs Ball State Cardinals Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/04/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, Feb 03, 2022
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Friday, February 4, 2022
Venue:  Worthen Arena, Muncie, IN
Where to Watch:  ESPNU

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Toledo -9, Ball State +9; Over/Under:  155.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Toledo -9, Ball State +9; Over/Under:  155.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Toledo -8.5, Ball State +8.5; Over/Under:  155.5 points
 

Season Record

Toledo Rockets:  18-4 (1st place, MAC)
Ball State Cardinals:  10-11 (5th place, MAC)
 
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Toledo Rockets vs Ball State Cardinals Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Toledo Rockets:  5-0 last 5
Ball State Cardinals:  3-2 last 5
 
 
 

Toledo Rockets Analysis

Toledo is coming into this game with an 18-4 record overall and they are 6-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 12th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 10-1 in their conference games this season. Their last loss was against the Kent State Golden Flashes but they have gone on a 9 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Central Michigan Chippewas, the Northern Illinois Huskies, the Miami-OH RedHawks, the Bowling Green Falcons, the Ball State Cardinals, the Ohio Bobcats, the Buffalo Bulls, the Akron Zips, and the Eastern Michigan Eagles in their last game. JT Shumate led the team in points in that game with 24 while Ryan Rollins was next on the team with 19 points. Setric Millner Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Ra'Heim Moss led the team in rebounds with 10. They are 47.8% from the field, 35.9% from 3-point range, and 77.9% from the free throw line with their shooting this season. Their offense is averaging 80.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.1 PPG against them. Toledo has an ATS record of 16-5 this season and their O/U record is 9-10-2.
 
 

Ball State Cardinals Analysis

Ball State is coming into this game with a 10-11 record overall and they are 7-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 11th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 5-5 in their conference games this season. They have won 3 of their last 4 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 3 game winning streak that they were on. Their 3 wins in that span were against the Miami-OH RedHawks, the Northern Illinois Huskies, and the Western Michigan Broncos while their loss came against the Ohio Bobcats in their last game. Jalen Windham led the team in points in that game off the bench with 17 while Payton Sparks was next on the team with 13 points. Sparks, Demarius Jacobs, Jaylin Sellers, and Basheer Jihad all led the team in assists in that game with 2 each while Sparks led the team in rebounds himself with 11. They are 44.7% from the field, 36.1% from 3-point range, and 68.6% from the free throw line with their shots this season. Their offense is averaging 74 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 76.5 PPG against them. Ball State has an ATS record of 10-10 this season and their O/U record is 9-11.
 

 

Toledo vs Ball State Prediction

Toledo is coming into this game as a 9 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Toledo has been playing very well recently, winning a lot of their games. They have won 6 straight games by double digits including a win against Ball State earlier this season. Ball State has been getting their wins here and there but they have also been losing quite a few games to conference opponents by double digits including the last game they played in. Toledo should be able to keep rolling in this game and win against Ball State by double digits again here. The best bet to place in this game is on Toledo to cover the spread here.
 
Toledo Ball State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, February 4, 2022 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Toledo 83 Ball State 67.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Toledo Rockets: 13-8 O/U when the total is 150 to 159.5. 29-21 O/U against conference opponents. 29-19 O/U after a conference game. 49-28 O/U after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games. 10-3 O/U off 3 straight wins against conference rivals.
Ball State Cardinals: 10-3 O/U in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.5. 19-11 O/U after one or more consecutive overs. 38-23 O/U revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 
 

Key Injuries

 
Toledo Rockets:  A. Edu (F) Mid Feb - Knee injury.
Ball State Cardinals:  None.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“We go on the road and win by 20 and, I have to be honest with you, we didn’t play clean enough tonight. We gotta play better than we played.” - Tod Kowalczyk on his team’s win against EMU.
 
 
“It was great. I thought those charges, the offensive rebounds, we really had those kind of plays in winning time, and that's a good sign for us. It’s a hard fought game, and we knew it'd be a hard fought game. They all are, it's college basketball.” - James Whitford on his team’s win against WMU.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Toledo Rockets
R. Dennis 
S. Millner 
R. Moss 
R. Rollins 
J. Shumate
 
Ball State Cardinals
L. Bumbalough 
T. Cochran 
D. Jacobs 
P. Sparks 
M. Thomas
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Toledo Rockets
PPG: R. Rollins (20)
APG: R. Dennis (3.6)
Reb/G: J. Shumate (6.3)
 
Ball State Cardinals
PPG: P. Sparks (12.5)
APG: L. Bumbalough (3.1)
Reb/G: P. Sparks (7.7)
 
Coaches:
Toledo Rockets: Tod Kowalczyk (12th season)
Ball State Cardinals: James Whitford (9th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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