Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, June 12, 2024
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Where to Watch: NBC 10
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Phillies -120, Red Sox +100; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Phillies -120, Red Sox +100; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Phillies -120, Red Sox +100; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Philadelphia Phillies: 45-20 (1st place, NL East)
Boston Red Sox: 33-33 (3rd place, AL East)
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Philadelphia Phillies: 7-3 last 10
Boston Red Sox: 5-5 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis
The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and split their 2-game series against the New York Mets 1-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-20 record overall and have a road record of 18-10. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .743 OPS. Zack Wheeler is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Cristopher Sánchez is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 3-3 with a 2.71 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.
The Red Sox are entering this series off a win and split their 4-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 33-33 record overall and have a home record of 14-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .725 OPS. Kutter Crawford is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Nick Pivetta is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 3-4 with a 3.40 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 9 strikeouts on 1 hit through 7 innings played against the Atlanta Braves.
Phillies vs Red Sox Prediction
The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 45-20 record overall which has them leading the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their road games with their 18-10 road record. Meanwhile, the Red Sox haven't looked good in their games this season with their 33-33 record overall, and since they have the Orioles and the Yankees in their division, that record doesn't even have them in the race for the AL East right now. They do have a good offense, but the Phillies have the better offense still, and the Red Sox haven't looked good in their own ballpark with their 14-18 home record. The Red Sox have Pivetta starting in this game and he has been good lately, giving up no runs in his last start and going 3-4 with a 3.40 ERA this season. As good as he has been this season, the team has still lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting and the Red Sox really haven't been as good in their home games as they have been in their road games. The Phillies have Sanchez starting in this game and he has also been great this year with his 3-3 record and his 2.71 ERA. He gave up 1 earned run in his last start and the Phillies have had a lot of success with him on the mound lately, winning their last 2 with him starting. The Phillies are the better team in this game with both their pitching and their batting, these are the teams they need to beat up on to win the National League. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.
Phillies Red Sox Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 12, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Phillies 6 Red Sox 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Philadelphia Phillies: 45-20 (+16.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 40-16 (+14.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 27-8 (+15.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 16-6 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175. 12-6 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10. 6-0 UNDER in June games.
Boston Red Sox: 189-201 (-23.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 79-113 (-12.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 96-98 (-18.9 units) on the moneyline in home games. 14-7 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10. 14-7 UNDER in an inter-league game. 6-1 UNDER against NL East opponents.
Key Injuries
Philadelphia Phillies: M. Rucker (RP) Out indefinitely - Finger. K. Clemens (2B) Out indefinitely - Back. B. Marsh (CF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Covey (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Turner (SS) Late June - Leg. Y. Marte (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. Ortiz (RP) Out indefinitely - Ankle.
Boston Red Sox: R. Devers (3B) Prob Tues - Knee. L. Perales (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. T. O'Neill (RF) Ques Tues - Knee. L. Hendriks (RP) Early August - Elbow. M. Yoshida (LF) Out indefinitely - Hand. G. Whitlock (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Murphy (RP) out for season - Elbow. B. Mata (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. V. Grissom (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. R. Gonzalez (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Giolito (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Casas (3B) Out indefinitely - Ribs. W. Abreu (CF) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Story (2B) out for season - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“His stuff was really good, I thought he was just missing. You have games like that. I still trust him a great deal.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Sunday.
“I told (manager Alex Cora) that I got the inning. I got the next inning. I don’t want to hear it.” - Kenley Jansen after their win against the White Sox in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
J.T. Realmuto (R) C
Bryce Harper (L) 1B
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Edmundo Sosa (R) SS
Whit Merrifield (R) LF
Weston Wilson (R) 2B
Johan Rojas (R) CF
Boston Red Sox
Jarren Duran (L) LF
Enmanuel Valdez (L) 2B
Rob Refsnyder (R) RF
Dominic Smith (L) 1B
Connor Wong (R) DH
David Hamilton (L) SS
Bobby Dalbec (R) 3B
Reese McGuire (L) C
Ceddanne Rafaela (R) CF
Statistical Leaders
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average: David Dahl (.667)
Hits: Alec Bohm (71)
Home Runs: Bryce Harper (15)
RBI: Alec Bohm (51)
Stolen Bases: Bryson Stott (18)
Wins: Ranger Suárez (10)
Saves: José Alvarado (11)
ERA: Matt Strahm (0.69)
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average: Rob Refsnyder (.336)
Hits: Jarren Duran (71)
Home Runs: Rafael Devers (13)
RBI: Ceddanne Rafaela (37)
Stolen Bases: Jarren Duran (15)
Wins: Brayan Bello (6)
Saves: Kenley Jansen (9)
ERA: Pablo Reyes (0.00)
Managers:
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)
Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (4th season)