Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/10/2025

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Thursday, April 10, 2025

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +105, Braves -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +105, Braves -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +105, Braves -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  7-3 (2nd place, NL East)

Atlanta Braves:  2-8 (5th place, NL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  7-3 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  2-8 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 7-3 record overall and have a road record of 2-2. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Braves on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. The Braves won the series opener on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .788 OPS. Taijuan Walker is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Jesús Luzardo is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA this season. His team won their 2 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 8 Ks on 2 hits through 7 IP against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and split their 2-game series against the Miami Marlins 1-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 2-8 record overall and have a home record of 2-1. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. The Braves won the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .618 OPS. Grant Holmes is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Spencer Schwellenbach is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season. His team won their last game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 10 strikeouts on 2 hits through 8 innings played against the Miami Marlins.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-8 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the NL East with a terrible start to the season. They have looked better in their own ballpark though with their 2-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Phillies have looked good in their games this season with their 7-3 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East with a great start to the season. They haven't been a great road team so far with their 2-2 road record though. The Braves already took the first game of this series so they are going to have some momentum from that win. Their offense looked a lot better in that game too. They have a solid starter on the mound with Schwellenbach starting here and he has been their best pitcher this season. He hasn't given up a run in 2 starts this season and he will be looking to keep that going here as his team needs the win. The Phillies have Luzardo on the mound and he has been good this season too. He pitched a great game against the Dodgers in his last start, but this will be a much tougher game for him against a lineup that is going to bring their best effort after such a bad start to the season. The Braves have the slightly better pitching matchup in this game and their offense has looked better lately too. They are also in a desperate situation to turn this terrible start to the season around. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game. 

Phillies Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, April 10, 2025 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Braves 3 Phillies 2.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 201-149 (+6.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 108-56 (+19.3 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a losing record. 144-98 (+25 units) on the moneyline vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 errors/game or less. 37-24 UNDER in April games.

Atlanta Braves: 195-144 (-22.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 100-66 (-12.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 7-11 (-5.5 units) on the moneyline vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season. 34-21 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Philadelphia Phillies:  W. Wilson (LF) Ten Day IL - Oblique. R. Suarez (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Back.

Atlanta Braves:  R. Lopez (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) Ten Day IL - Knee. S. Strider (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. N. Alvarez Jr. (SS) Ten Day IL - Wrist.

“At the start of the series, somebody asked me, ‘What's it gonna tell you at the end of the series about your club?’ I pretty much know our club. They’re grinders. They're fighters. They just grind, fight, they claw. And that's who they are. So, I love the club. I love the chance that we have of being special.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the LA Dodgers in their game on Sunday.

“They say he’s been throwing the ball well and he’s got experience. You get excited when you get a guy like that. Hopefully, we can help him get back to where he was.” - Brian Snitker on the team acquiring Rafael Montero.

Trea Turner (R) SS

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Edmundo Sosa (R) LF

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Johan Rojas (R) CF

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF

Jarred Kelenic (L) RF

Sean Murphy (R) C

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Batting Average:  Edmundo Sosa (.478)

Hits:  Kyle Schwarber (12)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (5)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (11)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (4)

Wins:  Jesús Luzardo (2)

Saves:  José Alvarado (2)

ERA:  Taijuan Walker (0.00)

Batting Average:  Sean Murphy (.500)

Hits:  Michael Harris (9)

Home Runs:  Ozzie Albies (1)

RBI:  Ozzie Albies (5)

Stolen Bases:  Nick Allen (2)

Wins:  Spencer Schwellenbach (1)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (1)

ERA:  Spencer Schwellenbach (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (10th season)