by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 29, 2024
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 2, 2024
Venue: Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: OSU -3.5, PSU +3.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: OSU -3.5, PSU +3.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: OSU -3.5, PSU +3.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Season Record
Ohio State Buckeyes: 6-1 (3-1) (4th place, Big Ten)
Penn State Nittany Lions: 7-0 (4-0) (3rd place, Big Ten)
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Recent Form
Ohio State Buckeyes: won their last game at home against the Nebraska Cornhuskers 21-17.
Penn State Nittany Lions: won their last game on the road against the Wisconsin Badgers 28-13.
Ohio State Buckeyes vs Penn State Nittany Lions Preview and Analysis
Ohio State is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Nebraska 21-17. Will Howard was the starting QB and he completed 13/16 passes for 221 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Quinshon Judkins led the team in rushing yards with 29. Carnell Tate led the receivers with 102 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Denzel Burke led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while J.T. Tuimoloau, Tyleik Williams, and Ty Hamilton each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jordan Hancock came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Penn State is entering this game with a 7-0 record overall and they have a 4-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Wisconsin 28-13. Drew Allar was the starting QB and he completed 14/18 passes for 148 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions before leaving injured and getting replaced by Beau Pribula who completed 11/13 passes for 98 yards and 1 TD. Kaytron Allen led the team in rushing yards with 86 and 1 TD. Harrison Wallace III led the receivers with 67 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Zakee Wheatley led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Jaylen Reed came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Ohio State vs Penn State Prediction
The current betting odds have Penn State listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Penn State has looked great in their games this season with their 7-0 record overall and their 4-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten and ranked as one of the best teams in the entire nation. They have looked great in their home games with their 4-0 home record and there is no game on their schedule this season that they are going to bring more effort for than this game. Meanwhile, Ohio State has looked really good in their games this season with their 6-1 record overall and their 3-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten and ranked as one of the best teams in the country. Ohio State already has a road loss this season though, losing to Oregon who is ranked number 1, but that was also just 1 of 2 road games they have played all season. They haven't looked great in their games lately either, struggling to beat Nebraska last week with a 4 point win at home. Penn State has been through some adversity this season with some scares early on in their games, but they have come back to win every time and have been building character as a team. Penn State has a real chance to end up in the Big Ten Championship this season with that Ohio State loss, but they need to win this game and it is a game they have definitely been preparing for all year. Penn State has looked like the better team lately and they have the advantage being at home since this was also a closer game last season too. The best way to place a bet here is on Penn State to cover the spread in this game.
Ohio State Penn State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 2, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Penn State 23 Ohio State 20.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Ohio State Buckeyes: 11-20 1H ATS as a favorite. 6-16 1H ATS against conference opponents. 4-14 1H ATS off a win against a conference rival. 6-11 1H ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 11-6 OVER off a home win. 6-3 OVER off a home win against a conference rival. 12-6 OVER after playing a game at home.
Penn State Nittany Lions: 21-11 ATS in all lined games. 11-5 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 5-2 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 6-3 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 5-2 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 8-4 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more.
Key Injuries
Ohio State Buckeyes: J. Simmons (OL) Out - Knee. R. Stocksdale (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. L. Ransom (SAF) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Scott (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. W. Kacmarek (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Caffey (RB) Out - Knee.
Penn State Nittany Lions: D. Allar (QB) Questionable - Knee. D. Dennis-Sutton (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. Q. Martin (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Flowers (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Spencer (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Saunders (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Wallace (RB) Questionable - Lower Body. A. Rappleyea (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Winston (SAF) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Fisher (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Wylie (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“Give Nebraska credit and the job they did. They had a hard time the week before. We knew they were going to come out and play us really hard.” - Ryan Day after his team’s win against Nebraska in their last game.
“Just a gutsy win. You lose your starting quarterback. You lose your starting d-end. You lose your starting offensive tackle. Next man up. No excuses. I thought it was just a gutsy culture win from my perspective.” - James Franklin after his team’s win against Wisconsin in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Ohio State Buckeyes
WR Smith, Jeremiah
WR Tate, Carnell
WR Egbuka, Emeka
TE Scott Jr., Gee
QB Howard, Will
RB Henderson, TreVeyon
Penn State Nittany Lions
WR Wallace III, Harrison
WR Fleming, Julian
WR Clifford, Liam
TE Warren, Tyler
QB Allar, Drew
RB Singleton, Nicholas
Statistical Leaders
Ohio State Buckeyes
Passing: W. Howard (1795)
Rushing: Q. Judkins (520)
Receiving: J. Smith (623)
Touchdowns: J. Smith (9)
Penn State Nittany Lions
Passing: D. Allar (1640)
Rushing: D. Allar (509)
Receiving: T. Warren (559)
Touchdowns: N. Singleton (7)
Coaches:
Ohio State Buckeyes: Ryan Day (7th season)
Penn State Nittany Lions: James Franklin (11th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
