New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/11/2024

Game Time: 6:50 pm ET, Thursday, July 11, 2024

Venue:  Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL 

Where to Watch:  BSSUN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -120, Rays +100; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -120, Rays +100; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -120, Rays +100; Over/Under:  8 runs

New York Yankees:  55-38 (2nd place, AL East)

Tampa Bay Rays:  45-46 (4th place, AL East)

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New York Yankees:  3-7 last 10

Tampa Bay Rays:  5-5 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-38 record overall and have a road record of 30-19. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Rays on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Yankees lost the series opener of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .755 OPS. Marcus Stroman is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Nestor Cortes is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 4-7 with a 3.41 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Rays are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-46 record overall and have a home record of 24-25. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Rays won the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .679 OPS. Zach Eflin is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Shane Baz is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA this season. His team lost their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 7 hits through 6 innings played against the Texas Rangers.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 55-38 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB, trailing right behind the Orioles in 1st place. They have also looked a lot better in their road games with their 30-19 road record. Meanwhile, the Rays haven't looked good in their games this season with their 45-46 record overall which has them near the bottom of the AL East. They haven't looked good in their own ballpark either, going 24-25 in their home games. The Yankees already lost the 1st game in this series and they have been terrible over the last few weeks, being one of the worst teams in the MLB over the last 20 games, but they still have one of the best records in the MLB and they are going to be desperate to bounce back here and win this series or at least salvage it. They have Cortes on the mound in this one and he is 4-7 with a 3.41 ERA. He has been taking a lot of losses this year and even the team has lost 3 games in a row with him starting, but he really hasn't looked that bad in his starts lately, only giving up 1 earned run in his last one. He has been a solid starter for the Yankees throughout his career too so he will use that good start to get back on track and continue that into this game. The Rays are going with Baz here and he hasn't looked that great with his 0-1 record and his 4.50 ERA. He has only pitched in 1 start this season and he gave up 3 earned runs in a game his team lost. He has been dealing with injury trouble all year so this is a game that the Yankees offense can take advantage of since this is only his 2nd start of the season, and as bad as the Yankees have been lately, they still have one of the best offenses in the MLB. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.

Yankees Rays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 11, 2024 (6:50 pm ET start time) is Yankees 7 Rays 4.

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New York Yankees: 31-19 (+7.20 units) on the moneyline in their last 50 games. 50-44 (+11.30 units) on the runline in their last 94 games. 37-23 (+11.95 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 60 games. 

Tampa Bay Rays: 22-53 (-28 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 75 games. 27-43 (-25.35 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 70 games. 10-6 to the under in their last 16 games. 

New York Yankees:  N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. G. Stanton (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Rizzo (1B) Out indefinitely - Arm. C. Schmidt (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. C. Poteet (SP) Early July - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. J. Brubaker (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) Mid July - Back.

Tampa Bay Rays:  R. Lovelady (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Waguespack (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Franco (SS) Out indefinitely - Poss. Suspension. J. Springs (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. D. Rasmussen (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. S. McClanahan (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“It’s never easy to play from behind but no, you can’t look at it that way. That’s defeatism. ... We got to get after it. Of course we want to run out to a big lead, but don’t look at it that way. You just got to keep playing and keep trying to string together quality at bats.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Rays in their game on Tuesday.

“He didn’t have his best command, kind of pitching around the contact a little bit, maybe didn’t have the feel for the pitches, but he made a tremendous adjustment after that first inning." - Kevin Cash after his team’s win against the Yankees in their game on Tuesday.

B Rice (L) 1B

J Soto (L) RF

A Judge (R) DH

A Verdugo (L) LF

G Torres (R) 2B

A Wells (L) C

A Volpe (R) SS

T Grisham (L) CF

D LeMahieu (R) 3B

Y Díaz (R) 1B

R Arozarena (R) LF

A Rosario (R) DH

I Paredes (R) 3B

J Siri (R) CF

J DeLuca (R) RF

J Caballero (R) 2B

T Walls (S) SS

A Jackson (R) C

Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (101)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (32)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (83)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (15)

Wins:  Carlos Rodón (9)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (19)

ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Batting Average:  Amed Rosario (.302)

Hits:  Yandy Díaz (97)

Home Runs:  Isaac Paredes (15)

RBI:  Isaac Paredes (50)

Stolen Bases:  José Caballero (24)

Wins:  Garrett Cleavinger (5)

Saves:  Pete Fairbanks (15)

ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.77)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)

Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (10th season)