Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/08/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 8, 2025

Venue:  FedExForum, Memphis, TN

Where to Watch:  FDSSE

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -3, Grizzlies +3; Over/Under:  241 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -3, Grizzlies +3; Over/Under:  241 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -3.5, Grizzlies +3.5; Over/Under:  241.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  40-9 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Memphis Grizzlies:  35-16 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-3 last 10

Memphis Grizzlies:  9-1 last 10

The Thunder are entering this game with a 40-9 record overall this season and they are 17-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Sacramento Kings, the Milwaukee Bucks, and the Phoenix Suns, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Toronto Raptors still to be played on Friday night. In their game against the Suns, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 50 while Aaron Wiggins was next on the team with 17 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Jaylin Williams led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 51% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 88.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 104.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 30-17-3 this season and their O/U record is 26-22-2.

The Grizzlies are entering this game with a 35-16 record overall this season and they are 21-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Houston Rockets, the Milwaukee Bucks, the San Antonio Spurs, and the Toronto Raptors. Jaren Jackson Jr. led the team in points in that game with 32 while Ja Morant was next on the team with 26 points. Jaren Jackson Jr. and Ja Morant each led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Zach Edey led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 52.8% from the field, 42.1% from 3-point range, and 73.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 123.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.4 PPG against them. The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 34-17 this season and their O/U record is 33-18.

The current betting odds have the Grizzlies listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Grizzlies have looked really good in their games this season with their 35-16 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also looked great on their home court with their 21-5 home record which is one of the best home records in the NBA. Meanwhile, the Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 40-9 record overall which leads the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 17-6 road record, but a majority of their losses this season have come in these road games and this won't be an easy game for them against the red hot Grizzlies who are right behind them in the West. The Thunder have been hot lately with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games and they do have some momentum with 3 wins in a row now, but they aren't in a great situation for this game. They are playing this game on a back-to-back as they have a game against the Raptors on Friday and will have to travel to Memphis after. The Grizzlies are catching the Thunder in a great situation at home here, and the Grizzlies have been the hotter team lately too. The Grizzlies are 9-1 in their last 10 games and have their own momentum with 4 wins in a row now. They also have the rest advantage on their side so if there is a team that can knock down this dominant Thunder team, it is the Grizzlies at home in this situation. The best way to place a bet here is on the Grizzlies to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Grizzlies Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, February 8, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Grizzlies 132 Thunder 120.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 36-23 ATS against Southwest division opponents. 37-21 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 25-17 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 39-23 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 

Memphis Grizzlies: 15-29 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 6-11 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 points/game or less. 19-5 OVER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more. 13-6 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%).

Oklahoma City Thunder:  O. Dieng (SF) Out - Calf. C. Wallace (SG) Out - Shoulder. A. Mitchell (SG) Out - Toe. N. Topić (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Memphis Grizzlies:  V. Williams (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. D. Bane (SG) Out - Ankle. M. Bagley (PF) Out - Knee. C. Spencer Out - Thumb.

“He was cooking. He was really good. He’s been on this one for a while, you know? But continues to defend, continues to do all the other things that go into basketball. It hasn’t turned into an individual spectacle. He’s just inside the team. He blends it into the game.” - Mark Daigneault on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander after his team’s win against the Suns in their game on Wednesday.

"I know people had all kinds of question marks about what he was going to be able to do at this level defensively. With our system, protecting the paint, protecting the rim, trying to secure defensive rebounds, I think he really thrives in that. It's just a matter of adjusting to the speed, the physicality at times based off of the personnel he's going up against every night and then offensively, pace." - Taylor Jenkins after his team’s win against the Raptors in their game on Wednesday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PG Ja Morant

SG Luke Kennard

SF Jaylen Wells

PF Jaren Jackson Jr.

C Zach Edey

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.8)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (12.2)

PPG: J. Jackson (23.4)

APG: J. Morant (7.5)

Reb/G: Z. Edey (7.8)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)

Memphis Grizzlies: Taylor Jenkins (6th season)