Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/05/2025

Game Time: 3:07 pm ET, Thursday, June 5, 2025

Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  Sportsnet

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -125, Blue Jays +105; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -125, Blue Jays +105; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -125, Blue Jays +105; Over/Under:  8 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  37-23 (2nd place, NL East)

Toronto Blue Jays:  31-29 (3rd place, AL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

Toronto Blue Jays:  6-4 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 37-23 record overall and have a road record of 18-11. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. The Phillies won the series opener on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .740 OPS. Rookie pitcher Mick Abel is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Jesús Luzardo is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 5-1 with a 3.58 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 12 ER, 2 HR, and 3 BB with 4 Ks on 12 hits through 3.1 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Blue Jays are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 4-game series against the Athletics 4-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 31-29 record overall and have a home record of 20-13. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Blue Jays lost the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .722 OPS. José Berríos is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Chris Bassitt is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 5-3 with a 3.80 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5 innings played against the Athletics.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked really good in their games this season with their 37-23 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have also been a good road team this year with their 18-11 road record. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have looked good in their games this season with their 31-29 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL East. They have also looked a lot better in their own ballpark with their 20-13 home record this season. The Blue Jays have been the hotter team lately coming into this series, but the Phillies took the 1st game of this series on Tuesday and are trying to bounce back after a terrible series over the weekend. Luzardo was a big part of that series and will be the starter in this one, giving up 12 earned runs in 3 innings against the Brewers in that last start, but that really hasn't been a common theme for him this year. He is 5-1 with a 3.58 ERA this season and he will be looking to bounce back after that terrible start. Bassitt is on the mound for the Blue Jays here and he hasn't looked great himself this season. He is 5-3 with a 3.80 ERA and he is also coming off a bad start in his last one, giving up 5 earned runs in 5 innings to a bad Athletics lineup. The team has won 5 of their last 6 games with Bassitt starting, but he hasn't really been keeping teams off the board in his starts and he will get into trouble against this Phillies lineup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game. 

Phillies Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 5, 2025 (3:07 pm ET start time) is Phillies 6 Blue Jays 3.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 231-169 (+9.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 157-110 (+12.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 186-111 (+14.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 15-8 UNDER on the road vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better.

Toronto Blue Jays: 193-192 (-27.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 101-93 (-22 units) on the moneyline in home games. 92-109 (-19.8 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 40-29 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start.

Philadelphia Phillies:  B. Harper (1B) Day To Day - Elbow. A. Nola (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Ankle.

Toronto Blue Jays:  D. Varsho (CF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. A. Santander (RF) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. Y. Garcia (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. M. Scherzer (SP) Sixty Day IL - Thumb. R. Burr (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. N. Sandlin (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. A. Manoah (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Bastardo (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“Obviously, I have to be able to swing at a high level and swing hard. I’ve done that my whole career, so if I didn’t feel comfortable doing that today, I wasn’t going to get into the box.” - Bryce Harper after their win against the Blue Jays in their game on Tuesday.

“It’s a little different, being on the away side. It's actually really nice coming back to a place [with] a lot of cool moments, a lot of good friends here, a lot of memories made. It's where I made my debut as well. So, yeah, it's just kind of cool, coming back to where it all started.” - Jordan Romano on returning to Toronto with the Phillies.

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Trea Turner (R) SS

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Max Kepler (L) LF

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Bo Bichette (R) SS

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B

George Springer (R) DH

Alejandro Kirk (R) C

Addison Barger (L) RF

Ernie Clement (R) 3B

Davis Schneider (R) LF

Myles Straw (R) CF

Andrés Giménez (L) 2B

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.305)

Hits:  Trea Turner (73)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (19)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (44)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (16)

Wins:  Zack Wheeler (6)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)

ERA:  Mick Abel (0.00)

Batting Average:  Tyler Heineman (.396)

Hits:  Bo Bichette (70)

Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (8)

RBI:  Bo Bichette (32)

Stolen Bases:  Andrés Giménez (9)

Wins:  Chris Bassitt (5)

Saves:  Jeff Hoffman (13)

ERA:  Brendon Little (1.37)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)

Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (4th season)