Tennessee Volunteers vs Mississippi Rebels Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/05/2025

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 5, 2025

Venue:  Pavilion at Ole Miss, University, MS

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -3.5, Ole Miss +3.5; Over/Under:  138.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -3.5, Ole Miss +3.5; Over/Under:  138.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -3.5, Ole Miss +3.5; Over/Under:  138.5 points

Tennessee Volunteers:  24-5 (11-5) (4th place, SEC)

Mississippi Rebels:  20-9 (9-7) (6th place, SEC)

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Tennessee Volunteers:  4-1  last 5

Mississippi Rebels:  2-3  last 5

Tennessee is entering this game with a 24-5 record overall, an 11-5 record in conference games, and they are 6-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Alabama Crimson Tide in their last game. Chaz Lanier and Jordan Gainey each led the team in points in that game with 18 while Zakai Zeigler was next on the team with 15. Zakai Zeigler led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Felix Okpara led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 42.6% from the field, 38.1% from 3-point range, and 73.1% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 61.3 PPG against them. Tennessee has an ATS record of 16-13 this season and their O/U record is 11-18.

Ole Miss is entering this game with a 20-9 record overall, a 9-7 conference record, and they are 12-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Oklahoma Sooners in their last game. Sean Pedulla led the team in points in that game with 26 while Jaemyn Brakefield was next on the team with 16. Sean Pedulla and Jaemyn Brakefield each led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Sean Pedulla led the team in rebounds with 5. They were 50.9% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 74.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71 PPG against them. Ole Miss has an ATS record of 14-14-1 this season and their O/U record is 14-15.

The current betting odds have Tennessee listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tennessee has looked really good in their games this season with their 24-5 record overall and their 11-5 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They have been a good road team too with their 6-4 road record this season. Meanwhile, Ole Miss has looked good in their games this season with their 20-9 record overall and their 9-7 conference record which has them in the top half of the SEC. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 12-3 home record. Ole Miss hasn't looked great lately though as they are 2-3 in their last 5 games. They are coming off a win over Oklahoma in their last one, but they struggled to win that game by 3 points in the end and they haven't looked good against ranked opponents lately either. Tennessee has looked good though as they are 4-1 in their last 5 games and have a ton of momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row now. They are coming off a win over Alabama in their last one which was huge for the NCAA Tournament, and now Tennessee is still looking to prove that they are worthy of a number 1 seed in the tournament. Ole Miss has had a good season, but the wheels have been falling off now that they have a much tougher schedule and Tennessee is coming into this one motivated with a lot of momentum on their side. The best way to place a bet here is on Tennessee to cover the spread in this game. 

Tennessee Mississippi Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, March 5, 2025 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 72 Ole Miss 65.

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Tennessee Volunteers: 4-7 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5. 18-25 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 5-10 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more. 7-3 UNDER in road games. 7-3 UNDER off a win against a conference rival. 

Mississippi Rebels: 9-5 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game. 6-2 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 11-6 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 7-3 UNDER off a home win. 

Tennessee Volunteers:  J. Estrella (F) Out - Foot.

Mississippi Rebels:  None.

“He’s been just incredible with everything. I mean, he exemplifies everything that you want in a player, a person, a great family.” - Rick Barnes on Jahmai Mashack after his team’s win against Alabama in their last game. 

"We all kind of recognize when we're on a winning streak because other peoples perceptions change, and we enjoy that. I don't think of us 'losing.' You either win the game or run out of time. And either way, you get back to work quickly." - Chris Beard after his team’s win against Oklahoma in their last game. 

C. Lanier 

J. Mashack 

I. Milicic 

F. Okpara 

Z. Zeigler

D. Davis 

M. Dia 

J. Murray 

M. Murrell 

S. Pedulla

PPG: C. Lanier (17.8)

APG: Z. Zeigler (7.2)

Reb/G: I. Milicic (7.5)

PPG: S. Pedulla (15.2)

APG: S. Pedulla (3.8)

Reb/G: M. Dia (5.5)

Coaches:

Tennessee Volunteers: Rick Barnes (10th season)

Mississippi Rebels: Chris Beard (2nd season)