New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/12/2024

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, July 12, 2024

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  YES

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -142, Orioles +120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -142, Orioles +120; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -142, Orioles +120; Over/Under:  9 runs

New York Yankees:  56-38 (2nd place, AL East)

Baltimore Orioles:  57-35 (1st place, AL East)

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New York Yankees:  3-7 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10

The Yankees lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-38 record overall and have a road record of 31-19. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Tampa Bay Rays still to be played on Thursday. The Yankees lost the 1st game of that series on Tuesday and won the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .752 OPS. Nestor Cortes is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Gerrit Cole is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 8 Ks on 7 hits through 4.1 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Orioles won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-35 record overall and have a home record of 29-19. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Chicago Cubs still to be played on Thursday. The Orioles lost the 1st game of that series on Tuesday and the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .772 OPS. Albert Suárez is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Cade Povich is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-3 with a 6.51 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 8 earned runs, 2 homers, and 3 BB with 1 strikeout on 5 hits through 1 inning played against the Oakland Athletics.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 56-38 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB, fighting with the Orioles for 1st place. They have also looked better in their road games this year with their 31-19 road record. Meanwhile, the Orioles have also looked great in their games this season with their 57-35 record overall which leads the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB, and this is a big series for them since the Yankees are right on their tail. The Orioles are also 29-19 in their home games this season. As good as both of these teams have been this year, both have been struggling a lot lately. Both are going to bring their best effort in this series with the division on the line and with both teams struggling lately, the edge goes to the Yankees with the pitching matchup. The Yankees will have Cole on the mound and he has been struggling to find his footing this season, just coming back from injury a few weeks ago. He is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA and gave up 4 earned runs in his last start, but he has been a really reliable starter for them over the last few seasons so he is only going to get better as he gets more starts in. The Orioles are going to have Povich on the mound in this one and that isn't going to do them any favors here. Povich is 1-3 with a 6.51 ERA and has been struggling even more than Cole has been. The Orioles have lost 2 of their last 3 games with Povich starting and he is coming off a terrible start in which he gave up 8 earned runs. The Yankees are struggling but they still have one of the best offenses in the MLB and it is more likely that they get to this rookie for some runs as opposed to Cole getting blown up. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.

Yankees Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 12, 2024 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 4 Orioles 1.

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New York Yankees: 7-18 (-19.40 units) on the moneyline in their last 25 games. 7-18 (-18.35 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 25 games. 24-12 to the over in their last 36 games.

Baltimore Orioles: 46-38 (+14.95 units) on the runline in their last 84 games. 47-30 (+12.10 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 77 games. 31-21 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 52 games. 

New York Yankees:  N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. G. Stanton (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Rizzo (1B) Out indefinitely - Arm. C. Schmidt (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. C. Poteet (SP) Early July - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. J. Brubaker (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) Mid July - Back.

Baltimore Orioles:  D. Coulombe (RP) Mid Sep - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Wells (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“That was the ultimate bend but don’t break, playing the nickel defense. Just a great job. A lot of big moments in that game, especially with what we’re going through and guys just coming through over and over again.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Rays in their game on Wednesday.

“I just think at times we’re getting a little too big and trying to get the big hit. I think it’s going to turn around for us.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Cubs in their game on Wednesday.

A Verdugo (L) LF

J Soto (L) RF

A Judge (R) DH

B Rice (L) 1B

G Torres (R) 2B

A Volpe (R) SS

T Grisham (L) CF

J Trevino (R) C

D LeMahieu (R) 3B

G Henderson (L) SS

A Rutschman (S) DH

R Mountcastle (R) 1B

A Santander (S) RF

J Westburg (R) 3B

A Hays (R) LF

J Mateo (R) 2B

C Cowser (L) CF

J McCann (R) C

Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (102)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (32)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (83)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (15)

Wins:  Carlos Rodón (9)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (20)

ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.375)

Hits:  Gunnar Henderson (105)

Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (27)

RBI:  Gunnar Henderson (61)

Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (16)

Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (11)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (23)

ERA:  Craig Kimbrel (2.10)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)