Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 10, 2022
Venue: Center Parc Credit Union Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch: ESPNU
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: UNC -7, GA State +7; Over/Under: 67.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: UNC -7, GA State +7; Over/Under: 67.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: UNC -7, GA State +7; Over/Under: 67.5 points
Season Record
North Carolina Tar Heels: 2-0 (1st place, ACC Coastal)
Georgia State Panthers: 0-1 (7th place, Sun Belt Group A)
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North Carolina Tar Heels: won their last game on the road against the Appalachian State Mountaineers 63-61.
Georgia State Panthers: lost their last game on the road against the South Carolina Gamecocks 35-14.
North Carolina Tar Heels vs Georgia State Panthers Preview and Analysis
UNC is entering this game with a 2-0 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 2nd road game of the season here as they are 1-0 in their road games this year. They won against the Appalachian State Mountaineers in their last game on the road 63-61. Drake Maye started that game at QB and he completed 24/36 passes for 352 yards and 4 touchdowns. Caleb Hood led the team in rushing with 87 yards on 6 rushing attempts while Kobe Paysour led the team in receiving with 92 yards and 1 touchdown on 8 receptions. Cedric Gray led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles. Kaimon Rucker and Jahvaree Ritzie both led the defense in sacks with 0.5 each while Cedric Gray recorded the only interception for them in that one.
Georgia State is entering this game with a 0-1 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 1st home game of the season here. They lost against the South Carolina Gamecocks in their last game on the road 35-14. Darren Grainger started that game at QB and he completed 7/29 passes for 111 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Jamyest Williams led the team in rushing with 76 yards on 13 rushing attempts. Jamari Thrash led the team in receiving with 70 yards on 4 receptions. Antavious Lane led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Blake Carroll and Quavian White both led the defense in sacks with 1 each while Quavian White recorded 2 interceptions for them in that one.
North Carolina vs Georgia State Prediction
The current betting odds have Georgia State listed as a 7 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Georgia State did not look very good in their last game as their passing game was terrible. They kept the game close in the first half but things really fell apart after a while and they started to allow a lot of points but were unable to move the ball themselves and respond. Their quarterback Darren Grainger only completed 7 of his 29 passes in that game, but he should have a much easier time moving the ball here. GA State will be back at home here where they had a very good record last season and North Carolina's defense just had a game where they won but allowed 61 points in the game. There was absolutely no defense from them at all against App State last week and Grainger should have a much easier time moving the ball and passing on this bad defense. North Carolina has already played 2 games this season but even in their first game of the year, they beat Florida A&M, a team from the FCS, but they still allowed them to score 24 points in that game. This GA State offense is not as bad as it looked in South Carolina last week and now that they played a game together they will be more prepared for this game at home. GA State will have a much better defense in this game and their offense will get the spark they needed against this bad UNC defense. The best way to place a bet here is GA State to cover the spread in this game.
North Carolina Georgia State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 10, 2022 (12:00 pm ET start time) is UNC 34 GA State 30.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
North Carolina Tar Heels: 1-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 3-10 ATS after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games. 10-4 OVER off 1 or more straight overs.
Georgia State Panthers: 16-8 ATS in all games. 8-1 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 8-4 OVER as an underdog.
Key Injuries
North Carolina Tar Heels: J. Downs (WR) Ques Sat - Lower Body. A. Green (WR) Late Sept - Upper Body. T. Craft (WR) Out indefinitely - Illness.
Georgia State Panthers: None.
Notable Quotes
"We were underdogs and hadn't won a game on the road all last year, so anybody who thinks I'm going to be mad or disappointed over this one doesn't understand coaching. I am excited to win against a really good team on the road where we had the game. (It was) probably better than a blowout because we had to overcome adversity for the win.” - Mack Brown after his team’s win against App State in their last game.
“We as a football team and a coaching staff came in here prepared to win and to fight and to play extremely hard and come out on the opposite end of what we did. When you look at us offensively and defensively, it’s hard for me to say but I thought we played toe-to-toe with them.” - Shawn Elliott after his team’s loss against South Carolina in their last game.
Starting Lineups
North Carolina Tar Heels
WR Jones, J.J.
WR Blackwell, Gavin
WR Downs, Josh
TE Morales, Kamari
QB Maye, Drake
RB Jones, D.J.
Georgia State Panthers
WR Lewis, Robert
WR Thrash, Jamari
WR Dixon, Terrance
TE Byrd, Kris
QB Grainger, Darren
RB Gregg, Tucker
Statistical Leaders
North Carolina Tar Heels
Passing: D. Maye (646)
Rushing: D. Maye (131)
Receiving: J. Jones (100)
Touchdowns: O. Hampton (3)
Georgia State Panthers
Passing: D. Grainger (111)
Rushing: J. Williams (76)
Receiving: J. Thrash (70)
Touchdowns: D. Grainger (1)
Coaches:
North Carolina Tar Heels: Mack Brown (4th season, 14th season non-consecutive)
Georgia State Panthers: Shawn Elliott (6th season)