by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Thursday, Oct 28, 2021
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 30, 2021
Venue: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Ole Miss +3, Auburn -3; Over/Under: 66 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Ole Miss +3, Auburn -3; Over/Under: 66 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Ole Miss +2, Auburn -2; Over/Under: 66 points
Season Record
Ole Miss Rebels: 6-1 (2nd place, SEC West)
Auburn Tigers: 5-2 (3rd place, SEC West)
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Ole Miss Rebels vs Auburn Tigers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Ole Miss Rebels: won at home on Oct. 23 against the LSU Tigers 31-17.
Auburn Tigers: won on the road on Oct. 16 against the Arkansas Razorbacks 38-23.
Ole Miss Rebels Analysis
Ole Miss is coming into this game with a 6-1 record overall and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 5th conference matchup of the year and they are in a good position right now with a 3-1 record in their conference games this season. Their 1 loss came against the Alabama Crimson Tide while their 3 wins came against the Arkansas Razorbacks, the Tennessee Volunteers, and against LSU in their last game. Ole Miss was trailing at the end of the first quarter in that game but then had a strong second quarter taking the lead into halftime and then adding to it in the third quarter making the game too out of reach for LSU to come back in. Matt Corral played well in that game as he completed 19/24 passes for 186 yards and 1 touchdown. Jarod Conner led the team in rushing with 117 yards on 14 carries while Jerrion Ealy was right behind him with 97 yards and 1 touchdown on 12 carries. Dontario Drummond led the receivers with 93 yards on 8 receptions while Casey Kelly caught the only touchdown pass in that one. AJ Finley led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Chance Campbell, Sam Williams, Mohamed Sanogo, Tavius Robinson, and Cedric Johnson all led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 each while Tysheem Johnson came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 293 points in their 7 games this season averaging 41.9 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 198 points against them allowing 28.3 PPG. Their offense is averaging 541.1 YPG while their defense is allowing 422 YPG.
Auburn Tigers Analysis
Auburn is coming into this game with a 5-2 record overall and they are 3-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 4th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are in a decent spot right now with a 2-1 record in their conference games this season. Their 1 loss came against the Georgia Bulldogs while their 2 wins came against the LSU Tigers and against Arkansas in their last game. That game was a close one in the first half but Auburn really pulled away in the second half with a strong performance, especially in the fourth quarter. Bo Nix played alright in that game as he completed 21/26 passes for 292 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Cartavious Bigsby led the team in rushing with 68 yards and 1 touchdown on 18 carries. Demetris Robertson led the receivers with 81 yards and 1 touchdown on 2 receptions while Shedrick Jackson had 61 yards on 5 receptions. Ja'Varrius Johnson caught the other touchdown pass in that one. Zakoby McClain led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 6 assisted ones. Colby Wooden led the defense in sacks with 2 in that game while no one on the defense came away with an interception in that one. They have scored 248 points in their 7 games this season averaging 35.4 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 19.7 PPG. Their offense is averaging 448.1 YPG while their defense is allowing 343.9 YPG.
Ole Miss vs Auburn Prediction
Ole Miss is coming into this game as a 3 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Auburn has a good defense on their team and their offense also showed up in their last game as they scored 38 points and held Arkansas to 23. Ole Miss has a very good offense as well and their quarterback is in the Heisman Trophy conversation this year. They are coming into this game off of 3 straight wins and have been tightening up their defense in their games each week since allowing 51 points to Arkansas. Ole Miss has a lot to prove here as a team but so does head coach Lane Kiffin, he has something to prove with the team and himself as a coach after a few rough years. The best bet to place in this game is on Ole Miss to cover the spread here and win the game straight up on the moneyline as they are the better all around team and will be playing with a chip on their shoulder here.
Ole Miss Auburn Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 30, 2021 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Ole Miss 42 Auburn 28.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Ole Miss Rebels: 26-33 O/U when the line is +3 to -3. 114-135 O/U in all games. 57-73 O/U as an underdog. 28-37 O/U as a road underdog. 38-62 O/U in road games. 76-104 O/U against conference opponents.
Auburn Tigers: 19-39 O/U when the line is +3 to -3. 135-153 O/U in all games. 70-80 O/U in home games. 97-107 O/U against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Ole Miss Rebels: B. Sanders (WR) Ques Sat - Lower Body injury. J. Mingo (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot injury.
Auburn Tigers: J. Wright (DT) out for season - Knee injury. O. Pappoe (LB) Ques Sat - Leg injury. B. Patton (K) Ques Sat - Lower Body injury.
Notable Quotes
"We're good, but not great. But we're close. We've got to get healthy. If we can do that and execute, then we could be a really special team." - Lane Kiffin on where his team is at this season with their progression and development.
"You score on defense you should have a really good shot at the game. To be on the road and to win, going into a bye week, all these things are big for our program. There were things we've all been working on that fell into place today. I am excited. I enjoyed that game." - Bryan Harsin after their win over Arkansas in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Ole Miss Rebels
WR Braylon Sanders
WR Drummond, Dontario
WR Jonathan Mingo
TE Kelly, Casey
QB Corral, Matt
RB Ealy, Jerrion
Auburn Tigers
WR Jackson, Shedrick
WR Robertson, Demetris
WR Johnson, Ja'Varrius
TE Shenker, John Samuel
QB Nix, Bo
RB Bigsby, Tank
Statistical Leaders
Ole Miss Rebels
Passing: M. Corral (1913)
Rushing: M. Corral (474)
Receiving: D. Drummond (619)
Touchdowns: M. Corral (9)
Auburn Tigers
Passing: B. Nix (1488)
Rushing: T. Bigsby (526)
Receiving: D. Robertson (312)
Touchdowns: T. Bigsby (6)
Coaches:
Ole Miss Rebels: Lane Kiffin (2nd season)
Auburn Tigers: Bryan Harsin (1st season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
