Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/24/2024

Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 24, 2024

Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN 

Where to Watch:  NBC 10

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -155, Twins +130; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -155, Twins +130; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -155, Twins +130; Over/Under:  8 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  63-37 (1st place, NL East)

Minnesota Twins:  55-44 (2nd place, AL Central)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 63-37 record overall and have a road record of 26-21. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Twins on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Phillies lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .751 OPS. Zack Wheeler is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Aaron Nola is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 11-4 with a 3.54 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Twins are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 2-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-44 record overall and have a home record of 28-20. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Twins won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .752 OPS. Simeon Woods Richardson is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Steven Okert is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 3-1 with a 4.40 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 0 strikeouts on 2 hits through 0.2 innings played against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 63-37 record overall which has them leading the NL East with the best record in the MLB. They have also looked good in their road games with their 26-21 road record. Meanwhile, the Twins have looked good in their games this season with their 55-44 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL Central and trailing behind the Guardians in 1st place. They are fighting for a Wild Card spot right now and have looked good in their home games with their 28-20 home record. The Twins were able to win the 1st game of this series after getting swept by the Brewers over the weekend, but their pitching has not been good lately and they will be at a disadvantage with the pitching matchup here. They are going to have Okert on the mound in this one who is 3-1 with a 4.40 ERA. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but the team has lost 2 games in a row with him starting and he isn't going to get much help from the bullpen if he starts getting blown up. The Phillies are going to have their stud Nola on the mound and he has been great all year. He leads the starting rotation in wins this season with his 11-4 record and he also has a 3.54 ERA. He gave up 4 earned runs in his last start but he has looked really good all season and will be looking to bounce back in this one. The team has also won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting and the Phillies will be looking to get back on track after a rough start out of the All-Star break. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

Phillies Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 24, 2024 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Phillies 5 Twins 1.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 15-20 (-6.65 units) on the runline in their last 35 games. 50-34 to the over with their team total in their last 84 games. 51-32 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 83 games. 

Minnesota Twins: 48-32 (+6 units) on the moneyline in their last 80 games. 14-10 (+6.60 units) on the runline in their last 24 games. 22-12 to the over in their last 34 games. 

Philadelphia Phillies:  L. Ortiz (RP) out for season - Ankle. S. Turnbull (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Walker (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. M. Rucker (RP) Out indefinitely - Finger. D. Covey (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Minnesota Twins:  K. Funderburk (SP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Paddack (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. C. Correa (SS) Out indefinitely - Heel. J. Miranda (3B) Out indefinitely - Back. K. Farmer (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Stewart (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. R. Lewis (3B) Out indefinitely - Groin. J. Topa (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Duarte (RP) out for season - Elbow. A. DeSclafani (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“Much better. The velocity was a little bit better than it was in his last couple starts. I thought he landed his breaking ball when he needed to behind in the count, and he put the breaking ball where he wanted to on his put-away pitches." - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Twins in their game on Monday.

“He looked great. You could almost make an argument to just leave him in the game and let him keep throwing.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Monday.

K Schwarber (L) DH

T Turner (R) SS

B Harper (L) 1B

A Bohm (R) 3B

J Realmuto (R) C

N Castellanos (R) RF

B Stott (L) 2B

W Wilson (R) LF

J Rojas (R) CF

M Margot (R) LF

R Jeffers (R) C

W Castro (S) SS

B Buxton (R) CF

C Santana (S) 1B

B Lee (S) 2B

J Camargo (R) DH

M Kepler (L) RF

D Castillo (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.339)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (112)

Home Runs:  Bryce Harper (23)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (71)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (22)

Wins:  Aaron Nola (11)

Saves:  José Alvarado (13)

ERA:  Jeff Hoffman (1.09)

Batting Average:  Diego A. Castillo (.333)

Hits:  Willi Castro (93)

Home Runs:  Ryan Jeffers (14)

RBI:  Ryan Jeffers (47)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (10)

Wins:  Bailey Ober (9)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (15)

ERA:  Ronny Henriquez (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (6th season)