Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/28/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Feb 27, 2024
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 28, 2024
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  ALT


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kings +6.5, Nuggets -6.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kings +6.5, Nuggets -6.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kings +6.5, Nuggets -6.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Season Record

Sacramento Kings:  33-24 (3rd place, Pacific Division)
Denver Nuggets:  39-19 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
Sacramento Kings:  5-5 last 10
Denver Nuggets:  6-4 last 10


Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Preview and Analysis


The Kings are entering this game with a 33-24 record overall and they are 17-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Miami Heat in their last game. Keegan Murray led the team in points in that game with 28 while De'Aaron Fox was next on the team with 27 points. Domantas Sabonis led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 52.9% from the field, 40.6% from 3-point range, and 58.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.9 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 29-27-1 this season and their O/U record is 29-25-3.



The Nuggets are entering this game with a 39-19 record overall and they are 22-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Washington Wizards, the Portland Trail Blazers, and the Golden State Warriors in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 32 while Jamal Murray was next on the team with 27 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 16 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 48.9% from the field, 34.4% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.7 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 25-31-2 this season and their O/U record is 22-36.


Kings vs Nuggets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 39-19 record overall which has them near the top of the West right now with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also looked great on their home court all year with their 22-5 home record. Meanwhile, the Kings have also looked good in their games this season with their 33-24 record overall, but that only has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West, right on the cusp of a true playoff spot too. They have been a good road team with their 17-14 road record but they definitely haven't been at their best in these games. They haven't looked great in their games lately either as they have been really up and down lately, going 5-5 in their last 10 games while the Nuggets are 6-4. The Kings also lost some momentum with a loss in their last game while the Nuggets have been getting hot now with 3 wins in a row and the defending champions are really trying to climb the standings in the West with the number 1 seed up for grabs still. The Nuggets have been so good on their home court this year and they are going to roll the Kings in this game with the way each team has looked lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Kings Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, February 28, 2024 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 122 Kings 108.
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NBA Betting Trends


Sacramento Kings: 12-7 ATS as an underdog. 8-4 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 36-17 ATS off a home loss. 10-5 UNDER as a road underdog. 8-2 UNDER after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better. 

Denver Nuggets: 2-11 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 6-15 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 2-8 ATS off 2 consecutive road wins by 10 points or more. 32-15 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 220. 6-0 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive road wins. 9-4 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins.

Key Injuries


Sacramento Kings:  S. Vezenkov (SF) Late March - Ankle.

Denver Nuggets:  H. Tyson (SF) Out indefinitely - Finger. V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“They came here and they played well both offensively and defensively. We have to be better. I can't turn the ball over like I did. But it's not like they didn't come in here and make tough shots.” - De’Aaron Fox after their loss against the Heat in their game on Monday.


“I felt for the first quarter and a half they were the aggressor, they had us on our heels and we were reacting to everything they did. For us to close out 14-0 and then to start the third 14-4, I think we kind of flipped the switch and we became the aggressor on both ends and stopped thinking and started playing with an attack mindset and an aggressive mindset, and I think that’s when we’re at our best.” - Micheal Malone after his team’s win against the Warriors in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Sacramento Kings
PG De'Aaron Fox
SG Kevin Huerter
SF Harrison Barnes
PF Keegan Murray
C Domantas Sabonis

Denver Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray
SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic

Statistical Leaders


Sacramento Kings
PPG: D. Fox (26.9)
APG: D. Sabonis (8.5)
Reb/G: D. Sabonis (13.2)

Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (26.1)
APG: N. Jokic (9.3)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.3)

Coaches:
Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (2nd season)
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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