Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/07/2024

Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, July 7, 2024

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  BSSE

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +150, Braves -180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +150, Braves -180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +150, Braves -180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  58-30 (1st place, NL East)

Atlanta Braves:  47-39 (2nd place, NL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  6-4 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  4-6 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-30 record overall and have a road record of 25-16. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Braves on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Phillies won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .753 OPS. Ranger Suárez is their starting pitcher on Saturday while rookie pitcher Michael Mercado is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA this season. His team won their only 2 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 2 hits through 5 IP against the Chicago Cubs.

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 47-39 record overall and have a home record of 27-17. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Braves lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .709 OPS. Rookie pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Reynaldo López is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 6-2 with a 1.83 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 2 homers, and 4 BB with 6 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4.1 innings played against the San Francisco Giants.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 58-30 record overall which leads the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their road games with their 25-16 road record. Meanwhile, the Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 47-39 record overall, but that record only has them in 2nd place of the NL East and well behind the Phillies in 1st. They have looked a lot better in their home games with their 27-17 home record and this is a big series for them to try and pull closer to the Phillies in the division. The Braves are going to have Lopez on the mound here and he has been their ace this season. He is 6-2 with a 1.83 ERA and hasn't given up many runs in any of his starts. He gave up 2 earned runs in his last start in what was a loss for the Braves, but he will be looking to bounce back since the team has won 5 of their last 6 games with him starting. The Phillies are going to have Mercado on the mound here and he has looked good in his few starts so far, but he is also in his rookie season and isn't too reliable yet. He is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and only gave up 1 earned run in his last start, but that was against a weaker offense. The Braves don't have one of the best offenses in the MLB this year, but they still have a really good offense that will be looking to put up some runs for their ace and beat their division rival at home. This is the best chance for the Braves to take a game in this series if they are going to take one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game. 

Phillies Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 7, 2024 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Braves 4 Phillies 1.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 50-23 (+15.35 units) on the moneyline in their last 73 games. 49-26 (+20.40 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 75 games. 49-23 (+21.75 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 72 games. 

Atlanta Braves: 54-21 to the under in their last 75 games. 47-23 to the under with their team total in their last 70 games. 27-15 to the under with their first 5 team total in their last 42 games.

Philadelphia Phillies:  T. Walker (SP) - Index Finger. J. Realmuto (C) - Knee. K. Clemens (2B) - Back. M. Rucker (RP) - Hand. D. Covey (RP) - Shoulder. L. Ortiz (RP) - Ankle.

Atlanta Braves:  O. Arcia (SS) - Head. B. Anderson (RF) - Bacterial Infection. R. Kerr (RP) - Elbow. H. Waldrep (SP) - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) - Elbow. M. Harris (CF) - Hamstring. S. Strider (SP) - Elbow. R. Acuña (RF) - Knee. J. Herget (SP) - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) - Elbow. A. Minter (RP) - Hip. A. Smith-Shawver (RP) - Oblique. A. Perdomo (RP) - Elbow.

“It says a lot. Our front office has done a great job of creating that depth.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Braves in their game on Friday.

“We know what he's capable of.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Friday.

B Stott (L) DH

T Turner (R) SS

A Bohm (R) 1B

N Castellanos (R) RF

E Sosa (R) 3B

W Merrifield (R) 2B

R Marchán (S) C

J Rojas (R) CF

C Pache (R) LF

J Kelenic (L) CF

O Albies (S) 2B

A Riley (R) 3B

M Olson (L) 1B

M Ozuna (R) DH

T d'Arnaud (R) C

A Duvall (R) RF

O Arcia (R) SS

E White (R) LF

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.341)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (100)

Home Runs:  Bryce Harper (20)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (70)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (21)

Wins:  Ranger Suárez (10)

Saves:  José Alvarado (13)

ERA:  Jeff Hoffman (1.21)

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.296)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (94)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (22)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (70)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (11)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (21)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)