New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/10/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jun 09, 2025
Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Tuesday, June 10, 2025
Venue:  Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Where to Watch:  TBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -190, Royals +160; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -190, Royals +160; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -190, Royals +160; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

New York Yankees:  39-25 (1st place, AL East)
Kansas City Royals:  34-32 (4th place, AL Central)

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Recent Form
New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10
Kansas City Royals:  5-5 last 10



New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Preview and Analysis


The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-25 record overall and have a road record of 18-13. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Royals on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .810 OPS. Carlos Rodón was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Max Fried is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 8-1 with a 1.78 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 1 hit through 6 IP against the Cleveland Guardians.

The Royals are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-32 record overall and have a home record of 19-13. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .677 OPS. Michael Lorenzen was their starting pitcher on Sunday while rookie pitcher Noah Cameron is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-1 with a 0.85 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 3 strikeouts on 2 hits through 6 innings played against the St Louis Cardinals.


Yankees vs Royals Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 39-25 record overall which has them right at the top of the AL East. They have been a good road team too with their 18-13 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Royals have looked good in their games this season with their 34-32 record overall, but that record has them near the bottom of the AL Central in a competitive division. They have looked a lot better in their own ballpark with their 19-13 home record this year. Neither team has been rolling in their games lately, but the Yankees do have the better pitching matchup in this one and they can take advantage of that. The Yankees are going with Fried in this one and he is 8-1 with a 1.78 ERA this year. He gave up no runs in his last start and that has been a common theme for him this season as he has been very reliable for the Yankees all year. His team has also had a ton of success with him starting, winning 3 of the last 4 games he started in. The Royals are going with Cameron in this one and he has also looked great this season. He is 2-1 with a 0.85 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts at all, but he is also in his rookie season so he doesn't have a ton of experience to lean on either. He is not going to have it as easy against one of the best offenses in the MLB here in the Yankees, and as good as he has been this season, the team has still struggled in his starts as they have lost 3 of the last 4 games he started in. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Yankees Royals Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 10, 2025 (7:40 pm ET start time) is Yankees 4 Royals 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


New York Yankees: 56-28 (+16.5 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 111-87 (+11 units) on the moneyline in road games. 118-95 (+13.5 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team  with a winning record. 53-30 UNDER against AL Central opponents. 

Kansas City Royals: 34-52 (-8.2 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 178-217 (-12.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 101-154 (-8.9 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 48-34 UNDER against AL East opponents.

Key Injuries


New York Yankees:  L. Weaver (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Hamstring. O. Cabrera (3B) Ten Day IL - Ankle. G. Stanton (DH) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. M. Stroman (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Knee. J. Brubaker (SP) Sixty Day IL - Ribs. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. L. Gil (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. G. Cole (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Kansas City Royals:  H. Harvey (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. L. Erceg (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. A. Marsh (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. McArthur (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. S. Long (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. K. Wright (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“They had their hitting shoes on. They beat us here this weekend.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their game on Sunday.


“We count on Salvy. He’s made a career out of this. He’s a Hall of Fame player who had a tough day yesterday. He knows how to bounce back from tough days.” - Matt Quatraro after his team’s win against the White Sox in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


New York Yankees
Ben Rice (L) DH
Aaron Judge (R) RF
Cody Bellinger (L) LF
Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 3B
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Trent Grisham (L) CF
DJ LeMahieu (R) 2B
J.C. Escarra (L) C

Kansas City Royals
Jonathan India (R) 2B
Bobby Witt Jr. (R) DH
Maikel Garcia (R) SS
Vinnie Pasquantino (L) 1B
Salvador Perez (R) C
Jac Caglianone (L) RF
Nick Loftin (R) 3B
John Rave (L) LF
Kyle Isbel (L) CF

Statistical Leaders


New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Aaron Judge (.396)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (95)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (23)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (55)
Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (9)
Wins:  Carlos Rodón (8)
Saves:  Luke Weaver (8)
ERA:  Adam Ottavino (0.00)

Kansas City Royals
Batting Average:  Luke Maile (.375)
Hits:  Bobby Witt (75)
Home Runs:  Vinnie Pasquantino (10)
RBI:  Vinnie Pasquantino (38)
Stolen Bases:  Bobby Witt (21)
Wins:  Kris Bubic (5)
Saves:  Carlos Estévez (19)
ERA:  Hunter Harvey (0.00)

Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (8th season)
Kansas City Royals: Matt Quatraro (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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