Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/10/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, January 10, 2024

Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  BSSUN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -3.5, Heat +3.5; Over/Under:  233 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -3.5, Heat +3.5; Over/Under:  233 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -3.5, Heat +3.5; Over/Under:  233 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  24-11 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

Miami Heat:  21-15 (1st place, Southeast Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-3 last 10

Miami Heat:  6-4 last 10

The Thunder are entering this game with a 24-11 record overall and they are 10-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Washington Wizards in their last game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 32 while Chet Holmgren was next on the team with 31 points. Jalen Williams led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Jalen Williams led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 59.1% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 23-11-1 this season and their O/U record is 22-13.

The Heat are entering this game with a 21-15 record overall and they are 10-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Houston Rockets in their last game. Tyler Herro led the team in points in that game with 28 while Bam Adebayo was next on the team with 22 points. Duncan Robinson led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 50% from the field, 41.7% from 3-point range, and 71.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.6 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 17-19 this season and their O/U record is 17-19.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 24-11 record overall which has them right near the top of the West. They have been one of the best teams in the NBA over the last few weeks and they have had success in their road games too with their 10-6 road record. Meanwhile, the Heat have looked good in their games this season with their 21-15 record overall but they have also been without some key starters in their lineup. They have been managing to get by against bad teams lately as they look to climb the standings in the East, but the Thunder have been improving a lot over the last 3 seasons and this is a team that is finally ready to compete for the West. The Heat are only 10-6 in their home games this season so their home advantage hasn't been very strong and they just don't have the talent without their key starters in the lineup to keep up with this healthy and rested Thunder team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, January 10, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 121 Heat 99.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 23-11 ATS in all games. 22-14 ATS off a road win. 12-7 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games. 8-3 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 14-6 OVER when the total is greater than or equal to 230. 16-8 OVER after scoring 130 points or more.

Miami Heat: 6-10 ATS in home games. 31-44 ATS off a home win. 10-6 OVER in home games. 10-5 OVER after playing a home game. 

Oklahoma City Thunder:  D. Bertans (PF) Ques Wed - Illness.

Miami Heat:  K. Lowry (PG) Ques Wed - Hand. R. Hampton (PG) Ques Wed - Illness. J. Butler (PF) Ques Wed - Foot. C. Martin (SF) Out indefinitely - Ankle. D. Smith (SG) out for season - Knee.

“I thought our intensity and how hard we played tonight was much, much better. And there were times in those other two games where we gave up a lot of unearned stuff. I didn’t think much tonight was unearned.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Wizards in their game on Monday.

“The Philly guy in him right now is saying ‘I’ll be all right.' He's as tough as you can be in this league. He's played through more things than probably anybody currently playing in this association.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s win against the Rockets in their game on Monday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Josh Giddey

SF Luguentz Dort

PF Jalen Williams

C Chet Holmgren

PG Kyle Lowry

SG Tyler Herro

SF Jaime Jaquez Jr.

PF Haywood Highsmith

C Bam Adebayo

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (31.5)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: C. Holmgren (7.3)

PPG: T. Herro (22.7)

APG: J. Butler (4.5)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.3)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (4th season)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (16th season)