Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/25/2023

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Monday, December 25, 2023

Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  76ers -1.5, Heat +1.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  76ers -1.5, Heat +1.5; Over/Under:  226 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  76ers -1.5, Heat +1.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Philadelphia 76ers:  20-8 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

Miami Heat:  17-12 (2nd place, Southeast Division)

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Philadelphia 76ers:  8-2 last 10

Miami Heat:  6-4 last 10

The 76ers are entering this game with a 20-8 record overall and they are 8-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Toronto Raptors in their last game. Tobias Harris and Tyrese Maxey each led the team in points in that game with 33 while Joel Embiid was next on the team with 31 points. Tyrese Maxey led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Joel Embiid led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 53% from the field, 45.2% from 3-point range, and 90.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111 PPG against them. The 76ers have an ATS record of 20-8 this season and their O/U record is 19-9.

The Heat are entering this game with a 17-12 record overall and they are 8-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Orlando Magic and the Atlanta Hawks in their last game. Tyler Herro led the team in points in that game with 30 while Duncan Robinson was next on the team with 27 points. Bam Adebayo led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 46.5% from the field, 43.6% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.8 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 13-16 this season and their O/U record is 15-14.

The current betting odds have the 76ers listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The 76ers have looked really good in their games this season with their 20-8 record overall which has them right near the top of the East. They are 8-4 in their road games too and have some momentum on their side from 2 wins in a row now. Meanwhile, the Heat have looked good this season with their 17-12 record overall and they have looked a lot better in their games lately. They have won 2 games in a row now as they are also gaining momentum but they are only 8-6 in their home games and have struggled more against the top teams in the NBA. The 76ers are one of the best teams in the NBA right now and they will be looking to put on a show here on Christmas Day. The best way to place a bet here is on the 76ers to cover the spread in this game. 

76ers Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, December 25, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is 76ers 114 Heat 108.

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Philadelphia 76ers: 20-8 ATS in all games. 17-6 ATS as a favorite. 8-4 ATS in road games. 30-13 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more. 19-9 OVER in all games. 8-4 OVER in road games. 5-1 OVER against Southeast division opponents. 9-3 OVER after 2 or more consecutive overs. 

Miami Heat: 3-8 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5. 4-10 ATS in home games. 1-5 ATS off a home win. 9-4 OVER after 1 or more consecutive unders. 9-4 OVER after playing a home game. 

Philadelphia 76ers:  N. Batum (SG) Out Mon - Hamstring. P. Beverley (PG) Ques Mon - Heel. M. Bamba (C) Ques Mon - Illness. D. Melton (PG) Ques Mon - Thigh.

Miami Heat:  J. Butler (PF) Ques Mon - Calf. D. Smith (SG) out for season - Knee.

“Give them credit because they did a good job planning for Joel. We got the ball where it needed to go after that and it happened to be Tobias and he energized us. He’s a really good player. Some nights the shots find you and some nights they don’t. Tonight, they found him and he took advantage of it.” - Nick Nurse after his team’s win against the Raptors in their game on Friday.

“It shows you how much he's improved all across the board.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s win against the Hawks in their game on Friday.

PG Tyrese Maxey

SG De'Anthony Melton

SF Tobias Harris

PF Nicolas Batum 

C Joel Embiid

PG Kyle Lowry

SG Tyler Herro

SF Jimmy Butler 

PF Caleb Martin

C Bam Adebayo

PPG: J. Embiid (35)

APG: T. Maxey (6.8)

Reb/G: J. Embiid (11.7)

PPG: T. Herro (24.2)

APG: J. Butler (4.6)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.6)

Coaches:

Philadelphia 76ers: Nick Nurse (1st season)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (16th season)