Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/02/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Jul 01, 2023
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Sunday, July 2, 2023
Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA 
Where to Watch:  ROOT Sports NW


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +115, Mariners -135; Over/Under:  7 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +115, Mariners -135; Over/Under:  7 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +115, Mariners -135; Over/Under:  7 runs

Season Record

Tampa Bay Rays:  57-28 (1st place, AL East)
Seattle Mariners:  38-42 (4th place, AL West)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB: 74-52 ($14.7K) this season!. Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.


Recent Form
Tampa Bay Rays:  6-4 last 10
Seattle Mariners:  3-7 last 10



Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Preview and Analysis


The Rays are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-28 record overall and have a road record of 23-18. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .802 OPS. Tyler Glasnow is their starting pitcher on Saturday while rookie pitcher Taj Bradley is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 5-4 with a 4.58 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 4 HR, and 1 BB with 2 Ks on 7 hits through 4 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Mariners are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-42 record overall and have a home record of 22-20. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Rays on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .693 OPS. George Kirby is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Luis Castillo is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 5-6 with a 2.86 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 7 strikeouts on 7 hits through 7 innings played against the Washington Nationals.


Rays vs Mariners Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners haven't been good in their games lately and they have been a struggling team all season with a losing record and an offense that hasn't been great, but they do have a better pitching matchup in this game and can take advantage of it at home here. The Rays have been great this season with the best record in the MLB and one of the best offenses but they haven't been a great road team and are definitely more vulnerable in their road games. They also have their rookie Bradley on the mound here and he hasn't been terrible in his starts this year, but he has also been giving up a lot more runs in his starts lately. The Mariners haven't had a great offense this season but they got to McClanahan really early in the series opener and they will be desperate to make something happen in this game since they need to start turning things around. They also have their ace Castillo on the mound here and he has been a solid starter all season since he hasn't been giving up many runs in any of his starts. He will be the Mariners best chance to shut down this hot Rays offense and steal a game from the best team in baseball in this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.

Rays Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 2, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Mariners 3 Rays 0.
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MLB Betting Trends


Tampa Bay Rays: 57-28 (+18.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 45-24 (+10.6 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 36-23 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5. 10-4 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher.

Seattle Mariners: 38-42 (-14.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 30-34 (-14.7 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. LUIS CASTILLO is 9-5 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 7.5.

Key Injuries


Tampa Bay Rays:  B. Lowe (2B) Mid July - Back. J. Fleming (SP) Late July - Elbow. A. Kittredge (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. D. Rasmussen (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. G. Cleavinger (RP) out for season - Knee. J. Springs (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Baz (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Seattle Mariners:  M. Gonzales (SP) Mid July - Forearm. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.


Notable Quotes


“There were just huge at bats. (Parades) putting the ball in play right there and then it seemed like they kind of fed off that and everybody kept getting on base.” - Kevin Cash after his team’s win against the Mariners in their game on Friday.


“You give up eight runs in the eighth inning, nobody’s gonna take that well. I know how I feel, I know how our players feel and how our fans feel. They're frustrated. They're disappointed. We have to be better than that.” - Scott Servais after his team’s loss against the Rays in their game on Friday.


Starting Lineups


Tampa Bay Rays
Yandy Diaz (R) 1B
Wander Franco (S) SS
Luke Raley (L) RF
Randy Arozarena (R) LF
Isaac Paredes (R) 3B
Josh Lowe (L) DH
Jose Siri (R) CF
Taylor Walls (S) 2B
Christian Bethancourt (R) C

Seattle Mariners
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Ty France (R) 1B
Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
Tom Murphy (R) DH
Cal Raleigh (S) C
Jarred Kelenic (L) LF
Jose Caballero (R) 2B

Statistical Leaders


Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average:  Yandy Diaz (.316)
Hits:  Wander Franco (89)
Home Runs:  Jose Siri (16)
RBI:  Randy Arozarena (57)
Stolen Bases:  Wander Franco (26)
Wins:  Shane McClanahan (11)
Saves:  Jason Adam (11)
ERA:  Chase Anderson (0.00)

Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Ty France (.269)
Hits:  Ty France (84)
Home Runs:  Teoscar Hernandez (15)
RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (47)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (18)
Wins:  George Kirby (6)
Saves:  Paul Sewald (14)
ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Managers:
Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (9th season)
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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