South Florida Bulls vs Memphis Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/07/2025

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Friday, March 7, 2025

Venue:  FedExForum, Memphis, TN

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  USF +13.5, Memphis -13.5; Over/Under:  150.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  USF +13.5, Memphis -13.5; Over/Under:  150.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  USF +13.5, Memphis -13.5; Over/Under:  150.5 points

South Florida Bulls:  13-17 (6-11) (9th place, AAC)

Memphis Tigers:  25-5 (15-2) (1st place, AAC)

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South Florida Bulls:  1-4  last 5

Memphis Tigers:  4-1  last 5

South Florida is entering this game with a 13-17 record overall, a 6-11 record in conference games, and they are 2-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Florida Atlantic Owls in their last game. Jayden Reid led the team in points in that game with 16 while Kobe Knox and CJ Brown each were next on the team with 12. CJ Brown and Jayden Reid each led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Brandon Stroud led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 32.3% from the field, 23.8% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 74.3 PPG against them. South Florida has an ATS record of 9-20 this season and their O/U record is 10-19.

Memphis is entering this game with a 25-5 record overall, a 15-2 conference record, and they are 12-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the UTSA Roadrunners in their last game. Dain Dainja led the team in points in that game with 19 while PJ Haggerty was next on the team with 18. PJ Haggerty and Colby Rogers each led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Nick Jourdain and Dain Dainja each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 46.3% from the field, 41.7% from 3-point range, and 74.1% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 73.1 PPG against them. Memphis has an ATS record of 14-16 this season and their O/U record is 16-14.

The current betting odds have Memphis listed as a 13.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Memphis has looked really good in their games this season with their 25-5 record overall and their 15-2 conference record which has them right at the top of the AAC. They are ranked inside the top 25 and they have also looked great on their home court this year with their 12-2 home record. Meanwhile, South Florida hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 13-17 record overall and their 6-11 conference record which has them in the bottom half of the AAC. They have also been a terrible road team this year with their 2-9 road record. They haven't looked good lately either as they are 1-4 in their last 5 games and have lost 3 games in a row now. Memphis is 4-1 in their last 5 games and they have a lot more momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row now. They have also been dominating the conference all season and even though this game doesn't mean much since it is their last game of the regular season, it is still their last home game of the regular season so Memphis is going to bring their best effort to keep rolling and carry this momentum into the tournament. The best way to place a bet here is on Memphis to cover the spread in this game. 

South Florida Memphis Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 7, 2025 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Memphis 88 South Florida 70.

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South Florida Bulls: 18-9 ATS as a road underdog or pick. 10-5 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 11-5 1H ATS off a home loss. 6-3 OVER off a home loss against a conference rival. 6-2 OVER after 3 or more consecutive losses. 

Memphis Tigers: 4-19 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points. 5-10 ATS off a road win against a conference rival. 4-12 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 25-16 OVER as a home favorite or pick. 27-17 OVER vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more.

South Florida Bulls:  D. Green (F) Out - Foot.

Memphis Tigers:  D. Harris (G) Out - Ankle.

"Jamille is definitely a large human, but I believe he's comfortable in his own skin. He has played such a dominant role for our team, and that's not something he was asked to do at his other schools. He has shown the ability to be a dominant big man in this league. But there's still room for lots of growth, and he knows that. We continue to emphasize to him that he can help shape the direction of his future by the effort he puts forth.'' - Ben Fletcher on Jamille Reynolds this season. 

"His spirits are OK. Obviously, he had hopes of being healthy, finishing the season out and going to the conference tournament (which begins March 12) with us. Right now, we don’t know how long he’s going to be out. But it doesn’t seem like it’s going to be a day or two. It’s going to be a little longer than that.” - Penny Hardaway on the injury to Dante Harris. 

Q. Ademokoya 

C. Brown 

K. Jennings 

J. Reid 

J. Reynolds

M. Cisse 

P. Haggerty 

T. Hunter 

N. Jourdain 

C. Rogers

PPG: J. Reynolds (12.9)

APG: J. Reid (3.6)

Reb/G: J. Reynolds (7.7)

PPG: P. Haggerty (21.3)

APG: P. Haggerty (3.7)

Reb/G: D. Dainja (7.1)

Coaches:

South Florida Bulls: Ben Fletcher (1st season)

Memphis Tigers: Anfernee Hardaway (7th season)