Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/10/2024

Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 10, 2024

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -2.5, Mavericks +2.5; Over/Under:  241 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -2.5, Mavericks +2.5; Over/Under:  241 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -2.5, Mavericks +2.5; Over/Under:  241 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  35-16 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  29-23 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-3 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  5-5 last 10

The Thunder are entering this game with a 35-16 record overall and they are 15-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Utah Jazz in their last game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 28 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 26 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 47.8% from the field, 51.4% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 31-19-1 this season and their O/U record is 29-22.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 29-23 record overall and they are 14-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Philadelphia 76ers, the Brooklyn Nets, and the New York Knicks in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 39 while Tim Hardaway Jr. was next on the team with 19 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 52.4% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 78.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.1 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 27-25 this season and their O/U record is 26-25-1.

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 29-23 record overall which has them in a play-in spot in the West for the playoffs this year, but they will be looking to move up into a true playoff spot. They haven't looked great on their home court this season with their 14-13 home record, but they have looked really good lately with some momentum on their side now from 3 wins in a row. Meanwhile, the Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 36-15 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. The Thunder have also been a good road team this season with their 15-10 road record but they did lose their last game on the road against the Jazz. The Thunder have looked great in their games lately too with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games, but the Mavericks have a lot of momentum on their side with 3 wins in a row and Doncic has looked great in these games too. The Thunder are one of the best teams in the NBA right now but the Mavericks have been getting hot lately and they will be able to take advantage of the Thunder here at home with the Thunder struggling more in road games lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, February 10, 2024 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 123 Thunder 117.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 31-19 ATS in all games. 29-14 ATS against Southwest division opponents. 37-24 ATS off a road loss. 11-5 OVER as a road favorite. 25-14 OVER after 3 or more consecutive overs. 14-5 OVER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

Dallas Mavericks: 3-6 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3. 9-19 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 5-9 ATS off a road win. 10-3 OVER after 3 consecutive non-conference games. 38-24 OVER after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  I. Joe (PG) Ques Sat - Sternum.

Dallas Mavericks:  D. Lively II (C) Out indefinitely - Nose. D. Exum (PG) Out indefinitely - Knee.

"I give Utah credit, they showed great resolve. I thought the glass was a huge issue, and the paint was a huge issue. I thought the physicality (Utah) showed in the paint.… Was very uncharacteristic of us on both ends and really didn’t give us a lot of margin.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Jazz in their game on Tuesday.

“I think being able to talk to those two today, they’re excited. They know being on the other side what Luka can do, so I think now to be a teammate, they’re going to be excited, they’re going to get to touch the ball a lot of times and they’re going to have wide-open shots.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the Knicks in their game on Thursday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Josh Giddey

SF Luguentz Dort

PF Jalen Williams

C Chet Holmgren

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Josh Green

PF P.J. Washington 

C Daniel Gafford 

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (31.1)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.6)

Reb/G: C. Holmgren (7.5)

PPG: L. Doncic (34.6)

APG: L. Doncic (9.5)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (8.8)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (4th season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)