Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/10/2024

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Wednesday, July 10, 2024

Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA

Where to Watch:  SDPA

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +114, Padres -135; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +115, Padres -135; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +115, Padres -135; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Seattle Mariners:  49-43 (1st place, AL West)

San Diego Padres:  49-45 (2nd place, NL West)

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Seattle Mariners:  4-6 last 10

San Diego Padres:  6-4 last 10

The Mariners are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-43 record overall and have a road record of 19-25. This is the series finale of a 2-game series with the Padres on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .660 OPS. Logan Gilbert is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Bryce Miller is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-7 with a 3.84 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 8 hits through 5.2 IP against the Baltimore Orioles.

The Padres are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-45 record overall and have a home record of 25-24. This is the 2nd game of a 2-game series with the Mariners on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .736 OPS. Rookie pitcher Adam Mazur is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Michael King is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 7-5 with a 3.51 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Texas Rangers.

The current betting odds have the Padres listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have looked good in their games this season with their 49-43 record overall which has them leading the AL West. They haven't looked great in their road games though, going 19-25 in their road games this season. Meanwhile, the Padres have looked good in their games this season with their 49-45 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL West and finally fighting for a Wild Card spot after being under .500 for most of the season. They are also 25-24 in their home games and they are the hotter team coming into this one with their 6-4 record in their last 10 games while the Mariners are 4-6. The Padres also have the better pitching matchup in this one, going with King on the mound who is 7-5 with a 3.51 ERA. He has looked really good lately as he hasn't been giving up many runs, only giving up 1 earned run in his last start, and the team has won 2 games in a row with him starting too. The Mariners will have Miller on the mound here and he hasn't looked bad this year with his 6-7 record and his 3.84 ERA, but lately he has been giving up more runs in his starts and just hasn't looked right. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but he still has more losses than wins this season and the team hasn't been doing well with him on the mound lately, losing 2 of their last 3 games. The Padres are starting to get hot while the Mariners are cooling off and the Padres have the better offense to put up some runs in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game.

Mariners Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 10, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Padres 5 Mariners 3.

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Seattle Mariners: 17-26 (-17.75 units) on the runline in their last 43 away games. 10-5 to the over in their last 15 away games. 

San Diego Padres: 12-6 (+5.90 units) on the moneyline in their last 18 games. 34-29 (+5.50 units) on the runline in their last 63 games. 14-3 to the over in their last 17 games.

Seattle Mariners:  L. Raley (LF) - Shoulder B. Woo (SP) - Hamstring. G. Speier (RP) - Rotator Cuff. S. Haggerty (LF) - Achilles. M. Brash (RP) - Elbow. G. Santos (RP) - Lat. J. Kowar (RP) - Elbow.

San Diego Padres:  F. Tatis Jr. (RF) - Quad. L. Campusano (C) - Thumb. J. Musgrove (SP) - Elbow. Y. Darvish (SP) - Groin. X. Bogaerts (2B) - Shoulder. L. Patino (SP) - Elbow. G. Otto (RP) - Shoulder.

“That's frustrating. It's really hard to win consistently or put consistent offense together when you're not putting the ball in play enough." - Scott Servais after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Saturday.

“It can get worse and we don’t want that. I was playing through it and I probably could have kept going but the doctors recommended to heal it now so that way it doesn’t get worse. It’s just better that way.” - Fernando Tatis Jr on his injury.

J Crawford (L) SS

M Garver (R) DH

C Raleigh (S) C

L Raley (L) LF

T France (R) 1B

J Rojas (L) 3B

J Polanco (S) 2B

D Canzone (L) RF

V Robles (R) CF

L Arraez (L) 1B

J Profar (S) LF

J Cronenworth (L) 2B

M Machado (R) DH

D Solano (R) 3B

J Merrill (L) CF

D Peralta (L) RF

H Kim (R) SS

L Campusano (R) C

Batting Average:  Samad Taylor (.400)

Hits:  Julio Rodríguez (87)

Home Runs:  Cal Raleigh (15)

RBI:  Cal Raleigh (51)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodríguez (18)

Wins:  George Kirby (7)

Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (14)

ERA:  Andrés Muñoz (1.50)

Batting Average:  Matthew Batten (.333)

Hits:  Jurickson Profar (100)

Home Runs:  Fernando Tatis (14)

RBI:  Jurickson Profar (59)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (17)

Wins:  Dylan Cease (7)

Saves:  Robert Suarez (22)

ERA:  Logan Gillaspie (0.00)

Managers:

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (9th season)

San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)