by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Sep 10, 2024
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 14, 2024
Venue: Ross–Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Notre Dame -10, Purdue +10; Over/Under: 45 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Notre Dame -10, Purdue +10; Over/Under: 45.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Notre Dame -10.5, Purdue +10.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Season Record
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 1-1 (FBS Independent)
Purdue Boilermakers: 1-0 (0-0) (12th place, Big Ten)
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Recent Form
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: lost their last game at home against the Northern Illinois Huskies 16-14.
Purdue Boilermakers: won their last game at home against the Indiana State Sycamores 49-0.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Purdue Boilermakers Preview and Analysis
Notre Dame is entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Northern Illinois 16-14. Riley Leonard was the starting QB and he completed 20/32 passes for 163 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Jeremiyah Love led the team in rushing yards with 79 and 1 TD. Beaux Collins led the receivers with 45 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Xavier Watts led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Purdue is entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Indiana State 49-0. Hudson Card was the starting QB and he completed 24/25 passes for 273 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Devin Mockobee led the team in rushing yards with 89. Max Klare led the receivers with 71 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Will Heldt led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Will Heldt led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Notre Dame vs Purdue Prediction
The current betting odds have Notre Dame listed as a 10 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Notre Dame is 1-1 overall this season and haven't looked great in their 2 games. They pulled off an impressive road win by 10 against Texas A&M in their season opener, but they lost their home opener last week against a much weaker NIU team. As bad as they were in that loss, the defense still played well and they are going to be looking to bounce back in a big way. That loss to NIU at home may have cost them a playoff spot too so they can't afford to lose another game this season and they will have to start earning some style points the way they win. Meanwhile, Purdue is 1-0 overall this season with a 49-0 win, but they have only played 1 game and it was against a team from the FCS. They looked great in that game but they still don't have the talent that a team like Notre Dame can bring in. Having the home advantage helps and the defense has been improving for Purdue, but their offense isn't going to have it as easy against this Notre Dame defense as they did last week against Indiana State. Notre Dame's defense will be able to keep them in this game if the offense starts slow, but expect a response from this offense after that terrible game last week. The best way to place a bet here is on Notre Dame to cover the spread in this game.
Notre Dame Purdue Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 14, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Notre Dame 27 Purdue 10.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 7-5 ATS in their last 12 games. 7-3 (+2.25 units) on the moneyline in their last 10 games. 9-3 to the 1st half under in their last 12 games.
Purdue Boilermakers: 3-7 ATS in the 1st quarter of their last 10 games. 3-8 ATS in the 1st half of their last 11 games. 8-3 to the 1st half under in their last 11 games.
Key Injuries
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: J. Faison (WR) Probable - Ankle. J. Burnham (DL) Questionable - Ankle. C. Tucker (CB) Out - Knee. G. Payne (RB) Out - Knee. C. Jagusah (OL) Out - Pectoral. T. Bennie-Powell (SAF) Out - Shoulder. S. Prescod (OL) Out - Shoulder. T. Johnson (SAF) Out - Foot. K. Bauman (TE) Questionable - Knee.
Purdue Boilermakers: D. Carlson (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. O. Davis (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. N. Green (DB) Doubtful - Foot. C. Smith (WR) Doubtful - Hamstring. S. Bradford (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Stewart (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Brown (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Bouldin (OL) Out - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“You know, it’s our job as coaches to make sure these guys are ready to go. You go from the highest of highs to the lowest of lows in a tale of two weeks, but we’ve got to own this thing. As coaches and players, we’ve got to own it, and we’ve got to fix it.” - Marcus Freeman after his team’s loss against NIU in their last game.
"We're going to air on the side of thinking they're going to be an angry football team. I know Coach Freeman will have those guys fired up and ready to play and we're fully expecting to get their best shot." - Ryan Walters on his team’s game against Notre Dame this week.
Starting Lineups
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
WR Collins, Beaux
WR Mitchell, Kris
WR Greathouse, Jaden
TE Evans, Mitchell
QB Leonard, Riley
RB Love, Jeremiyah
Purdue Boilermakers
WR Rigby, Shamar
WR Edrine, Jahmal
WR Tibbs, Jaron
TE Klare, Max
QB Card, Hudson
RB Mockobee, Devin
Statistical Leaders
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Passing: R. Leonard (321)
Rushing: J. Love (170)
Receiving: B. Collins (107)
Touchdowns: J. Love (2)
Purdue Boilermakers
Passing: H. Card (273)
Rushing: D. Mockobee (89)
Receiving: M. Klare (71)
Touchdowns: M. Klare (1)
Coaches:
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Marcus Freeman (4th season)
Purdue Boilermakers: Ryan Walters (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
