Seattle Kraken vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/11/2023

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Thursday, May 11, 2023

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  TNT

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Kraken +160, Stars -190; Over/Under:  6 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Kraken +170, Stars -200; Over/Under:  6 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Kraken +155, Stars -190; Over/Under:  6 goals

Seattle Kraken:  46-28-8 (4th place, Pacific Division)

Dallas Stars:  47-21-14 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Seattle Kraken:  5-5-0 last 10

Dallas Stars:  6-2-2 last 10

The Kraken are entering this game finishing the regular season with 100 points, a 46-28-8 record overall, and they were 26-11-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Dallas Stars in their last game, losing that one at home 6-3. Jaden Schwartz scored 2 goals while Adam Larsson scored 1 goal in that game. Vince Dunn led the team in assists with 2 while Adam Larsson led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Philipp Grubauer was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 22 shots with 17 saves and a .773 sv percentage before getting replaced by Martin Jones who allowed 0 goals on 2 shots with 2 saves and a 1.000 save percentage. Their offense has scored 289 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 256 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The Stars are entering this game finishing the regular season with 108 points, a 47-21-14 record overall, and they were 22-10-9 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Seattle Kraken in their last game, winning that one on the road 6-3. Max Domi scored 2 goals while Jamie Benn, Thomas Harley, Roope Hintz, and Joe Pavelski each scored 1 goal in that game. Evgenii Dadonov led the team in assists with 2 while Joe Pavelski led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 19 shots with 16 saves and a .842 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 285 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 218 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Kraken listed as a big underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7-game series between the Kraken and the Stars for the 2nd round of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. This series is all tied up 2-2 after the Stars took back game 4 on the road but this series has gone back and forth in every game so far. Both of these teams have been scoring a lot of goals in this series and the Stars were more of a defensive team all year so if they continue to play this style it can only benefit the Kraken as they have the offense to keep up in this series. The Kraken have also shown in every game that they can compete and they are a team that is playing with a chip on their shoulder as they are the new expansion team that everyone has already written off for a deep playoff run in only their 2nd season as a franchise. The Stars looked really good in game 4 to even up the series but they have been really streaky in these playoffs as they have been up and down with their defense from night to night and the Kraken are a team that will make them pay for any slip ups on defense. The Kraken have shown they are good enough to hang around with the Stars in this series and they are even good enough to win this series with the way their offense has been scoring goals. The best way to place a bet here is on the Kraken to win this game or on the puckline as there is too much value for the way they have been playing lately.

Kraken Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, May 11, 2023 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Kraken 4 Stars 3.

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Seattle Kraken: 52-41 (+17.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 26-13 (+19.2 units) on the moneyline in a road game where the total is 6 or more. 11-6 OVER revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more. 35-26 OVER after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game. 

Dallas Stars: 18-16 (-10.8 units) on the moneyline in a home game where the total is 6 or more. 25-26 (-10.3 units) on the moneyline off a win or tie in their previous game. 8-0 OVER after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game. 18-7 OVER off a road win. 

Seattle Kraken:  D. Sprong (RW) Ques Thurs - Upper Body. A. Burakovsky (LW) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Hayden (C) out for season - Lower Body. J. Donskoi (RW) Out indefinitely - Concussion.

Dallas Stars:  T. Dellandrea (C) Ques Thurs - Illness. J. Hakanpaa (D) Ques Thurs - Lower Body.

“We didn’t get to our game until the third period. They had a higher desperation to start the game.” - Jaden Schwartz after their loss against the Stars in their game on Tuesday, game 4 of this series.

“We were better everywhere than we were the game before and I think that was the goal. When we’re playing well, that’s what we look like. We’re not giving up much, we're putting pressure on the other team. We fixed a lot of things.” - Peter DeBoer after his team’s win against the Kraken in their game on Tuesday, game 4 of this series.

LW Kartye, Tye

C Beniers, Matthew

RW Eberle, Jordan

LD Dunn, Vince

RD Larsson, Adam

G Grubauer, Philipp

LW Robertson, Jason

C Hintz, Roope

RW Pavelski, Joe

LD Suter, Ryan

RD Heiskanen, Miro

G Oettinger, Jake

Points: J. McCann (70)

Goals: J. McCann (40)

Assists: V. Dunn (50)

GAA: P. Grubauer (2.85)

Points: J. Robertson (109)

Goals: J. Robertson (46)

Assists: J. Robertson (63)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.37)

Coaches:

Seattle Kraken: Dave Hakstol (2nd season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (1st season)