by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Thursday, Nov 11, 2021
Game Time: 5:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 13, 2021
Venue: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
Where to Watch: Pac-12 Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Stanford +13, Oregon State -13; Over/Under: 56 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Stanford +12.5, Oregon State -12.5; Over/Under: 55.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Stanford +12.5, Oregon State -12.5; Over/Under: 55.5 points
Season Record
Stanford Cardinal: 3-6 (6th place, Pac-12 North)
Oregon State Beavers: 5-4 (3rd place, Pac-12 North)
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Stanford Cardinal vs Oregon State Beavers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Stanford Cardinal: lost at home on Nov. 5 against the Utah Utes 52-7.
Oregon State Beavers: lost on the road on Nov. 6 against the Colorado Buffaloes in overtime 37-34.
Stanford Cardinal Analysis
Stanford is coming into this game with a 3-6 record overall and they are 2-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 8th conference game this year and they are currently 2-5 in their conference games this season. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this one on a 4 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Quarterback Jack West did not play well in the passing game in that one as he completed 12/18 passes for 59 yards, no touchdown passes and 1 interception. E.J. Smith led the team in rushing with 53 yards on 7 carries while Austin Jones led the team in carries with 9 for 33 rushing yards. Isaiah Sanders ran in the only touchdown for them in that game. Benjamin Yurosek led the receivers with 42 yards on 4 receptions in what was a very quiet day for the receiving corps. Levani Dumani led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. No one on the defense recorded a sack or an interception for them in that one. They have scored 206 points in their 9 games this season averaging 22.9 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 268 points against them allowing 29.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 321.1 YPG while their defense is allowing 424.1 YPG.
Oregon State Beavers Analysis
Oregon State is coming into this game with a 5-4 record overall and they are 4-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 7th conference matchup on their schedule and they are currently 3-3 in their conference games this season. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Chance Nolan struggled in their last game as he completed 20/38 passes for 255 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception. B.J. Baylor led the team in rushing with 98 yards and 1 touchdown on 22 carries while Trey Lowe had 60 yards and 1 touchdown on 6 carries. Jack Colletto ran in the other TD on the ground in that one. Lowe led the receivers with 52 yards on 5 receptions while Tre'Shaun Harrison had 47 yards and 1 touchdown on 3 receptions. Avery Roberts led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. No one on the defense recorded a sack or an interception for them in that one. They have scored 305 points in their 9 games this season averaging 33.9 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 249 points against them allowing 27.7 PPG. Their offense is averaging 425.7 YPG while the Oregon State defense is allowing 406 YPG.
Stanford vs Oregon State Prediction
Oregon State is coming into this football game as a 13 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Neither of these teams have been playing well recently but Stanford has been worse than Oregon State in their games. Stanford had a nice start to their season but they have gone completely downhill since then losing a majority of their games in this final stretch and a lot of them by large margins. Oregon State has been staying competitive in their losses at least and they will be at home for this where they are undefeated on the season. The best bet to place in this game is on Oregon State to cover the spread here as they are a much better team and in a better spot to bounce back here.
Stanford Oregon State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 13, 2021 (5:30 pm ET start time) is Oregon State 41 Stanford 14.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Stanford Cardinal: 24-27 O/U as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 145-154 O/U in all games. 50-63 O/U when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 65-75 O/U in road games. 30-39 O/U in games played on turf.
Oregon State Beavers: 172-158 ATS in all games. 18-12 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 57-40 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 66-60 ATS as a favorite. 45-36 ATS as a home favorite. 86-76 ATS in home games. 134-111 ATS against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Stanford Cardinal: E. Smith (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. B. Tremayne (WR) Ques Sat - Knee injury. E. Kenney (K) Ques Sat - Hip injury.
Oregon State Beavers: I. Hodgins (DL) Out indefinitely - Foot injury. A. Gumbs (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. A. Julian (DB) out for season - Knee injury. T. Gebbia (QB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring injury.
Notable Quotes
"Just a terrible showing top to bottom. Obviously we missed some guys who aren't out there. ... That being said, we have 11 out there at a time, strap it up and get out there and play. Defensively we have to have a lot of discussions on how to stop the run. All year it's been close, it's been close. Today wasn't close." - David Shaw on his team’s loss against Utah in their last game.
“I felt it was the right time to make a change in our football program.” - Jonathan Smith on coming into this game against Stanford.
Starting Lineups
Stanford Cardinal
WR Higgins, Elijah
WR Starr, Silas
TE Fisk, Tucker
TE Yurosek, Benjamin
QB Tanner McKee
RB Nathaniel Peat
FB Heimuli, Houston
Oregon State Beavers
WR Beason, Zeriah
WR Trevon Bradford
WR Lindsey, Tyjon
TE Quitoriano, Teagan
TE Musgrave, Luke
QB Nolan, Chance
RB Baylor, B.J.
Statistical Leaders
Stanford Cardinal
Passing: T. McKee (1916)
Rushing: N. Peat (347)
Receiving: B. Yurosek (475)
Touchdowns: B. Tremayne (5)
Oregon State Beavers
Passing: C. Nolan (1759)
Rushing: B. Baylor (970)
Receiving: T. Bradford (421)
Touchdowns: B. Baylor (11)
Coaches:
Stanford Cardinal: David Shaw (11th season)
Oregon State Beavers: Jonathan Smith (4th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
