Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/18/2024

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, June 18, 2024

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  BSGL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -105, Guardians -115; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -105, Guardians -115; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -105, Guardians -115; Over/Under:  8 runs

Seattle Mariners:  43-31 (1st place, AL West)

Cleveland Guardians:  44-25 (1st place, AL Central)

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Seattle Mariners:  7-3 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  5-5 last 10

The Mariners are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-31 record overall and have a road record of 16-19. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .667 OPS. Logan Gilbert was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Bryce Miller is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-5 with a 3.48 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 8 Ks on 2 hits through 7 IP against the Chicago White Sox.

The Guardians are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 44-25 record overall and have a home record of 21-8. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .717 OPS. Ben Lively was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Triston McKenzie is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-3 with a 4.10 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 4 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have looked good in their games this season with their 43-31 record overall which leads the AL West. They haven't looked as good in their road games with their 16-19 road record though. Meanwhile, the Guardians have also looked really good in their games this season with their 44-25 record overall which has them leading the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 21-8 home record. The Guardians don't have as much momentum on their side though. They haven't looked great in their games lately and just lost their last series to the Blue Jays who haven't been great this year. The Mariners are going to have a ton of momentum coming into this series since they just swept the Rangers in their last series and that gave them an even bigger lead in the AL West now. They also have a favorable pitching matchup with Miller on the mound who is 5-5 with a 3.48 ERA. He gave up no runs in his last start and has looked really good in his starts lately, his team winning 3 of their last 4 games with him pitching too. The Guardians are going to have McKenzie on the mound and he has been a weak spot for them this year. He is 3-3 with a 4.10 ERA and has looked better in his starts lately, giving up just 2 earned runs in his last start, but he has still been giving up a lot of runs this season. The Mariners are hot right now and with the momentum they have from their series sweep, they will be looking to continue their win streak against the Guardians who just lost their last series and haven't looked as good lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.

Mariners Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 18, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Mariners 3 Guardians 2.

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Seattle Mariners: 58-75 (-6.8 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 16-19 (-3.5 units) on the moneyline in road games. 39-46 (-9.9 units) on the moneyline with double revenge - 2 straight losses against the opponent. 19-8 UNDER after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs. 20-6 UNDER after allowing 2 runs or less. 9-1 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins.

Cleveland Guardians: 44-25 (+16.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-8 (+9.4 units) on the moneyline in home games. 23-10 (+10.4 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 60-35 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. 4-1 UNDER after 7 or more consecutive road games. TRISTON MCKENZIE is 11-6 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher.

Seattle Mariners:  B. Woo (SP) Prob Wed - Arm. J. Farmelo (CF) out for season - Knee. T. France (3B) Out indefinitely - Foot. J. Polanco (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. G. Speier (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Haggerty (2B) out for season - Achilles. M. Brash (SP) out of season - Elbow. G. Santos (SP) Mid July - Back. J. Kowar (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  J. Ramírez (3B) Out Tues - Personal. G. Williams (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. E. Morgan (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“That was fantastic. He was in total control of the ballgame. He had great stuff, of course, but the execution of his slider and the split-finger was electric today. That's a really tough pitch and there's no way to game plan for it.” - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Rangers in their game on Sunday.

“It’s a tough task to get him out.” - Stephen Vogt on Steven Kwan after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday.

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Josh Rojas (L) 3B

Julio Rodríguez (R) CF

Cal Raleigh (S) C

Mitch Haniger (R) DH

Luke Raley (L) LF

Dominic Canzone (L) RF

Tyler Locklear (R) 1B

Dylan Moore (R) 2B

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Tyler Freeman (R) CF

Andrés Giménez (L) 2B

Josh Naylor (L) 1B

Will Brennan (L) RF

Kyle Manzardo (L) DH

Daniel Schneemann (L) 3B

Brayan Rocchio (S) SS

Bo Naylor (L) C

Batting Average:  Samad Taylor (.400)

Hits:  Julio Rodríguez (78)

Home Runs:  Cal Raleigh (12)

RBI:  Cal Raleigh (43)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodríguez (16)

Wins:  Luis Castillo (6)

Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (12)

ERA:  Bryan Woo (1.07)

Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.398)

Hits:  José Ramírez (71)

Home Runs:  José Ramírez (18)

RBI:  José Ramírez (62)

Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (11)

Wins:  Logan Allen (7)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (21)

ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Managers:

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (9th season)

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)