New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/13/2024

Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, July 13, 2024

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +114, Orioles -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +115, Orioles -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +115, Orioles -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

New York Yankees:  56-39 (2nd place, AL East)

Baltimore Orioles:  57-36 (1st place, AL East)

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New York Yankees:  3-7 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-39 record overall and have a road record of 31-20. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .752 OPS. Gerrit Cole is their starting pitcher on Friday while Luis Gil is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 9-5 with a 3.27 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 9 Ks on 4 hits through 6.2 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Orioles are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-36 record overall and have a home record of 29-20. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .769 OPS. Rookie pitcher Cade Povich is their starting pitcher on Friday while Grayson Rodriguez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 11-3 with a 3.52 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 8 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6 innings played against the Oakland Athletics.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 56-39 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB, fighting with the Orioles for 1st place. They have also looked better in their road games this year with their 31-20 road record. Meanwhile, the Orioles have also looked great in their games this season with their 57-36 record overall which leads the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB, and this is a big series for them since the Yankees are right on their tail. The Orioles are also 29-20 in their home games this season. As good as both of these teams have been this year, both have been struggling a lot lately. The Yankees are only 3-7 in their last 10 games while the Orioles are 4-6, and the Yankees have had some injuries to deal with too. They just lost a series against the Rays and now they are going to have Gil on the mound in this one. Gil has been a great starter for them this season with his 9-5 record and his 3.27 ERA, only giving up 1 earned run in his last start too, but the team has still lost 4 games in a row with him starting and is struggling to win games with their offense. The Yankees do have one of the best offenses in the MLB, but they have been slipping down the scale lately while the Orioles have remained consistent as one of the best offenses. The Orioles also have their own stud on the mound in this one with Rodriguez starting. He is 11-3 with a 3.52 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs at all. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start, but that has been on the higher end for him this year. He will be looking to bounce back with a better performance at home against a team like the Yankees who are right on their tail for the AL East, and the Orioles have had a lot of success with him too, winning 3 games in a row with Rodriguez starting. This is a good game for the Orioles to take advantage of a struggling Yankees team and extend their lead in the division. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Yankees Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 13, 2024 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 3 Yankees 2.

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New York Yankees: 8-18 (-18.40 units) on the moneyline in their last 26 games. 8-18 (-17.35 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 26 games. 26-13 to the over in their last 39 games.

Baltimore Orioles: 47-41 (+12.80 units) on the runline in their last 88 games. 48-31 (+12 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 79 games. 31-22 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 53 games. 

New York Yankees:  N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. G. Stanton (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Rizzo (1B) Out indefinitely - Arm. C. Schmidt (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. C. Poteet (SP) Early July - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. J. Brubaker (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) Mid July - Back.

Baltimore Orioles:  D. Coulombe (RP) Mid Sep - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Wells (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“Nobody likes losing, so nobody’s happy about it. But, we’re not feeling sorry for ourselves or sorry for anybody else because nobody else is. We’re going to play a first-place team right now, and we got to take these good at bats over to Baltimore.” - Aaron Judge after their loss against the Rays in their game on Thursday.

“I just think at times we’re getting a little too big and trying to get the big hit. I think it’s going to turn around for us.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Cubs in their game on Wednesday.

A Verdugo (L) LF

J Soto (L) RF

A Judge (R) DH

B Rice (L) 1B

G Torres (R) 2B

A Wells (L) C

A Volpe (R) SS

T Grisham (L) CF

O Cabrera (S) 3B

G Henderson (L) SS

A Rutschman (S) DH

R Mountcastle (R) 1B

A Santander (S) RF

J Westburg (R) 3B

A Hays (R) LF

J Mateo (R) 2B

C Mullins (L) CF

J McCann (R) C

Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (102)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (32)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (83)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (15)

Wins:  Carlos Rodón (9)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (20)

ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.375)

Hits:  Gunnar Henderson (105)

Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (27)

RBI:  Gunnar Henderson (61)

Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (16)

Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (11)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (23)

ERA:  Craig Kimbrel (2.10)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)