Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/11/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Venue:  Lenovo Center, Raleigh, NC

Where to Watch:  ESPN+, Hulu, Disney+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Lightning +105, Hurricanes -125; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Lightning +105, Hurricanes -125; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Lightning +105, Hurricanes -125; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Tampa Bay Lightning:  37-22-4 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

Carolina Hurricanes:  38-22-4 (2nd place, Metropolitan Division)

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Tampa Bay Lightning:  8-2-0 last 10

Carolina Hurricanes:  6-4-0 last 10

The Lightning are entering this game with 78 points, a 37-22-4 record overall, and they are 14-14-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Boston Bruins in their last game, losing that one at home 4-0. No one on the team scored a goal or recorded an assist for them in that one. Brandon Hagel led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Andrei Vasilevskiy was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 24 shots with 21 saves and a .875 save percentage. Their offense has scored 224 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 169 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The Hurricanes are entering this game with 80 points, a 38-22-4 record overall, and they are 25-7-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Winnipeg Jets in their last game, winning that one at home 4-2. Mark Jankowski led the team in goals scored with 2 while Seth Jarvis and Logan Stankoven each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Sebastian Aho, Shayne Gostisbehere, Jordan Martinook, Scott Morrow, Eric Robinson, Jack Roslovic, and Jordan Staal each led the team in assists with 1 while Seth Jarvis led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Frederik Andersen was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 22 shots with 20 saves and a .909 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 204 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 175 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Hurricanes listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Hurricanes have looked really good in their games this season with their 38-22-4 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot. They have also looked great on home ice this year with their 25-7-1 home record. Meanwhile, the Lightning have looked good in their games this season with their 37-22-4 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot. They haven't been a good road team though with their 14-14-2 road record this season. The Lightning have been really hot lately as they are 8-2-0 in their last 10 games and were on a long winning streak too, but they lost that momentum in their last game as they are coming off a loss now. They were shut out in that game too, losing 4-0 on home ice, and they weren't playing a good team either as they lost to the Bruins. The Hurricanes haven't been as hot lately as they are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games, but they have still been playing well lately and have a lot more momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row now. They are also coming off a nice win over the Jets in their last one so they are going to carry over the momentum from that good win into this one. The Lightning have looked great lately, but they have struggled a lot more in road games and the Hurricanes can take advantage of them here now that they have lost some of their momentum with that loss to the Bruins. The best way to place a bet here is on the Hurricanes to win this game. 

Lightning Hurricanes Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, March 11, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Hurricanes 3 Lightning 2.

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Tampa Bay Lightning: 15-29 (-9.8 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 to +200. 9-10 (-6.6 units) on the moneyline after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game. 56-58 (-9 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 12-3 UNDER on the road off a home loss. 

Carolina Hurricanes: 87-39 (+11.8 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite. 43-21 (+9.9 units) on the moneyline revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 92-58 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 77-46 UNDER after playing a home game.

Tampa Bay Lightning:  V. Hedman (D) Day To Day - Lower Body.

Carolina Hurricanes:  D. Orlov (D) Day To Day - Undisclosed. W. Carrier (LW) Out - Lower Body. J. Fast (RW) Out For Season - Neck.

"I think it started two nights ago when Buffalo came in. I don't think they were ready to play that game and clearly they weren't ready tonight. Maybe it's a little bit of seeing some of the guys out of their lineup and you can't do that in this league. It was a hard lesson learned but a team that came in here and worked their tails off." - Jon Cooper after his team’s loss against the Bruins in their game on Saturday.

“That’s great for them. Anytime you come somewhere new, just being able to contribute in that fashion really is a great way to start for them. Obviously, it helped us with a win tonight, but now they can relax and go about their business.” - Rod Brind’Amour after his team’s win against the Jets in their game on Sunday.

LW Jake Guentzel

C Brayden Point

RW Nikita Kucherov

LD Janis Jérôme Moser

RD Victor Hedman

G Andrei Vasilevskiy

LW Taylor Hall

C Sebastian Aho

RW Jackson Blake

LD Jaccob Slavin

RD Brent Burns

G Frederik Andersen

Points: N. Kucherov (92)

Goals: B. Point (32)

Assists: N. Kucherov (64)

GAA: A. Vasilevskiy (2.25)

Points: S. Aho (61)

Goals: S. Jarvis (25)

Assists: S. Aho (37)

GAA: F. Andersen (2.17)

Coaches:

Tampa Bay Lightning: Jon Cooper (13th season)

Carolina Hurricanes: Rod Brind'Amour (7th season)