San Diego Padres vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/03/2024

Game Time: 8:05 pm ET, Wednesday, July 3, 2024

Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +124, Rangers -148; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +124, Rangers -148; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +124, Rangers -148; Over/Under:  9 runs

San Diego Padres:  46-42 (2nd place, NL West)

Texas Rangers:  38-46 (3rd place, AL West)

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San Diego Padres:  8-2 last 10

Texas Rangers:  4-6 last 10

The Padres are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-42 record overall and have a road record of 22-20. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .737 OPS. Dylan Cease is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Adam Mazur is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 1-2 with a 7.25 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 0 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Washington Nationals.

The Rangers are entering this series off a win and lost their 4-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-46 record overall and have a home record of 20-19. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .684 OPS. Nathan Eovaldi is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Jon Gray is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 3-4 with a 3.77 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 8 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 1 strikeout on 9 hits through 5 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.

The current betting odds have the Rangers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Padres haven't looked great in their games this season, but lately they have been surging up the standings with their 46-42 record overall. They have also looked better in their road games this year with their 22-20 road record. Meanwhile, the Rangers are the defending World Series champions but they haven't looked good in their games this season with their 38-46 record overall and their 20-19 home record which has them trailing in the AL West. They do have a better chance to win this game though as they have a favorable pitching matchup. Gray is on the mound for the Rangers and he is 3-4 with a 3.77 ERA this season, but he has also been a solid starter for them going back to last season. His team hasn't been great with him lately, losing 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, and he also gave up 8 earned runs in his last start, but he will be looking to bounce back at home with a much better performance. The Padres have been getting hot lately, but they have a rookie on the mound here with Mazur and the Rangers can take advantage of that since he hasn't looked that great. He is 1-2 with a 7.25 ERA this year and even though his team won their last 2 games with him starting, he has been giving up a lot of runs. He gave up 4 earned runs in his last start and that was against a really weak lineup for the Nationals. The Rangers lost 3 of their 4 games against the Orioles over the weekend but they will be looking to bounce back at home and they can take advantage of this favorable pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rangers to win this game. 

Padres Rangers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 3, 2024 (8:05 pm ET start time) is Rangers 7 Padres 3.

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San Diego Padres: 9-3 (+6.90 units) on the moneyline in their last 12 games. 22-15 (+7.10 units) on the runline in their last 37 away games. 11-3 to the under with their first 5 team total in their last 14 away games.

Texas Rangers: 33-44 (-17.70 units) on the moneyline in their last 77 games. 19-27 (-6.55 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 46 games. 22-13 to the under with their team total in their last 35 games. 

San Diego Padres:  F. Tatis Jr. (RF) - Quad. L. Campusano (C) - Thumb. J. Musgrove (SP) - Elbow. Y. Darvish (SP) - Groin. X. Bogaerts (2B) - Shoulder. L. Patino (SP) - Elbow. G. Otto (RP) - Shoulder.

Texas Rangers:  C. Winn (RP) - Shoulder. E. Carter (LF) - Lumbar. C. Bradford (RP) - Back. A. Pruitt (RP) - Knee. J. Sborz (RP) - Rotator Cuff. J. Jung (3B) - Wrist. T. Mahle (SP) - Elbow. J. deGrom (SP) - Elbow. C. Coleman (SP) - Elbow.

“A few knuckleballs and a few fastballs they were able to put some barrels on. But overall, I thought he was good. He usually gets better as the game goes on. ... They had a good plan and didn't miss it.” - Mike Shildt after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their game on Sunday.

“We've got some ground to make up. Don't count this group out. I know we've had our struggles, our injuries.” - Bruce Bochy after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Sunday.

L Arraez (L) 1B

J Profar (S) LF

J Cronenworth (L) 2B

M Machado (R) DH

D Solano (R) 3B

J Merrill (L) CF

H Kim (R) SS

K Higashioka (R) C

B Johnson (S) RF

M Semien (R) 2B

J Smith (L) SS

R Grossman (S) DH

A García (R) RF

W Langford (R) LF

N Lowe (L) 1B

D Hill (R) CF

A Knizner (R) C

D Wendzel (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Matthew Batten (.333)

Hits:  Jurickson Profar (93)

Home Runs:  Fernando Tatis (14)

RBI:  Jurickson Profar (55)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (15)

Wins:  Dylan Cease (7)

Saves:  Robert Suarez (20)

ERA:  Logan Gillaspie (0.00)

Batting Average:  Justin Foscue (.500)

Hits:  Marcus Semien (80)

Home Runs:  Adolis García (16)

RBI:  Adolis García (44)

Stolen Bases:  Leody Taveras (10)

Wins:  Dane Dunning (4)

Saves:  Kirby Yates (11)

ERA:  Kirby Yates (0.95)

Managers:

San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)

Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (2nd season)