Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 13, 2021
Venue: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK
Where to Watch: Fox
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: TCU +13, OK State -13; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: TCU +13, OK State -13; Over/Under: 54.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: TCU +13.5, OK State -13.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Season Record
TCU Horned Frogs: 4-5 (9th place, Big 12)
Oklahoma State Cowboys: 8-1 (2nd place, Big 12)
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TCU Horned Frogs vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
TCU Horned Frogs: won at home on Nov. 6 against the Baylor Bears 30-28.
Oklahoma State Cowboys: won on the road on Nov. 6 against the West Virginia Mountaineers 24-3.
TCU Horned Frogs Analysis
TCU is coming into this game with a 4-5 record overall and they are 1-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 7th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 2-4 in their conference games this season. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games but they are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 3 game losing streak that they were on. Chandler Morris had a great game in their last one as he completed 29/41 passes for 461 yards and 2 touchdowns. He also led the team in rushing with 70 yards and 1 touchdown on 11 carries while Emari Demarcado had 34 yards on 19 carries. They did not really get much of a run game going in that one. Quentin Johnson had a very nice day as he led the receivers with 142 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 receptions while Derius Davis had 81 yards on 5 receptions. Dominic DiNunzio caught the other touchdown pass for them in that one. Dee Winters led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Nook Bradford recorded the only sack for them in that game while Shadrach Banks came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 282 points in their 9 games this season averaging 31.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 280 points against them allowing 31.1 PPG. Their offense is averaging 451.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 437.8 YPG.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Analysis
Oklahoma State is coming into this game with a 8-1 record overall and they are 5-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 7th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 5-1 in their conference games this season. They only have 1 loss all season and they have gone on a 2 game winning streak since losing that game. They are coming into this one off of another win in their last game against WVU. Spencer Sanders played alright in that game but he also struggled at times as he completed 21/31 passes for 182 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Jaylen Warren led the team in rushing with 78 yards and 1 touchdown on 16 carries. Davontavean Martin led the receivers with 63 yards and 2 touchdowns on 7 receptions while Brennan Presley had 53 yards on 6 receptions. Devin Harper and Brock Martin both led the defense in sacks in that game with 2 each while Christian Holmes came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 259 points in their 9 games this season averaging 28.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 147 points against them allowing 16.3 PPG. Their offense is averaging 382.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 277 YPG.
TCU vs Oklahoma State Prediction
Oklahoma State is coming into this game as a 13 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oklahoma State has a very good defense and they are coming off of a game where they only allowed 3 points in that game. TCU has not played well this season and they do not have a good defense either. Oklahoma State will be able to move the ball on them and score points while TCU is going to get shut down by the Oklahoma State defense. The best bet to place in this game is on Oklahoma State to cover the spread and on the under as it will likely be a low scoring game where TCU struggles to score and Oklahoma State just does not score a lot of points.
TCU Oklahoma State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 13, 2021 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Oklahoma State 28 TCU 7.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
TCU Horned Frogs: 34-37 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 10-11 ATS in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56. 115-119 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest. 55-64 ATS in games played on turf. 56-44 ATS in November games. 52-62 ATS off 1 or more straight overs.
Oklahoma State Cowboys: 29-23 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 179-156 ATS in all games. 26-23 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 104-76 ATS as a favorite. 62-45 ATS as a home favorite. 93-74 ATS in home games. 122-114 ATS against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
TCU Horned Frogs: J. Spielman (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. Z. Evans (RB) Ques Sat - Foot injury. B. Clark (S) out for season - Undisclosed injury. M. Barkley (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot injury.
Oklahoma State Cowboys: L. Anderson (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. B. Cassity (TE) Ques Sat - Leg injury. L. Brown (RB) Mid Nov - Undisclosed injury.
Notable Quotes
"It was huge. I mean, I don't know a team more deserving just everything we've been through this week obviously with Coach P, and we were fighting for him. I mean, we deserved it. And I truly believe that." - Chandler Morris on his team’s win over Baylor in their last game.
"That was a pretty impressive defensive performance by our guys. I'm kind of shocked, to be honest with you, that we could play that well defensively against them on the road as well as they've played offensively the last two weeks. Defensively, we just dominated the game. I don't know what else to say." - Mike Gundy on his team’s win against WVU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
TCU Horned Frogs
WR Brown, Quincy
WR Johnston, Quentin
WR Davis, Derius
WR Conwright, Blair
TE DiNunzio, Dominic
QB Duggan, Max
RB Evans, Zach
Oklahoma State Cowboys
WR Green, Blaine
WR Rashod Owens
WR Presley, Brennan
WR Martin, Tay
CW Cassity, Braden
QB Sanders, Spencer
RB Warren, Jaylen
Statistical Leaders
TCU Horned Frogs
Passing: M. Duggan (1666)
Rushing: Z. Evans (648)
Receiving: Q. Johnston (615)
Touchdowns: K. Miller (6)
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Passing: S. Sanders (1523)
Rushing: J. Warren (928)
Receiving: T. Martin (592)
Touchdowns: J. Warren (7)
Coaches:
TCU Horned Frogs: Gary Patterson (22nd season)
Oklahoma State Cowboys: Mike Gundy (17th season)