Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/16/2023

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Thursday, November 16, 2023

Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -2.5, Warriors +2.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -2.5, Warriors +2.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -2.5, Warriors +2.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-4 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Golden State Warriors:  6-6 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  6-4 last 10

Golden State Warriors:  5-5 last 10

The Thunder are entering this game with a 7-4 record overall and they are 3-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Phoenix Suns and the San Antonio Spurs in their last game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 28 while Josh Giddey was next on the team with 18 points. Josh Giddey led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Chet Holmgren and Josh Giddey each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 51.7% from the field, 38.5% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 8-3 this season and their O/U record is 5-6.

The Warriors are entering this game with a 6-6 record overall and they are 1-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game losing streak with losses coming against the Denver Nuggets, the Cleveland Cavaliers, and the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last 2 games. In their last game against the T-Wolves, Brandin Podziemski led the team in points in that game with 23 while Dario Šarić was next on the team with 21 points. Brandin Podziemski led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Kevon Looney led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 42% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.8 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 6-6 this season and their O/U record is 5-7.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked really good this season with their 7-4 record overall and their 3-1 road record. They have been hot in their games lately with 2 wins in a row and they will be looking to extend that win streak here by taking advantage of the Warriors in a bad situation. The Warriors started the season really hot but they haven't looked great in their games lately with their 6-6 record overall and they have also been terrible in their home games too with their 1-4 home record. They are in a bad slump right now with 4 losses in a row and their best player Steph Curry is also battling an injury. Now they are dealing with a suspension to Green as well and there is just too much piling up for the Warriors to break out of their funk against a hot Thunder team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, November 16, 2023 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 118 Warriors 112.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 2-6 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 3-7 ATS after 2 straight games committing 7+ less turnovers than opponents. 8-2 UNDER as a road favorite. 5-1 UNDER after a game where they covered the spread. 

Golden State Warriors: 8-0 ATS as a home underdog. 18-9 ATS off 3 or more consecutive home losses. 30-21 ATS after scoring 105 points or less. 9-0 UNDER as a home underdog. 27-19 UNDER after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less. 

Oklahoma City Thunder:  None.

Golden State Warriors:  S. Curry (PG) Ques Thurs - Knee.

“I just think we have great respect for their people, their players, their program. It’s one game. It’s one of 82. It was our night, it wasn’t their night. But it’s zero-zero next time we play them.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Spurs in their game on Tuesday.

“We don't have some regular rookies, you know what I mean. We've got some rooks who pay attention, know what they're doing. To be on a team like this, this early in the season, valuable minutes in big games, it's only going to be good in the long haul.” - Chris Paul after their loss against the Timberwolves in their game on Tuesday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Josh Giddey

SF Luguentz Dort

PF Jalen Williams

C Chet Holmgren

PG Stephen Curry

SG Klay Thompson

SF Andrew Wiggins

PF Draymond Green 

C Kevon Looney

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (29.3)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (5.9)

Reb/G: C. Holmgren (7.5)

PPG: S. Curry (30.7)

APG: C. Paul (7)

Reb/G: K. Looney (9.1)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (4th season)

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (10th season)