San Diego Padres vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/04/2024

Game Time: 2:35 pm ET, Thursday, July 4, 2024

Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX

Where to Watch:  SDPA

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +114, Rangers -135; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +114, Rangers -135; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +114, Rangers -135; Over/Under:  8 runs

San Diego Padres:  46-43 (2nd place, NL West)

Texas Rangers:  39-46 (3rd place, AL West)

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San Diego Padres:  7-3 last 10

Texas Rangers:  4-6 last 10

The Padres are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-43 record overall and have a road record of 22-21. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Padres lost the series opener of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .732 OPS. Rookie pitcher Adam Mazur is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Michael King is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 6-5 with a 3.61 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Rangers are entering this series off a win and lost their 4-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-46 record overall and have a home record of 21-19. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Rangers won the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .689 OPS. Jon Gray is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Max Scherzer is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 1-1 with a 1.74 ERA this season. His team lost their last game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 4 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.

The current betting odds have the Rangers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Padres haven't looked great in their games this season, but lately they have been surging up the standings with their 46-43 record overall. They have also looked better in their road games this year with their 22-21 road record. Meanwhile, the Rangers are the defending World Series champions but they haven't looked good in their games this season with their 39-46 record overall and their 21-19 home record which has them trailing in the AL West. The Padres were really hot over the last week and are even 7-3 in their last 10 games, but they have been cooling off in their last few games while the Rangers are starting to get hot now with some momentum on their side. They also have Scherzer on the mound in this game and he just came back from an injury, not pitching great in his 1st start of the year, but he was a lot better in his last start now that the rust is off. He is 1-1 with a 1.74 ERA this year and only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start. The Padres are going to have King on the mound here who is 6-5 with a 3.61 ERA, but the team hasn't been playing well in his recent starts. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start but that hasn't been the case for most of the season and the team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting too. The Padres have looked better in their road games this season, but Scherzer is a solid starter that is going to give them a good outing here and they will be looking to surge up the standings now that they are getting hot again. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rangers to win this game. 

Padres Rangers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 4, 2024 (2:35 pm ET start time) is Rangers 5 Padres 2.

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San Diego Padres: 9-3 (+6.35 units) on the moneyline in their last 12 games. 28-16 (+12.65 units) on the runline in their last 44 away games. 11-4 to the under with their first 5 team total in their last 15 away games.

Texas Rangers: 33-45 (-19.30 units) on the moneyline in their last 78 games. 20-27 (-5.55 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 47 games. 48-34 to the under in their last 82 games.

San Diego Padres:  F. Tatis Jr. (RF) - Quad. L. Campusano (C) - Thumb. J. Musgrove (SP) - Elbow. Y. Darvish (SP) - Groin. X. Bogaerts (2B) - Shoulder. L. Patino (SP) - Elbow. G. Otto (RP) - Shoulder.

Texas Rangers:  C. Winn (RP) - Shoulder. E. Carter (LF) - Lumbar. C. Bradford (RP) - Back. A. Pruitt (RP) - Knee. J. Sborz (RP) - Rotator Cuff. J. Jung (3B) - Wrist. T. Mahle (SP) - Elbow. J. deGrom (SP) - Elbow. C. Coleman (SP) - Elbow.

“I didn’t execute well. Really didn’t get anything going, didn’t give us a chance. So not a good night.” - Dylan Cease after their loss against the Rangers in their game on Tuesday.

“We had some really good defensive plays behind me, so that always helps. Whenever we’re able to score first, my job is to keep it at bay and try not to let them get back in the game. ... Once we get a big enough lead, you kind of switch into that attack mode even more.” - Nathan Eovaldi after their win against the Padres in their game on Tuesday.

L Arraez (L) 1B

J Profar (S) LF

J Cronenworth (L) 2B

M Machado (R) DH

D Solano (R) 3B

J Merrill (L) CF

H Kim (R) SS

K Higashioka (R) C

B Johnson (S) RF

M Semien (R) 2B

J Smith (L) SS

N Lowe (L) 1B

A García (R) RF

W Langford (R) LF

J Heim (S) C

D Hill (R) DH

L Taveras (S) CF

J Ornelas (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Matthew Batten (.333)

Hits:  Jurickson Profar (93)

Home Runs:  Fernando Tatis (14)

RBI:  Jurickson Profar (55)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (16)

Wins:  Dylan Cease (7)

Saves:  Robert Suarez (20)

ERA:  Logan Gillaspie (0.00)

Batting Average:  Justin Foscue (.500)

Hits:  Marcus Semien (81)

Home Runs:  Adolis García (16)

RBI:  Marcus Semien (45)

Stolen Bases:  Leody Taveras (10)

Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (5)

Saves:  Kirby Yates (11)

ERA:  Kirby Yates (0.95)

Managers:

San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)

Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (2nd season)