Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/06/2024

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, July 6, 2024

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -112, Braves -108; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -110, Braves -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -110, Braves -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  57-30 (1st place, NL East)

Atlanta Braves:  47-38 (2nd place, NL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  6-4 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  4-6 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-30 record overall and have a road record of 24-16. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .752 OPS. Aaron Nola is their starting pitcher on Friday while Ranger Suárez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 10-2 with a 2.27 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 0 Ks on 10 hits through 4.2 IP against the Miami Marlins.

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 47-38 record overall and have a home record of 27-16. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .708 OPS. Max Fried is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 1-4 with a 5.68 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 BB with 7 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 57-30 record overall which leads the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their road games with their 24-16 road record. Meanwhile, the Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 47-38 record overall, but that record only has them in 2nd place of the NL East and well behind the Phillies in 1st. They have looked a lot better in their home games with their 27-16 home record, but they haven't looked great lately with their 4-6 record in their last 10 games while the Phillies are starting to get hot again. The Phillies also have the much better pitching matchup here with Suarez on the mound who is 10-2 with a 2.27 ERA this year. He has been lights out for the Phillies all season. He is coming off a rare bad start which he gave up 6 earned runs in, but he has been so consistent this season and will be looking to bounce back with a better performance. The Braves are going with rookie Schwellenbach in this one and he hasn't looked great with his 1-4 record and his 5.68 ERA. The team has lost their last 2 games with him starting as he has been giving up a ton of runs all year, and he is coming off another start in which he gave up 4 earned runs in his last one. The Phillies have the better pitching staff to win this game and their offense has been the hotter offense lately and all year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game. 

Phillies Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 6, 2024 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Phillies 4 Braves 1.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 50-22 (+16.35 units) on the moneyline in their last 72 games. 49-24 (+23.25 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 73 games. 49-23 (+21.10 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 72 games. 

Atlanta Braves: 18-29 (-12.20 units) on the runline in their last 47 games. 52-34 to the under with their team total in their last 86 games. 27-14 to the under with their first 5 team total in their last 41 games.

Philadelphia Phillies:  T. Walker (SP) - Index Finger. J. Realmuto (C) - Knee. K. Clemens (2B) - Back. M. Rucker (RP) - Hand. D. Covey (RP) - Shoulder. L. Ortiz (RP) - Ankle.

Atlanta Braves:  O. Arcia (SS) - Head. B. Anderson (RF) - Bacterial Infection. R. Kerr (RP) - Elbow. H. Waldrep (SP) - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) - Elbow. M. Harris (CF) - Hamstring. S. Strider (SP) - Elbow. R. Acuña (RF) - Knee. J. Herget (SP) - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) - Elbow. A. Minter (RP) - Hip. A. Smith-Shawver (RP) - Oblique. A. Perdomo (RP) - Elbow.

“Today I felt like there were some plays when I needed to be, you know, quick and needed to have that next gear. Went for it and everything's good.” - Trea Turner after their win against the Cubs in their game on Wednesday.

“It’s on the offense. We didn’t plate the guys we needed to.” - Sean Murphy after their loss against the Giants in their game on Thursday.

B Stott (L) 2B

T Turner (R) SS

A Bohm (R) 3B

B Marsh (L) LF

N Castellanos (R) DH

K Clemens (L) 1B

D Dahl (L) RF

J Rojas (R) CF

G Stubbs (L) C

J Kelenic (L) CF

O Albies (S) 2B

M Ozuna (R) DH

M Olson (L) 1B

A Riley (R) 3B

A Duvall (R) RF

S Murphy (R) C

F Wall (L) LF

Z Short (R) SS

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.340)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (97)

Home Runs:  Bryce Harper (20)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (70)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (20)

Wins:  Ranger Suárez (10)

Saves:  José Alvarado (13)

ERA:  Jeff Hoffman (1.24)

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.296)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (93)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (21)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (67)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (11)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (21)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)