Tennessee Volunteers vs Florida Gators Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/07/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jan 06, 2025
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, January 7, 2025
Venue:  Stephen C. O'Connell Center, Gainesville, FL 
Where to Watch:  ESPN2


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Tennessee +2.5, Florida -2.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Tennessee +2.5, Florida -2.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Tennessee +2.5, Florida -2.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Season Record

Tennessee Volunteers:  14-0 (1-0) (1st place, SEC)
Florida Gators:  13-1 (0-1) (9th place, SEC)

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Recent Form
Tennessee Volunteers:  5-0  last 5
Florida Gators:  4-1  last 5


Tennessee Volunteers vs Florida Gators Preview and Analysis


Tennessee is entering this game with a 14-0 record overall, a 1-0 record in conference games, and they are 2-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Arkansas Razorbacks in their last game. Chaz Lanier led the team in points per game in that game with 29 while Igor Miličić Jr. was next on the team with 13. Zakai Zeigler led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Igor Miličić Jr. led the team in rebounds with 18. They were 39.1% from the field, 38.5% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 55.9 PPG against them. Tennessee has an ATS record of 10-4 this season and their O/U record is 5-9.


Florida is entering this game with a 13-1 record overall, a 0-1 conference record, and they are 7-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Kentucky Wildcats in their last game. Walter Clayton Jr. led the team in points in that game with 33 while Alijah Martin was next on the team with 26. Walter Clayton Jr. led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Alex Condon led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 55% from the field, 35.3% from 3-point range, and 62.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 88.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.5 PPG against them. Florida has an ATS record of 10-4 this season and their O/U record is 6-8.



Tennessee vs Florida Prediction

The current betting odds have Florida listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Florida has looked great in their games this season with their 13-1 record overall which has them ranked as one of the best teams in the nation, but their 0-1 conference record has them in the middle of the SEC. Their conference schedule just started and they are coming off their first loss of the season in their last one, but that was also a tight game on the road against Kentucky and they did put up 100 points in the loss. Meanwhile, Tennessee has also looked great in their games this season with their 14-0 record overall and their 1-0 conference record which has them right at the top of the SEC and ranked as the best team in the nation at the moment. They are coming off a win over Arkansas in their last one which was also their first conference game of the season, but they have only played 2 road games this year and this will be their first road game in the conference. Tennessee has one of the best defenses in the nation, but Florida plays a very different style and will be able to put up points in this game. Florida has looked great on their home court this year with their 7-0 home record and they will be looking to bounce back with a win at home in the SEC after losing such a tight game against Kentucky. Tennessee has had a great start to the season, but they are due for their first loss of the season and Florida is the kind of team that can beat them at home. The best way to place a bet here is on Florida to cover the spread in this game. 

Tennessee Florida Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, January 7, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Florida 78 Tennessee 72.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Tennessee Volunteers Florida Gators prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

NCAAB Betting Trends


Tennessee Volunteers: 15-6 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. 26-19 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 21-13 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5. 11-4 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive home games. 13-7 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game.

Florida Gators: 4-8 ATS in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 13-21 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more. 9-5 UNDER off a road loss. 6-3 UNDER after scoring 85 points or more. 5-2 UNDER as a home favorite or pick.

Key Injuries


Tennessee Volunteers:  None.

Florida Gators:  None.

Notable Quotes


"He found a situation that was really hard for him to turn down and he did it, which I have no problem with it. I think it was hard because he did a lot for us while he was here." - Rick Barnes on Jonas Aidoo after his team’s win against Arkansas in their last game.


“First of all, good game. Credit to Kentucky, I thought every time we made a run and had a little momentum, I thought they stepped up and made some big-time winning plays, big shots, and just kept us at bay in those moments. I was proud of my guys; I thought we battled pretty hard.” - Todd Golden after his team’s loss against Kentucky in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Tennessee Volunteers
C. Lanier 
J. Mashack 
I. Milicic 
F. Okpara 
Z. Zeigler

Florida Gators
R. Chinyelu 
W. Clayton 
A. Condon 
A. Martin 
W. Richard

Statistical Leaders


Tennessee Volunteers
PPG: C. Lanier (20.3)
APG: Z. Zeigler (8)
Reb/G: I. Milicic (8.9)

Florida Gators
PPG: W. Clayton (18.3)
APG: W. Clayton (3.9)
Reb/G: A. Condon (7.7)

Coaches:
Tennessee Volunteers: Rick Barnes (10th season)
Florida Gators: Todd Golden (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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