Texas Longhorns vs Mississippi Rebels Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/29/2025

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, January 29, 2025

Venue:  Pavilion at Ole Miss, University, MS

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas +5.5, Ole Miss -5.5; Over/Under:  141 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas +5.5, Ole Miss -5.5; Over/Under:  141 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas +5.5, Ole Miss -5.5; Over/Under:  141 points

Texas Longhorns:  14-6 (3-4) (11th place, SEC)

Mississippi Rebels:  15-5 (4-3) (8th place, SEC)

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Texas Longhorns:  3-2  last 5

Mississippi Rebels:  2-3  last 5

Texas is entering this game with a 14-6 record overall, a 3-4 record in conference games, and they are 2-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Texas A&M Aggies in their last game. Tre Johnson led the team in points per game in that game with 30 while Tramon Mark was next on the team with 11. Julian Larry led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Kadin Shedrick led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 46.2% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 82.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.3 PPG against them. Texas has an ATS record of 11-8-1 this season and their O/U record is 9-9-2.

Ole Miss is entering this game with a 15-5 record overall, a 4-3 conference record, and they are 9-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Missouri Tigers in their last game. Malik Dia led the team in points in that game with 17 while Sean Pedulla was next on the team with 15. Sean Pedulla led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Malik Dia led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 48.3% from the field, 30% from 3-point range, and 72.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.4 PPG against them. Ole Miss has an ATS record of 12-7-1 this season and their O/U record is 8-12.

The current betting odds have Ole Miss listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Ole Miss has looked good in their games this season with their 15-5 record overall and their 4-3 conference record which has them right in the middle of the SEC. They have looked a lot better on their home court this year with their 9-1 home record. Meanwhile, Texas has looked good in their games this season with their 14-6 record overall, but their 3-4 conference record has them in the bottom half of the SEC. They haven't looked as good in road games either with their 2-2 road record. They are coming off a win over Texas A&M in their last one and have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now, but both wins were also on their home court where they have been better this season and they barely escaped their last game against Texas A&M with the win. Ole Miss hasn't looked great lately with 3 losses in a row now, but they started the conference schedule 4-0 in their first 4 games so they are going to be desperate to break out of this funk and pick up a win on their home court here. As good as Texas has been lately, this will be a different experience for them on the road against a desperate Ole Miss team that does have some good wins this season and has been the better team overall. Ole Miss needs a bounce back game badly and they will bring their best effort to get it done at home. The best way to place a bet here is on Ole Miss to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas Mississippi Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, January 29, 2025 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Ole Miss 78 Texas 67.

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Texas Longhorns: 0-6 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. 13-25 ATS off a home win. 7-14 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games. 33-24 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5. 17-9 1H OVER off a win against a conference rival. 

Mississippi Rebels: 5-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 12-7 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or more with a defense of 42% or less. 6-3 1H ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses. 8-3 OVER after 3 or more consecutive losses. 5-1 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% of their attempts or more.

Texas Longhorns:  A. Kaluma (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Weaver (G) Questionable - Hip.

Mississippi Rebels:  D. Davis (G) Questionable - Undisclosed.

"We were playing without two of the top-six players in our rotation, but the message is the same, you have to find a way." - Rodney Terry after his team’s win against Texas A&M in their last game. 

"We just stay the course. This is the SEC. A two-game winning streak, it's free breakfast burritos in the morning, and people want to throw you a parade. A two-game losing streak, you feel like the sun won't come up tomorrow. It's short-term memory.” - Chris Beard after his team’s loss against Mizzou in their last game. 

T. Johnson 

A. Kaluma 

T. Mark 

J. Pope 

K. Shedrick

D. Davis 

M. Dia 

J. Murray 

M. Murrell 

S. Pedulla

PPG: T. Johnson (18.8)

APG: J. Larry (3.9)

Reb/G: A. Kaluma (8.2)

PPG: S. Pedulla (14.3)

APG: J. Murray (3.9)

Reb/G: M. Dia (6.2)

Coaches:

Texas Longhorns: Rodney Terry (3rd season)

Mississippi Rebels: Chris Beard (2nd season)