St Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/04/2024

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Sunday, August 4, 2024

Venue:  Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Cardinals +130, Cubs -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Cardinals +130, Cubs -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Cardinals +130, Cubs -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

St Louis Cardinals:  56-54 (2nd place, NL Central)

Chicago Cubs:  54-58 (4th place, NL Central)

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St Louis Cardinals:  4-6 last 10

Chicago Cubs:  5-5 last 10

The Cardinals are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-54 record overall and have a road record of 27-29. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Cubs on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Cardinals lost the series opener of this series on Thursday and the 2nd game on Friday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .697 OPS. Kyle Gibson is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Miles Mikolas is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 8-8 with a 4.99 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 7 hits through 6 IP against the Washington Nationals.

The Cubs are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-58 record overall and have a home record of 29-25. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Cardinals on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Cubs won the 1st game of this series on Thursday and the 2nd game on Friday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .690 OPS. Jameson Taillon is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Justin Steele is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 2-5 with a 3.38 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 7 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.

The current betting odds have the Cubs listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cubs haven't looked good in their games this season with their 54-58 record overall which has them in 4th place of the NL Central and out of the playoff race. They have looked better in their home games though with their 29-25 home record. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have looked good in their games this season with their 56-54 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL Central, but that record also has them barely in the playoff race in the NL. They haven't looked as good in their road games either, going 27-28 in those this season, and lately they have been slipping with their 4-6 record in their last 10 games. The Cubs have been the slightly hotter team lately with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games, but they are also finding some rhythm now with 2 wins over the Cardinals in this series. They are going to have the better pitching matchup in this one too, going with Steele who is 2-5 with a 3.38 ERA. He did give up 5 earned runs in his last start and the team has lost 3 games in a row with him starting, but he hasn't been giving up many runs this season and he is due for a bounce back performance here with the Cubs playing better now. Their offense has been better in this series and they are going to put some runs up here with Mikolas on the mound for the Cardinals. Mikolas is 8-8 with a 4.99 ERA and has been giving up quite a few runs all season. His team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he gave up 3 earned runs in his last start against the Nationals who do have one of the worst offenses in the MLB. The Cubs are getting hot now and they have looked a lot better at home all season, they can take advantage of this pitching matchup here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cubs to win this game. 

Cardinals Cubs Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, August 4, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Cubs 4 Cardinals 1.

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St Louis Cardinals: 9-2 (+6.60 units) on the runline in their last 11 away games. 8-3 (+4.30 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 11 away games. 34-23 to the under with their first 5 team total in their last 57 away games. 

Chicago Cubs: 33-51 (-28.70 units) on the runline in their last 84 games. 16-27 (-14.90 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 43 home games. 25-13 to the under with their team total in their last 38 home games. 

St Louis Cardinals:  L. Lynn (SP) Mid Aug - Knee. S. Matz (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. K. Middleton (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. R. O'Brien (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Rom (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Chicago Cubs:  B. Brown (SP) Out indefinitely - Neck. T. Nido (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. L. Little (SP) out for season - Back. H. Wesneski (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Wicks (SP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Brewer (RP) Out indefinitely - Hand. Y. Almonte (RP) out of season - Shoulder. K. Thompson (SP) Mid July - Ribs. A. Alzolay (RP) out for season - Forearm.

“I had terrible command. It brought me to long at-bats where I couldn’t put people away.” - Erick Fedde after their loss against the Cubs in their game on Friday.

“We had a really good second inning and put pressure on them right away.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s win against the Cardinals in their game on Friday.

M Winn (R) SS

A Burleson (L) 1B

W Contreras (R) C

P Goldschmidt (R) DH

B Donovan (L) LF

N Arenado (R) 3B

N Gorman (L) 2B

T Pham (R) RF

M Siani (L) CF

I Happ (S) LF

M Busch (L) 1B

S Suzuki (R) RF

C Bellinger (L) DH

I Paredes (R) 3B

N Hoerner (R) 2B

D Swanson (R) SS

P Crow-Armstrong (L) CF

M Amaya (R) C

Batting Average:  Tommy Pham (.462)

Hits:  Masyn Winn (108)

Home Runs:  Nolan Gorman (19)

RBI:  Alec Burleson (63)

Stolen Bases:  Michael Siani (14)

Wins:  Sonny Gray (10)

Saves:  Ryan Helsley (33)

ERA:  Ryan Loutos (0.00)

Batting Average:  Christian Bethancourt (.364)

Hits:  Nico Hoerner (101)

Home Runs:  Ian Happ (17)

RBI:  Ian Happ (62)

Stolen Bases:  Pete Crow-Armstrong (21)

Wins:  Shota Imanaga (8)

Saves:  Héctor Neris (15)

ERA:  Jesus Tinoco (0.00)

Managers:

St Louis Cardinals: Oliver Marmol (3rd season)

Chicago Cubs: Craig Counsell (1st season)