New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/30/2024

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, July 30, 2024

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  YES

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +102, Phillies -122; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +100, Phillies -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +100, Phillies -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

New York Yankees:  62-45 (2nd place, AL East)

Philadelphia Phillies:  65-40 (1st place, NL East)

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New York Yankees:  4-6 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  3-7 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 62-45 record overall and have a road record of 35-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .765 OPS. Luis Gil is their starting pitcher on Monday while Gerrit Cole is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-2 with a 5.40 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 3 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 8 hits through 5.2 IP against the New York Mets.

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-40 record overall and have a home record of 38-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .750 OPS. Zack Wheeler is their starting pitcher on Monday while Aaron Nola is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 11-4 with a 3.44 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 6 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6 innings played against the Minnesota Twins.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 65-40 record overall which leads the NL East with the best record in the entire MLB. They also have the best home record in the MLB with their 38-18 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Yankees have looked good in their games this season with their 62-45 record overall, but that record only has them in 2nd place of the AL East and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They have looked better in their road games though, going 35-22 in those. Both of these teams have been struggling lately with the Yankees going 4-6 in their last 10 games and the Phillies going 3-7, but the Phillies do have the better pitching matchup here and can take advantage of that. The Phillies have Nola on the mound in this one and he is 11-4 with a 3.44 ERA this season, leading the starting rotation in wins. He has looked great lately, giving up 1 earned run in his last start which has been a common theme for him. The team has lost 2 games in a row with him starting, but he has looked so good lately that he is due for a win in this one since he won't give up many runs. The Yankees are going with Cole in this one and he has been struggling this season after missing the 1st half of the year with an injury. He is 3-2 with a 5.40 ERA this season and has been giving up more runs in his starts. The team has been doing well with him on the mound, winning 4 of the last 5 games he started in, but he did give up 6 earned runs in his last start against the Mets and the Phillies do have one of the best offenses in the MLB to put up some runs in this one. Both of these teams have some of the best offenses in the MLB this year and both have been struggling to win games lately so the Phillies have the edge in this one with the better pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

Yankees Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 30, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Phillies 3 Yankees 2.

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New York Yankees: 36-22 (+8.95 units) on the moneyline in their last 58 away games. 42-32 (+15.80 units) on the runline in their last 74 games. 40-21 to the over in their last 61 games.

Philadelphia Phillies: 28-27 (-13.95 units) on the moneyline in their last 55 games. 16-24 (-9.40 units) on the runline in their last 40 games. 53-35 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 88 games.

New York Yankees:  J. Trevino (C) Late July - Quadricep. L. Trivino (RP) Late July - Elbow. N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. G. Stanton (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Rizzo (1B) Out indefinitely - Arm. C. Schmidt (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. C. Poteet (SP) Early July - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. J. Brubaker (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow.

Philadelphia Phillies:  M. Rucker (RP) Ques Mon - Finger. R. Suarez (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. L. Ortiz (RP) out for season - Ankle. S. Turnbull (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Walker (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. D. Covey (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

“It's a gritty series win, especially after that first game. We're not all the way where we want to be right now, of course. There's a lot of fight in (that locker room).” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Red Sox in their game on Sunday.

“We've got to straighten some things out, for sure. We've got to get back to winning series. Get back to winning the first game of the series, which is critical.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Guardians in their game on Sunday.

A Verdugo (L) RF

J Soto (L) LF

A Judge (R) DH

A Wells (L) C

J Chisholm Jr. (L) CF

G Torres (R) 2B

B Rice (L) 1B

A Volpe (R) SS

O Cabrera (S) 3B

K Schwarber (L) DH

T Turner (R) SS

B Harper (L) 1B

A Bohm (R) 3B

N Castellanos (R) RF

A Hays (R) LF

E Sosa (R) 2B

B Marsh (L) CF

G Stubbs (L) C

Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (117)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (37)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (96)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (18)

Wins:  Carlos Rodón (11)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (21)

ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.326)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (116)

Home Runs:  Bryce Harper (24)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (71)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (23)

Wins:  Aaron Nola (11)

Saves:  José Alvarado (13)

ERA:  Jeff Hoffman (1.02)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)