Oregon Ducks vs UCLA Bruins Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/28/2024

Game Time: 11:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 28, 2024

Venue:  Rose Bowl Stadium, Pasadena, CA

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Oregon -25.5, UCLA +25.5; Over/Under:  55 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Oregon -25.5, UCLA +25.5; Over/Under:  55 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Oregon -25.5, UCLA +25.5; Over/Under:  55 points

Oregon Ducks:  3-0 (0-0) (10th place, Big Ten)

UCLA Bruins:  1-2 (0-1) (18th place, Big Ten)

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Oregon Ducks:  won their last game on the road against the Oregon State Beavers 49-14.

UCLA Bruins:  lost their last game on the road against the LSU Tigers 34-17.

Oregon is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Oregon State 49-14. Dillon Gabriel was the starting QB and he completed 20/24 passes for 291 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jordan James led the team in rushing yards with 86 and 2 TDs. Tez Johnson led the receivers with 110 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Bryce Boettcher led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Teitum Tuioti and Terrance Green each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

UCLA is entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against LSU 34-17. Ethan Garbers was the starting QB and he completed 22/36 passes for 281 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Keegan Jones led the team in rushing yards with 22. Kwazi Gilmer led the receivers with 61 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Carson Schwesinger led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Oregon listed as a 25.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oregon has looked really good in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall. They started the season slow, struggling to beat teams like Idaho and Boise State, but they looked a lot better in their last game against their rival school, beating Oregon State 49-14. They are going to try to carry that momentum into this one and they are coming out of their bye week so they have had an extra week to prepare for this first conference game of the season. This is going to be their first conference game in the Big Ten, but it won't be a tough trip to make since they are playing a familiar opponent who came over from the Pac-12 too. Meanwhile, UCLA hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 1-2 record overall and they are already 0-1 in conference games. They lost their first conference game in the Big Ten at home to Indiana, getting blown out 42-13, and now they are coming off another bad loss to LSU, already looking like one of the worst teams in the Big Ten this season. It doesn't help that Chip Kelly left after being the head coach for years and this program has really been left in a lurch to start their new season in a new conference. They don't have a lot of talent either and they won't be able to keep up with this ranked Oregon team that is still looking to prove that they can be the best team in the country this year. The best way to place a bet here is on Oregon to cover the spread in this game. 

Oregon UCLA Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 28, 2024 (11:00 pm ET start time) is Oregon 45 UCLA 13.

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Oregon Ducks: 19-8 ATS as a favorite. 6-0 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points. 13-3 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 7-4 OVER in road lined games. 6-2 1H OVER off a road win. 5-1 1H OVER when playing against a team with a losing record.

UCLA Bruins: 5-10 1H ATS in home lined games. 7-12 1H ATS against conference opponents. 4-7 1H ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 yards/game or more. 4-0 OVER as a home underdog. 6-3 OVER as an underdog. 

Oregon Ducks:  A. Pugliano (TE) Out - Undisclosed. G. Bryant (WR) Out - Undisclosed. K. Terrell (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Gardner (DL) Out - Undisclosed. A. Boyle (K) Out - Undisclosed. D. Iuli (OL) Out - Undisclosed. D. Fields (DB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Florence (DB) Out - Undisclosed.

UCLA Bruins:  C. Stephens (DB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Abarca (DL) Out - Undisclosed. J. Price (DL) Out - Undisclosed. M. Thorpe-Taylor (OL) Out - Undisclosed. S. Summa (TE) Out - Undisclosed. D. Magna (OL) Out - Undisclosed. L. Edwards (LB) Out - Undisclosed. O. Akinshilo (OL) Out - Undisclosed. D. Murrell (RB) Out - Knee. G. Smith (DL) Out - Ankle. H. Habermehl (TE) Out - Knee. T. Leigber (RB) Out - Knee. D. Pellot (LB) Out - Knee.

“I feel like we played to our standard today.” - Dan Lanning after his team’s win against OR State in their last game. 

“It’s baby steps, but I just like the way my team is fighting. They are being resilient and continually trying to fight during the game. As long as my guys continue to fight and they want to get better, we will get better.” - DeShaun Foster after his team’s loss against LSU in their last game. 

WR Holden, Traeshon

WR Stewart, Evan

WR Johnson, Tez

TE Ferguson, Terrance

QB Gabriel, Dillon

RB James, Jordan

WR Sturdivant, J.Michael 

WR Mokiao-Atimalala, Titus

WR Flores Jr., Rico

TE Matavao, Moliki 

QB Garbers, Ethan

RB Harden, T.J.

FB Adkins, Anthony

Passing: D. Gabriel (914)

Rushing: J. James (283)

Receiving: T. Johnson (190)

Touchdowns: J. James (3)

Passing: E. Garbers (690)

Rushing: T. Harden (72)

Receiving: R. Flores (160)

Touchdowns: R. Flores (1)

Coaches:

Oregon Ducks: Dan Lanning (3rd season)

UCLA Bruins: Deshaun Foster (1st season)