by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Monday, Jan 31, 2022
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 1, 2022
Venue: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, KY
Where to Watch: ACC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: UNC -3.5, Louisville +3.5; Over/Under: 145.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: UNC NL, Louisville NL; Over/Under: NL points
BetMGM: Point Spread: UNC -3.5, Louisville +3.5; Over/Under: 145.5 points
Season Record
North Carolina Tar Heels: 15-6 (4th place, ACC)
Louisville Cardinals: 11-10 (8th place, ACC)
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North Carolina Tar Heels vs Louisville Cardinals Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
North Carolina Tar Heels: 3-2 last 5
Louisville Cardinals: 1-4 last 5
North Carolina Tar Heels Analysis
UNC is coming into this game with a 15-6 record overall and they are 3-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 11th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 7-3 in their conference games this season. Their last loss was against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons but they have gone on a 3 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Virginia Tech Hokies, the Boston College Eagles, and the NC State Wolfpack in their last game. Caleb Love led the team in points in that game with 21 while Armando Bacot was next on the team with 18 points. Love also led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Bacot led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 54.8% from the field, 55.6% from 3-point range, and 70.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.5 PPG against them. UNC has an ATS record of 9-12 this season and their O/U record is 11-10.
Louisville Cardinals Analysis
Louisville is coming into this game with an 11-10 record overall and they are 7-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 12th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 5-6 in their conference games this season. Their last win was against the Boston College Eagles but they have gone on a 3 game losing streak since then with losses coming against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, the Virginia Cavaliers, and the Duke Blue Devils in their last game. El Ellis led the team in points in that game off the bench with 18 while Dre Davis was next on the team with 16 points. Mason Faulkner led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Malik Williams led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 42.4% from the field, 36.4% from 3-point range, and 53.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 68.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68 PPG against them. Louisville has an ATS record of 6-14-1 this season and their O/U record is 8-13.
North Carolina vs Louisville Prediction
UNC is coming into this game as a 3.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UNC has been playing much better in recent games and they have been crushing teams winning their last 3 games by double digits. They are going up against a Louisville side that have lost 3 games straight and have been struggling against conference opponents recently. UNC should be able to cruise past Louisville now that they have been starting to roll again. The best bet to place in this game is on UNC to cover the spread here.
North Carolina Louisville Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, February 1, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is UNC 92 Louisville 77.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
North Carolina Tar Heels: 2-10 ATS as a road favorite or pick. 11-18 ATS in road games. 16-22 ATS after one or more consecutive overs. 35-62 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins. 1-8 ATS after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more.
Louisville Cardinals: 5-14 O/U after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists. 8-13 O/U in all games. 7-12 O/U in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 20-29 O/U when playing only their 2nd game in a week. 49-80 O/U off a loss against a conference rival.
Key Injuries
North Carolina Tar Heels: A. Harris (G) out for season - Undisclosed injury. D. Garcia (F) Out indefinitely - Personal.
Louisville Cardinals: R. Wheeler (F) Ques Tues - Concussion. M. James (G) out for season - Achilles injury.
Notable Quotes
“Today was a good day for Carolina basketball.” - Hubert davis on his team’s win against NC State.
“But yet he gets six offensive rebounds, and he finds a way to impact the game. Our team needs to learn that lesson. Doesn’t matter how well you shoot it. Doesn’t matter how ineffective you are offensively, there are other ways to impact the game, and he found a way to do that.” - Mike Pegues on his team’s win loss against Duke.
Starting Lineups
North Carolina Tar Heels
A. Bacot
L. Black
R. Davis
D. Garcia
C. Love
Louisville Cardinals
D. Davis
N. Locke
J. West
M. Williams
J. Withers
Statistical Leaders
North Carolina Tar Heels
PPG: A. Bacot (16.3)
APG: C. Love (3.4)
Reb/G: A. Bacot (12.1)
Louisville Cardinals
PPG: M. Williams (10)
APG: J. West (3)
Reb/G: M. Williams (8.7)
Coaches:
North Carolina Tar Heels: Hubert Davis (1st season)
Louisville Cardinals: Mike Pegues (Interim)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
